Brief-Howard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

13.9%

Resolved

Trades

820

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$60

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-23 14:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

51% 50% +$24

Other

43% 0% $-2

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-165	$-77	36¢	$-60	+$17	06-26 06:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$680	348	378	-30	open	—	06-28 14:17
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	11	$672	350	350	+0	open	—	07-14 15:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	25	$611	685	685	+0	open	—	02-28 22:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	9	$577	400	400	+0	open	—	06-26 06:38
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	10	$272	327	130	+197	open	—	02-01 02:47
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	7	$253	272	0	+272	open	—	01-22 08:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	10	$226	165	330	-165	open	—	06-26 06:33
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	1	$196	200	0	+200	open	—	01-24 11:38
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	01-29 20:50
highest temperature in london on february 7 2026 11c	2	$193	200	0	+200	open	—	02-07 14:26
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	7	$176	185	115	+70	open	—	02-28 06:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	8	$172	525	525	+0	open	—	02-28 06:55
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	5	$155	97	97	+0	open	—	07-15 06:16
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	5	$139	150	0	+150	open	—	07-15 06:17
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	6	$124	200	200	+0	open	—	03-04 10:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$122	70	70	+0	open	—	01-31 05:35
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	4	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	01-23 04:32
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	4	$112	130	0	+130	open	—	07-18 19:12
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	4	$108	90	34	+56	open	—	07-23 14:30
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election 836	3	$107	113	0	+113	open	—	01-18 17:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	05-27 20:10
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	5	$98	140	140	+0	open	—	02-23 23:20
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	6	$96	129	129	+0	open	—	02-23 21:57
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 1520	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	02-23 11:31
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$95	105	105	+0	open	—	04-03 21:06
highest temperature in london on february 4 2026 9c	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	02-04 11:52
highest temperature in london on february 8 2026 11c	25	$93	176	80	+96	open	—	02-08 14:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$89	89	115	-26	open	—	06-15 07:49
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	4	$86	125	0	+125	open	—	07-19 20:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	8	$84	70	70	+0	open	—	06-11 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 14:30:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xb4f558…
07-22 16:20:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xad34b9…
07-20 11:05:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xf606ee…
07-20 09:27:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	70	84¢	$59	0xaa594f…
07-19 21:15:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x004e3b…
07-19 20:48:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xf408e8…
07-19 20:47:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x3c932f…
07-19 20:46:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xbe38c6…
07-19 20:05:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xf6cfc2…
07-19 19:50:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xe95e44…
07-19 19:31:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xb3ffd3…
07-19 09:04:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xbd9463…
07-18 19:12:06	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xb6bc4b…
07-17 09:16:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc8a77a…
07-17 09:15:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0xf319f9…
07-17 05:38:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0xf94e01…
07-16 07:15:41	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xfe5857…
07-15 06:17:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x8d9d56…
07-15 06:16:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x86f554…
07-14 18:47:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x94663e…
07-14 16:16:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1f50c9…
07-14 15:33:19	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x8d71e1…
07-14 15:32:11	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0x51ca7f…
07-14 15:30:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xffa6fc…
07-14 12:47:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xff2cd2…
07-14 08:17:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0xb241e3…
07-12 08:12:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0xf380b3…
07-11 10:47:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x68b609…
07-11 10:44:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x324274…
07-10 15:29:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	46	100¢	$45	0x0273ab…
07-10 08:45:41	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xbe493c…
07-10 06:10:40	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	35	34¢	$12	0x448ab4…
07-08 19:08:40	Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe7749b…
07-08 18:56:38	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x1c37ea…
07-08 18:47:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x044efe…
07-08 18:43:34	Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x5d6653…
07-08 09:37:07	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	35	52¢	$18	0x13a899…
07-08 06:56:35	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	70	34¢	$24	0x2e3e83…
07-08 06:55:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x8d2ede…
07-06 15:08:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xad8944…
07-06 14:50:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x516057…
07-05 04:49:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	180	15¢	$27	0x373267…
07-02 12:29:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x9cd89f…
07-01 19:58:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	180	30¢	$54	0x64eeb9…
07-01 19:57:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x2b7ead…
06-30 16:23:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x21e979…
06-28 14:17:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	130	95¢	$124	0xef6f95…
06-28 14:17:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	133	99¢	$131	0x07a377…
06-28 04:54:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	140	95¢	$133	0x68cd37…
06-28 04:53:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	133	99¢	$131	0x1f76f5…
06-27 16:11:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	80	84¢	$67	0x3d745d…
06-27 16:10:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x2021a1…
06-27 04:17:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x01d25b…
06-27 04:16:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x5548fa…
06-26 06:39:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	126	90¢	$113	0x67ba24…
06-26 06:39:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x65f337…
06-26 06:38:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	311	98¢	$307	0x5f6aef…
06-26 06:34:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0xdf0ed0…
06-26 06:33:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x150260…
06-26 06:32:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa5217b…
06-26 06:31:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0xc46366…
06-26 06:29:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x6741fe…
06-26 05:12:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x45733f…
06-26 04:17:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x30a2cc…
06-25 07:53:26	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x5cf4f4…
06-25 07:06:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x0ff1c3…
06-25 06:39:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0xb2e7fb…
06-25 06:38:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x031ba4…
06-24 03:48:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x177fcd…
06-19 10:44:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	130	46¢	$60	0x487a91…
06-19 10:43:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	151	46¢	$69	0x51a574…
06-19 10:42:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xc0430c…
06-19 10:42:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	46¢	$44	0x448fe8…
06-19 10:33:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	80	47¢	$38	0x0167bd…
06-19 10:32:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	46¢	$38	0xa6a206…
06-19 08:40:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	40	44¢	$17	0xa5d0eb…
06-19 08:38:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x685177…
06-19 08:01:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x34fc0b…
06-19 08:00:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0xe367ca…
06-18 20:44:49	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x98b502…
06-15 07:50:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x801e94…
06-15 07:49:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	115	13¢	$15	0xafcc4f…
06-13 22:02:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xe55d03…
06-13 13:12:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	74	84¢	$62	0x910ba5…
06-13 12:45:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xdd05db…
06-12 05:30:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0xf046f2…
06-11 20:31:03	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xabf433…
06-11 20:30:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	66¢	$15	0x9b6669…
06-11 20:29:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	60	69¢	$41	0x489285…
06-11 19:34:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xcacd8b…
06-11 19:34:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x7fa913…
06-11 17:32:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x60648b…
06-08 12:04:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xab90b8…
06-02 13:43:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x6ef448…
06-02 07:44:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xb7e67b…
06-01 19:59:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x15c48b…
06-01 19:56:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xe805d6…
06-01 19:55:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x99b664…
06-01 19:54:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xfbb8b6…
06-01 19:53:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x478ef7…