Brief-Howard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

13.9%

Resolved

Trades

728

lifetime

Volume

$7.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

58% 50% +$24

Other

34% 0% $-2

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+28	$14	38¢	$11	$-4	06-01 19:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+10	$4	46¢	$5	+$0	06-01 14:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	25	$611	685	685	+0	open	—	02-28 22:04
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	10	$272	327	130	+197	open	—	02-01 02:47
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	7	$253	272	0	+272	open	—	01-22 08:41
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	1	$196	200	0	+200	open	—	01-24 11:38
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	01-29 20:50
highest temperature in london on february 7 2026 11c	2	$193	200	0	+200	open	—	02-07 14:26
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	7	$176	185	115	+70	open	—	02-28 06:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	8	$172	525	525	+0	open	—	02-28 06:55
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	6	$124	200	200	+0	open	—	03-04 10:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$122	70	70	+0	open	—	01-31 05:35
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	4	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	01-23 04:32
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election 836	3	$107	113	0	+113	open	—	01-18 17:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	05-27 20:10
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	5	$98	140	140	+0	open	—	02-23 23:20
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	6	$96	129	129	+0	open	—	02-23 21:57
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 1520	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	02-23 11:31
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$95	105	105	+0	open	—	04-03 21:06
highest temperature in london on february 4 2026 9c	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	02-04 11:52
highest temperature in london on february 8 2026 11c	25	$93	176	80	+96	open	—	02-08 14:02
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	3	$83	90	0	+90	open	—	02-27 19:24
highest temperature in london on february 3 2026 8c	2	$83	85	0	+85	open	—	02-03 08:52
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$77	40	40	+0	open	—	02-28 06:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	10	$76	200	0	+200	open	—	06-08 12:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	7	$74	151	70	+81	open	—	01-16 16:34
highest temperature in london on february 8 2026 12c	15	$71	110	110	+0	open	—	02-08 14:31
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$71	90	90	+0	open	—	03-28 17:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$70	60	60	+0	open	—	05-05 10:17
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$67	37	37	+0	open	—	01-25 13:27
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	2	$64	46	46	+0	open	—	01-23 17:21
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	2	$63	34	34	+0	open	—	02-28 07:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 12:04:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xab90b8…
06-02 13:43:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x6ef448…
06-02 07:44:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xb7e67b…
06-01 19:59:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x15c48b…
06-01 19:56:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xe805d6…
06-01 19:55:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x99b664…
06-01 19:54:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xfbb8b6…
06-01 19:53:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x478ef7…
06-01 19:52:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x86d2bf…
06-01 19:50:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xc4b16e…
06-01 19:49:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x732d6b…
06-01 19:49:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x0db48a…
06-01 14:59:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc13fea…
06-01 14:40:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x68ec26…
06-01 14:37:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x2cbff3…
06-01 14:13:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xf4ec03…
06-01 14:11:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x19cda8…
06-01 14:07:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x7a0d6a…
06-01 14:05:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x66519c…
06-01 14:05:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x455556…
05-28 23:03:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb89960…
05-28 18:11:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x2a19f3…
05-28 18:10:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0x33dfab…
05-28 18:06:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x8bc7e8…
05-28 16:17:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3dd9e3…
05-28 06:17:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xbc3183…
05-27 20:10:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x3660c1…
05-27 19:17:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x119d42…
05-27 06:52:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x2699cb…
05-27 06:49:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xdbee29…
05-26 05:28:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x8dace3…
05-26 05:26:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xf95a6a…
05-25 15:24:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x4cbe3b…
05-24 06:15:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xc48a6c…
05-23 17:14:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xaaa048…
05-23 13:42:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xdaf92f…
05-23 10:48:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x01feff…
05-22 00:41:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xac46e3…
05-21 11:55:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x11b8b3…
05-21 11:53:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x5a1942…
05-21 05:48:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x675b84…
05-20 17:03:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xcdde3d…
05-18 21:52:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x60ef59…
05-18 14:30:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x623dc2…
05-16 09:28:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x6b6f1e…
05-16 09:25:01	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xa8b1cc…
05-16 01:08:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x50e473…
05-14 04:56:53	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x8251cf…
05-14 04:56:32	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc0f1ba…
05-14 04:40:13	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x89f8b5…
05-13 07:56:58	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x58f535…
05-10 14:00:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xe8fe19…
05-08 18:52:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x24f643…
05-08 18:51:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x398413…
05-08 18:49:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x14c969…
05-08 17:05:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x3a40dc…
05-08 17:04:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x0ed20c…
05-07 13:07:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x73ba6c…
05-07 10:38:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x821278…
05-05 10:17:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x401744…
05-05 08:33:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x39e93c…
04-28 10:55:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xd0c512…
04-28 10:27:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xbe7d4d…
04-27 12:38:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xb189df…
04-27 09:04:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x260535…
04-27 09:03:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfb5527…
04-27 09:03:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xe48870…
04-27 09:03:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xdd0e3c…
04-27 09:03:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x35d844…
04-27 08:55:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	27	15¢	$4	0x1ad623…
04-27 07:12:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x36c720…
04-27 07:08:50	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x9179eb…
04-27 06:58:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xe497c2…
04-26 12:37:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	18	25¢	$5	0xbb6da3…
04-26 12:18:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0x4ace3d…
04-23 05:32:22	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x3f7e84…
04-22 14:36:36	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x266f8a…
04-22 12:39:02	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x13e122…
04-21 13:09:38	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 12c	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x48b87a…
04-21 13:09:20	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 12c	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe93856…
04-21 13:04:28	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb9cf4c…
04-21 13:01:50	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xeb5a6a…
04-21 12:48:58	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xed28db…
04-21 12:43:12	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa4f032…
04-21 08:12:04	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x2cd99f…
04-21 06:58:26	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xb436cc…
04-21 06:50:12	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x830add…
04-20 12:36:34	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 12c	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x63a8ec…
04-20 11:43:10	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x97eb57…
04-20 11:40:08	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 12c	No	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xd515a8…
04-20 10:45:14	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0741e6…
04-20 09:13:54	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe74d1f…
04-20 09:00:48	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4921f7…
04-20 08:44:28	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 14c	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xc03585…
04-20 08:25:14	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 12c	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x78adbb…
04-20 07:42:24	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa731a5…
04-20 07:40:30	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 12c	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xfeefb8…
04-20 07:39:10	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd4b769…
04-19 14:08:04	highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8fefbd…
04-19 13:29:10	highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 16c	No	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xf18442…