Trained-Trial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

318

lifetime

Volume

$320

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-11 04:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

40% 0% $-0

Politics

34% 0% $-0

Crypto

20% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-1	$-1	68¢	$-1	$-0	06-11 03:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No		-1	$-0	32¢	$-0	+$0	06-11 03:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	12	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	01-24 07:40
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	02-10 09:39
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	02-05 07:58
nba mil sac 2026 01 04	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-05 03:18
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-12 08:11
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-28 04:33
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-03 03:20
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-14 02:06
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-28 09:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-18 03:06
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-26 09:25
solana up or down on february 18	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-18 08:34
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 02:41
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 08:35
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be between 80 and 85	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 02:34
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 02:52
israel closes its airspace by june 9	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-09 02:09
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-20 03:38
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 02:28
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 07:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 03:38
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 02:11
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 04:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-26 03:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-22 04:18
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-06 02:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 06:59
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-04 03:32
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-13 03:55
bitcoin above 68k on april 13	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-13 02:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 04:18:48	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xbfd33a…
06-11 03:31:34	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa29d9b…
06-11 03:24:10	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x96adc1…
06-11 03:22:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x413d0f…
06-11 03:21:48	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x07b570…
06-11 03:20:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x76ae38…
06-09 02:12:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by december 31 646	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe9c943…
06-09 02:09:25	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x918b52…
06-09 01:57:10	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by december 31 646	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5c1396…
06-09 01:55:07	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x148902…
06-08 01:49:57	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0e4c29…
06-08 01:38:22	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x31e83e…
06-06 04:17:24	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x982d60…
06-06 03:51:16	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xaae599…
06-05 03:30:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb279af…
06-05 03:29:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7a91e2…
06-05 03:17:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4549c5…
06-05 03:10:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5f7094…
06-04 03:32:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf1b2dc…
06-04 03:08:22	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x13bcf7…
06-03 03:20:06	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb0bff1…
06-03 03:09:39	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe1001e…
06-02 02:51:58	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x21abec…
06-02 02:50:53	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6b8d96…
06-02 02:31:43	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x66e845…
06-02 02:27:47	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x083055…
06-01 03:38:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd4052c…
06-01 03:37:23	Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xed2b2c…
06-01 03:24:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa7dea5…
06-01 03:17:44	Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8eb195…
05-29 02:45:43	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x22cfcd…
05-29 02:31:55	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5f3814…
05-28 04:25:46	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7406f9…
05-28 04:25:06	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x43b64e…
05-28 04:16:38	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x315341…
05-28 03:51:11	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xece26d…
05-27 03:36:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1f7716…
05-27 03:22:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf8e807…
05-26 03:02:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4224cf…
05-26 02:56:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc0cfd6…
05-23 03:09:31	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2da53c…
05-23 02:53:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb09b9c…
05-22 04:20:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x6230f0…
05-22 04:18:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7a778b…
05-22 03:44:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x033438…
05-22 03:40:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe74ae1…
05-20 03:38:52	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7048e0…
05-20 03:36:43	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x333755…
05-20 03:23:07	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0c08a4…
05-20 03:14:31	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb256bd…
05-19 03:12:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1c6fed…
05-19 03:01:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xec9eea…
05-18 04:23:14	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf4ea7b…
05-18 04:22:19	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe4f9fa…
05-18 04:17:11	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb9a00d…
05-18 04:12:17	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd146d0…
05-16 03:32:39	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x921a40…
05-16 03:27:03	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x67c8d2…
05-15 03:26:46	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x49ef9d…
05-15 03:23:46	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5e5e06…
05-15 03:12:06	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1aaa32…
05-15 02:58:16	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x330650…
05-14 03:33:00	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0d7e6d…
05-14 03:30:19	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfd1d83…
05-14 03:22:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x71a662…
05-14 02:48:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfd5210…
05-12 04:33:41	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa72b0d…
05-12 03:39:56	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe940c4…
05-09 02:32:06	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xea3a04…
05-09 02:22:20	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2036c3…
05-08 03:56:41	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1a6c6f…
05-08 03:54:40	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa63bf1…
05-08 03:46:26	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd34f0c…
05-08 03:35:00	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a77dd…
05-07 02:20:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x79c0c7…
05-07 02:09:51	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x99e4ef…
05-06 03:46:56	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xda22ca…
05-06 03:45:08	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc937b5…
05-06 03:33:22	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb0eea4…
05-06 03:27:52	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x60076f…
05-05 03:01:20	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1c3a70…
05-05 03:00:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1e9808…
05-05 02:50:50	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2e1292…
05-05 02:47:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8904ee…
05-04 02:28:36	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd01d78…
05-04 02:14:20	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x45a73d…
04-30 03:48:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4a5bf7…
04-30 03:46:50	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x252245…
04-30 03:40:08	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x27e2ee…
04-30 03:30:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8fddf9…
04-29 02:59:50	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7df6ad…
04-29 02:58:46	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x19c210…
04-29 02:51:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x252a13…
04-29 02:49:02	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe2e095…
04-28 02:23:32	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfd9ec4…
04-28 02:22:44	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x729ec4…
04-28 02:20:10	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4c8a36…
04-28 02:16:26	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5c36eb…
04-27 02:14:34	Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe0e439…
04-27 02:13:16	Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd73b64…