Stiff-Extreme — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$494

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-09

last 09-29 04:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

55% 38% -$483

Politics

45% 17% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	No		+3	$3	96¢	$3	+$0	09-29 04:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	2	$878	480	480	+0	open	—	05-22 07:22
hengam island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014859847	2	$855	450	450	+0	No	+$4	08-02 06:14
will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060	2	$842	450	450	+0	open	—	08-02 04:41
will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	2	$837	460	460	+0	Yes	+$0	08-10 08:29
total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	2	$837	455	455	+0	No	+$0	08-10 06:24
Spread: Maghreb AS de Fès (-2.5)	1	$442	470	0	+470	IR Tanger	+$28	05-22 07:27
Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)	1	$396	405	0	+405	FC Internazionale Milano	+$9	04-26 04:20
tur riz sam 2026 04 09 spread home 2pt5	1	$316	340	0	+340	Çaykur Rizespor	-$316	04-09 07:42
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	4	$254	1,060	1,060	+0	open	—	05-30 04:45
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	5	$173	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	06-12 07:05
will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	3	$168	935	935	+0	No	+$0	07-14 04:57
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	4	$156	820	820	+0	open	—	06-26 02:31
ukraine election called by august 31 2026	4	$144	850	850	+0	No	-$8	06-23 06:36
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	4	$130	820	820	+0	No	+$0	06-25 09:38
NATO article 5 before 2027?	3	$126	840	840	+0	open	—	07-01 08:10
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	4	$124	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	05-31 04:34
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	4	$110	820	820	+0	open	—	06-23 09:21
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	2	$91	1,010	0	+1,010	Under	-$91	06-12 07:20
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$84	835	835	+0	No	+$0	07-01 03:18
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	4	$83	810	810	+0	No	+$2	06-25 08:20
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	4	$77	770	770	+0	open	—	06-26 06:24
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	4	$74	898	898	+0	No	-$7	07-14 02:06
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	4	$61	940	940	+0	No	+$5	05-09 08:26
Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)	2	$61	1,010	0	+1,010	CD Castellón	-$61	05-31 04:39
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	3	$60	485	485	+0	No	+$7	06-12 04:31
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)	2	$48	956	0	+956	Qingdao Xihaian FC	-$48	05-30 04:50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	2	$24	17	17	+0	No	$0	05-23 02:32
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	2	$18	925	0	+925	Sevilla FC	-$18	05-09 08:28
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	09-29 04:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 04:36:41	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x6be8cc…
08-10 08:29:27	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	No	SELL	460	91¢	$419	0x095ee9…
08-10 07:05:45	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	No	BUY	460	91¢	$419	0x66d63a…
08-10 06:24:34	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	SELL	455	92¢	$419	0x3ade5f…
08-10 05:43:25	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	BUY	455	92¢	$419	0x243da0…
08-02 06:14:33	hengam island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014859847	No	SELL	450	96¢	$430	0x47313c…
08-02 04:49:56	hengam island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014859847	No	BUY	450	94¢	$425	0xb2e2b8…
08-02 04:41:30	will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060	No	SELL	450	94¢	$423	0x29ade3…
08-02 02:49:54	will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060	No	BUY	450	93¢	$418	0x52e13e…
07-14 04:57:47	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	935	9¢	$84	0xc9575e…
07-14 02:59:10	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	480	9¢	$43	0xd8c2a9…
07-14 02:59:08	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	455	9¢	$41	0xe31a43…
07-14 02:06:25	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	460	4¢	$17	0x08eb66…
07-14 02:06:13	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	438	4¢	$16	0x875e2f…
07-14 01:12:59	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	460	4¢	$21	0x10c976…
07-14 01:12:28	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	438	5¢	$20	0xe7b67b…
07-01 08:10:34	NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	840	7¢	$59	0xd8bdf0…
07-01 06:21:19	NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	430	8¢	$34	0x4932e4…
07-01 06:20:44	NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	410	8¢	$33	0xeb9bb8…
07-01 03:18:56	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	410	5¢	$20	0x62df3a…
07-01 03:18:43	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	425	5¢	$21	0xe08d7f…
07-01 02:08:41	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	410	5¢	$20	0x1d319a…
07-01 02:08:28	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	425	5¢	$21	0x2eac73…
