Brief-Howard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.9%

Resolved

Trades

871

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 14:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

53% 50% +$24

Other

41% 0% $-2

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$680	348	378	-30	open	—	06-28 14:17
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	11	$672	350	350	+0	open	—	07-14 15:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	25	$611	685	685	+0	open	—	02-28 22:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	9	$577	400	400	+0	open	—	06-26 06:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	7	$491	400	232	+168	open	—	08-12 14:32
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	10	$272	327	130	+197	open	—	02-01 02:47
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	7	$253	272	0	+272	open	—	01-22 08:41
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	7	$237	130	127	+3	open	—	07-27 11:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	10	$226	165	330	-165	open	—	06-26 06:33
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	1	$196	200	0	+200	open	—	01-24 11:38
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	01-29 20:50
highest temperature in london on february 7 2026 11c	2	$193	200	0	+200	open	—	02-07 14:26
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	7	$176	185	115	+70	open	—	02-28 06:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	8	$172	525	525	+0	open	—	02-28 06:55
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	5	$166	125	125	+0	open	—	07-31 19:28
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	5	$155	97	97	+0	open	—	07-15 06:16
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	5	$139	150	0	+150	open	—	07-15 06:17
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	5	$136	90	62	+28	open	—	07-24 08:37
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	6	$124	200	200	+0	open	—	03-04 10:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$122	70	70	+0	open	—	01-31 05:35
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	3	$120	80	80	+0	open	—	07-31 19:25
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	4	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	01-23 04:32
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election 836	3	$107	113	0	+113	open	—	01-18 17:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	05-27 20:10
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	5	$98	140	140	+0	open	—	02-23 23:20
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	6	$96	129	129	+0	open	—	02-23 21:57
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 1520	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	02-23 11:31
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$95	105	105	+0	open	—	04-03 21:06
highest temperature in london on february 4 2026 9c	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	02-04 11:52
highest temperature in london on february 8 2026 11c	25	$93	176	80	+96	open	—	02-08 14:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 14:32:55	grok 4pt6 released by august 12 2026	No	BUY	70	60¢	$42	0xeb27d2…
08-12 14:32:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	56	81¢	$45	0x4a0f58…
08-12 12:53:04	grok 4pt6 released by august 12 2026	No	BUY	45	73¢	$33	0xfb5ba3…
08-11 20:04:03	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	SELL	41	10¢	$4	0x9ed223…
08-11 19:44:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xe42819…
08-10 14:56:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x55d46d…
08-10 14:55:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x2062af…
08-10 14:53:45	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x08bf48…
08-10 14:51:07	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	90	5¢	$5	0xfed065…
08-07 12:45:06	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	80	72¢	$58	0x6a9671…
08-06 12:11:44	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x672ab5…
08-06 09:20:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x384a6f…
08-05 14:29:12	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xbafa25…
08-04 15:32:41	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xe6a931…
08-04 15:26:17	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc3653c…
08-04 14:05:30	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xff004a…
08-04 13:54:00	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0x4025a0…
08-04 08:18:50	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x9a2bcd…
08-03 17:17:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	91	45¢	$41	0xe34b74…
08-03 17:17:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x1abdda…
08-03 17:09:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	156	79¢	$123	0xebaaeb…
08-02 13:19:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xc86548…
08-01 21:41:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xa8a839…
08-01 20:51:00	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x68f926…
08-01 17:53:32	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xd7a202…
07-31 19:41:41	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x5bd4dc…
07-31 19:29:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xb1fcf8…
07-31 19:28:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	125	64¢	$80	0x5b6d56…
07-31 19:28:00	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x745f53…
07-31 19:26:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x3af9aa…
07-31 19:25:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	80	91¢	$73	0x09cc72…
07-31 19:07:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x2f13cb…
07-31 15:40:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xa58d53…
07-30 15:01:09	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xac032f…
07-30 14:52:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xd3a05d…
07-30 14:37:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x77931b…
07-30 09:34:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xad194e…
07-30 06:06:23	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x34e1eb…
07-30 02:48:35	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x764b32…
07-30 02:47:36	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xdbaf40…
07-30 02:45:33	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x80b1e0…
07-30 02:37:42	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x33b347…
07-29 20:28:59	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x6f6128…
07-27 11:36:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xd76d12…
07-27 11:31:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0xa8092b…
07-25 12:00:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x6b7d7d…
07-25 11:59:24	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xf58f08…
07-25 11:58:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xf13d0d…
07-25 10:59:36	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x623158…
07-24 08:37:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x93f211…
07-23 14:30:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xb4f558…
07-22 16:20:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xad34b9…
07-20 11:05:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xf606ee…
07-20 09:27:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	70	84¢	$59	0xaa594f…
07-19 21:15:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x004e3b…
07-19 20:48:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xf408e8…
07-19 20:47:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x3c932f…
07-19 20:46:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xbe38c6…
07-19 20:05:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xf6cfc2…
07-19 19:50:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xe95e44…
07-19 19:31:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xb3ffd3…
07-19 09:04:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xbd9463…
07-18 19:12:06	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xb6bc4b…
07-17 09:16:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc8a77a…
07-17 09:15:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0xf319f9…
07-17 05:38:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0xf94e01…
07-16 07:15:41	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xfe5857…
07-15 06:17:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x8d9d56…
07-15 06:16:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x86f554…
07-14 18:47:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x94663e…
07-14 16:16:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1f50c9…
07-14 15:33:19	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x8d71e1…
07-14 15:32:11	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0x51ca7f…
07-14 15:30:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xffa6fc…
07-14 12:47:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xff2cd2…
07-14 08:17:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0xb241e3…
07-12 08:12:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0xf380b3…
07-11 10:47:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x68b609…
07-11 10:44:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x324274…
07-10 15:29:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	46	100¢	$45	0x0273ab…
07-10 08:45:41	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xbe493c…
07-10 06:10:40	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	35	34¢	$12	0x448ab4…
07-08 19:08:40	Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe7749b…
07-08 18:56:38	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x1c37ea…
07-08 18:47:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x044efe…
07-08 18:43:34	Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x5d6653…
07-08 09:37:07	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	35	52¢	$18	0x13a899…
07-08 06:56:35	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	70	34¢	$24	0x2e3e83…
07-08 06:55:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x8d2ede…
07-06 15:08:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xad8944…
07-06 14:50:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x516057…
07-05 04:49:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	180	15¢	$27	0x373267…
07-02 12:29:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x9cd89f…
07-01 19:58:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	180	30¢	$54	0x64eeb9…
07-01 19:57:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x2b7ead…
06-30 16:23:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x21e979…
06-28 14:17:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	130	95¢	$124	0xef6f95…
06-28 14:17:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	133	99¢	$131	0x07a377…
06-28 04:54:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	140	95¢	$133	0x68cd37…
06-28 04:53:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	133	99¢	$131	0x1f76f5…