Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$473

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

307

Trades

926

lifetime

Volume

$25.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$66

1 position

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-08 12:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

89% 42% +$652

Politics

6% 69% -$112

Crypto

4% 86% +$14

Tech

1% 86% +$5

Sports

0% 29% -$85

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		+117	$74	56¢	$66	-$7	10-08 12:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol gen fox1 2026 02 21 game1	23	$777	1,700	0	+1,700	Gen.G	-$77	02-21 08:40
lol fox1 dnf 2026 04 12 game1	15	$713	1,444	0	+1,444	BNK FEARX	+$11	04-12 08:23
lol dnf t1 2026 04 10 game1	22	$671	1,383	0	+1,383	T1	+$23	04-10 08:32
lol ns drx 2026 04 11 game1	28	$631	1,300	0	+1,300	Kiwoom DRX	+$18	04-11 08:19
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$599	300	300	+0	No	+$0	03-17 13:03
lol navi gx 2026 02 22 game2	11	$573	800	175	+625	GIANTX	+$118	02-22 17:14
lol foxy genga 2026 04 06	24	$573	1,200	0	+1,200	BNK FearX Youth	+$27	04-06 07:10
lol wb ig1 2026 02 25 game1	14	$504	1,109	300	+809	Weibo Gaming	-$306	02-25 06:55
lol bro2 drx 2026 04 09	2	$495	1,000	0	+1,000	Kiwoom DRX	+$5	04-09 08:18
lol wb tes 2026 03 02	38	$490	1,200	400	+800	Weibo Gaming	-$18	03-02 13:20
lol fnc vit 2026 02 21 game1	12	$485	900	0	+900	Team Vitality	+$15	02-21 19:16
lol dk hle1 2026 04 08	8	$480	1,000	0	+1,000	Hanwha Life Esports	+$20	04-08 08:06
lol kc g2 2026 02 20 game2	17	$478	1,100	18	+1,082	G2 Esports	-$54	02-20 19:39
lol shg gz 2026 02 27 game1	17	$474	952	0	+952	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	+$177	02-27 06:53
lol dcg shg 2026 02 28 game1	5	$474	500	100	+400	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	-$4	02-28 06:39
lol nsea ktc 2026 03 02 game1	7	$464	800	0	+800	Nongshim Esports Academy	-$264	03-02 08:22
lol mkoi kc 2026 02 28 game1	1	$460	500	0	+500	Movistar KOI	+$40	02-28 16:52
lol dcg shg 2026 02 28 game2	6	$407	500	200	+300	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	-$59	02-28 07:34
lol mkoi kc 2026 02 28 game3	2	$400	500	0	+500	Movistar KOI	+$100	02-28 18:26
lol dk ns 2026 04 02 game1	7	$383	788	0	+788	Nongshim Red Force	+$15	04-02 08:20
lol al ig1 2026 03 03 game1	5	$359	624	0	+624	Anyone's Legend	-$35	03-03 09:27
lol jdg tes 2026 02 24 game1	8	$318	700	0	+700	Top Esports	+$282	02-24 06:28
lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game3	8	$316	400	300	+100	JD Gaming	-$204	03-04 11:51
lol dnf drx 2026 02 19 game1	6	$315	400	0	+400	DN Freecs	-$15	02-19 08:29
lol t1 dk 2026 02 22 game2	11	$315	800	0	+800	T1	-$115	02-22 09:29
lol jdg wb 2026 03 07 game1	12	$301	574	0	+574	JD Gaming	+$23	03-07 09:42
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	1	$299	300	0	+300	Yes	+$1	03-11 08:18
lol gen ly 2026 03 19 game1	3	$294	500	0	+500	Gen.G	+$6	03-19 13:17
lol dk dnf 2026 02 20 game1	4	$285	400	0	+400	Dplus KIA	+$115	02-20 08:27
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20 game1	1	$284	400	0	+400	G2 Esports	+$116	03-20 13:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 12:18:18	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0x3e776d…
10-08 12:17:59	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0x53e68a…
10-08 12:17:48	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x52e9f2…
09-23 10:50:04	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x0a904a…
09-23 10:49:46	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x22ebe2…
09-23 10:49:40	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x4054d9…
09-21 12:27:12	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x1297ab…
09-14 10:15:25	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0xcca1ef…
09-14 10:15:13	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9d0b68…
09-14 10:14:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x4bd3db…
09-14 10:14:49	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xd8add6…
09-14 10:14:37	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x129640…
09-14 10:14:30	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0x86e399…
09-07 12:15:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x2acec0…
09-07 12:15:31	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x8aa990…
09-07 12:15:10	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x54ae78…
09-07 12:15:03	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x0acf63…
09-07 12:14:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x741cee…
08-22 11:44:06	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x46fcdb…
08-18 21:33:46	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x6f0925…
08-05 07:32:26	squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x45c57f…
07-13 15:05:44	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x754ed4…
07-12 23:53:10	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x1eb765…
07-12 00:45:14	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x89ec58…
07-11 22:00:05	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x7a8599…
06-22 19:03:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x23d00d…
06-22 18:43:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xf9141c…
06-22 18:24:47	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	77	16¢	$12	0xc685de…
06-22 18:11:19	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x4d4371…
06-22 18:10:16	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x9e857c…
06-22 18:09:52	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x7c6383…
06-22 18:08:28	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x35ab74…
06-22 18:08:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xb942c7…
06-22 18:08:26	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x33c111…