06-26 06:24:34	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	375	5¢	$19	0xf2762e…
06-26 06:24:19	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	395	5¢	$20	0x99e51c…
06-26 02:34:43	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	395	5¢	$20	0x8ef6d4…
06-26 02:34:05	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	375	5¢	$19	0x050e06…
06-26 02:31:05	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	420	12¢	$50	0xef82ca…
06-26 02:30:47	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	12¢	$48	0xef4ee2…
06-26 01:24:41	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	7¢	$29	0xa6c8a5…
06-26 01:24:22	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0x3e2e40…
06-25 09:38:56	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	420	8¢	$33	0x8cc539…
06-25 09:38:35	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	8¢	$32	0x7a8945…
06-25 08:24:22	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	8¢	$33	0x0db1a8…
06-25 08:24:01	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0x62baf3…
06-25 08:20:49	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	415	5¢	$22	0x45d485…
06-25 08:20:26	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	395	5¢	$21	0x72e694…
06-25 06:52:58	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	395	5¢	$20	0xef903e…
06-25 06:52:53	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	415	5¢	$21	0x0803fa…
06-23 09:21:44	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	SELL	420	7¢	$28	0x28d20d…
06-23 09:21:17	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	7¢	$27	0x0e2f11…
06-23 06:46:26	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	7¢	$28	0x7f03d2…
06-23 06:46:07	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	7¢	$27	0xda093d…
06-23 06:36:38	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	415	8¢	$33	0x3fc89e…
06-23 06:36:13	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	435	8¢	$35	0xfd36dd…
06-23 04:40:13	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	435	9¢	$39	0x57ed28…
06-23 04:39:55	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	415	9¢	$37	0xe0ab42…
06-12 07:20:28	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	520	9¢	$47	0x4be58d…
06-12 07:20:00	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	490	9¢	$44	0xc8a2ac…
06-12 07:05:55	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	9¢	$45	0xebf2cf…
06-12 07:05:37	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	SELL	490	9¢	$44	0x4c378a…
06-12 07:05:22	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0xcabab0…
06-12 04:43:45	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	BUY	530	8¢	$42	0x3aca1c…
06-12 04:43:21	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	BUY	490	8¢	$39	0x6619cd…
06-12 04:31:51	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	Yes	SELL	485	7¢	$34	0xeb0c46…
06-12 04:09:57	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	Yes	BUY	351	6¢	$21	0x052079…
06-12 03:33:00	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	Yes	BUY	134	4¢	$5	0x041f58…
05-31 04:39:39	Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)	SD Eibar	BUY	495	6¢	$30	0x13c63d…
05-31 04:39:33	Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)	SD Eibar	BUY	515	6¢	$31	0xdb83a1…
05-31 04:34:39	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	495	6¢	$32	0x9a34e6…
05-31 04:34:25	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	515	6¢	$33	0xce3b28…
05-31 03:05:14	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	515	6¢	$30	0x34bab1…
05-31 03:04:55	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	495	6¢	$29	0x7f3446…
05-30 04:50:44	Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	488	5¢	$24	0xa49fb2…
05-30 04:50:29	Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	468	5¢	$23	0x204203…
05-30 04:45:19	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	540	15¢	$81	0xe0092a…
05-30 04:44:53	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	520	15¢	$78	0xf167de…
05-30 02:59:44	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	540	9¢	$49	0x1d6943…
05-30 02:59:21	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	520	9¢	$47	0x354139…
05-23 02:32:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0x6d23f4…
05-23 02:24:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x3a764e…
05-22 07:27:39	Spread: Maghreb AS de Fès (-2.5)	IR Tanger	BUY	470	94¢	$442	0x384a65…
05-22 07:22:45	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	480	91¢	$437	0x448c05…
05-22 05:34:54	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	480	92¢	$442	0x1a365c…
05-09 08:28:12	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	472	2¢	$9	0xf5b920…
05-09 08:27:49	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	453	2¢	$9	0x561ea4…
05-09 08:26:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	480	3¢	$17	0xdac37b…
05-09 08:26:00	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	460	4¢	$16	0x49f18d…
05-09 05:38:07	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	3¢	$14	0x8b8d10…
05-09 05:37:48	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	460	3¢	$14	0x355591…
04-26 04:20:50	Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	405	98¢	$396	0xbf5212…
04-09 07:42:21	tur riz sam 2026 04 09 spread home 2pt5	Samsunspor	BUY	340	93¢	$316	0xd62f4e…