Realized P&L
+$2.57K
Unrealized P&L
+$143
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved
3,537
Trades
10,155
lifetime
Volume
$119.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$3.42K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 10-27 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 157 days
Categories
Other
60% 58% -$2,204
Crypto
25% 69% +$4,062
Politics
8% 52% +$1,000
Sports
7% 60% -$310
Tech
0% 50% +$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 274 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +870 $728 82¢ $718 -$10 10-19 16:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +701 $454 94¢ $655 +$201 10-22 09:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +654 $421 92¢ $605 +$184 10-22 07:42
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +280 $226 96¢ $269 +$44 09-15 12:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +220 $172 94¢ $206 +$34 10-26 03:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +140 $108 88¢ $124 +$16 09-28 08:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +120 $86 96¢ $115 +$29 10-09 12:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +560 $84 18¢ $98 +$14 10-26 06:08
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +70 $60 84¢ $58 -$2 10-22 07:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +54 $47 100¢ $54 +$7 10-22 14:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +690 $243 8¢ $52 -$191 10-22 12:06
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $15 84¢ $50 +$35 10-06 02:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +710 $249 7¢ $50 -$200 10-22 07:42
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -645 -$68 6¢ $-40 +$28 08-27 09:16
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +50 $43 72¢ $36 -$7 09-20 12:00
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +40 $34 77¢ $31 -$4 09-20 12:19
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +34 $30 80¢ $27 -$3 10-23 09:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +24 $22 100¢ $24 +$2 10-23 18:10
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +40 $24 54¢ $22 -$2 10-12 07:15
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? No +40 $21 54¢ $22 +$1 10-08 20:17
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +20 $16 94¢ $19 +$3 09-21 13:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +160 $37 12¢ $18 -$18 10-11 22:41
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? Yes +40 $18 46¢ $18 $0 10-09 02:36
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 10-26 09:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +18 $16 96¢ $17 +$1 10-24 19:26
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +20 $12 84¢ $17 +$5 09-21 09:58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +20 $16 83¢ $17 +$0 10-08 04:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +20 $12 81¢ $16 +$5 09-21 09:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +230 $45 6¢ $15 -$30 10-26 13:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +16 $14 94¢ $15 +$1 10-26 02:54