06-22 18:08:23	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x8ef982…
06-22 18:01:23	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe2dcc4…
06-22 18:01:23	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x666f91…
06-22 18:01:22	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x810ef1…
06-22 18:01:22	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x540eab…
06-22 18:01:10	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xd7a8bc…
06-22 18:00:35	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x302643…
06-22 18:00:22	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x818538…
06-22 18:00:02	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x362f57…
06-22 17:59:28	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x779109…
06-22 17:58:01	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x774a9e…
06-22 17:57:59	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xf6fac1…
06-22 17:57:20	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x7701b2…
06-22 17:57:20	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x26d5f1…
06-22 17:57:19	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xad2c8b…
06-22 17:31:40	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc52023…
06-19 14:59:13	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe02568…
06-19 14:59:13	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xd70f5f…
06-19 14:59:11	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0xe6e6f4…
06-19 14:59:11	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x212453…
06-19 14:59:11	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x1fb1c9…
06-19 14:59:10	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x9681de…
06-19 14:59:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	154	0¢	$1	0x5252ef…
06-19 14:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on June 21?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$1	0xbda8ff…
06-19 14:59:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on June 20?	Yes	BUY	167	0¢	$1	0x5ef626…
06-19 14:59:02	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0xc35627…
06-19 14:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 20?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6dd062…
06-19 14:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 20?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x084ed4…
06-19 14:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$1	0x56a35a…
06-19 14:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x217ec6…
06-19 14:58:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 19?	No	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0xe2b0b8…
06-19 14:58:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x3c0f09…
06-19 14:58:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on June 19?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x265b36…
06-19 14:58:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0xa3507e…
06-19 14:58:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x1e73c0…
06-19 14:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 19?	No	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x5b7b5d…
06-19 14:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x419c65…
06-19 14:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd975d8…
06-19 14:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x8da822…
06-19 14:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x6c7398…
06-19 14:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on June 19?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x73ab6f…
06-19 14:58:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x41fef7…
06-19 14:58:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 21?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xd5d42a…
06-19 14:58:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x588339…
06-19 14:58:47	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 21?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf712b6…
06-19 14:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x4b595e…
06-19 14:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc382b5…
06-19 14:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb6d627…
06-19 14:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0xa87138…
06-19 14:58:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 20?	Yes	BUY	167	0¢	$1	0x628c52…
06-19 14:58:41	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	148	1¢	$1	0xeacce5…
06-19 14:58:41	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$1	0xd21d5f…
06-19 14:58:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x4c37ad…
06-19 14:58:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 20?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0x088162…
06-19 14:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf281b4…
06-19 14:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$2	0x9a9339…
06-19 14:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 20?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xf60450…
06-19 14:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9323de…
06-19 14:58:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 19?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xa0397a…
06-19 14:58:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 19?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x50627d…
06-19 14:58:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x1e4199…
06-19 14:58:29	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	69	0¢	$0	0x81f97f…
06-19 14:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0xd0aec9…
06-19 14:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?	No	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x3f0fa0…
06-19 14:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0xc2f6ab…
06-19 14:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x8853fc…