Euphoric-Gaffer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.2%

Resolved

222

Trades

527

lifetime

Volume

$523

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-07 03:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Other

48% 7% -$1

Politics

28% 2% -$1

Crypto

11% 7% $0

Tech

8% 8% $0

Sports

5% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	10	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	01-16 08:59
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	03-20 07:09
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 06:23
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-09 06:11
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	07-18 06:25
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 08:45
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	07-29 01:23
netanyahu out by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-07 04:28
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-04 02:57
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	03-30 03:30
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	06-12 04:41
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-09 06:36
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-24 03:32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-21 02:39
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	02-13 00:46
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-13 02:33
will war machine be the top us netflix movie this week 835	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-14 04:53
Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-21 01:21
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 11 be less than 60	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	03-23 04:46
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-20 06:23
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 04:56
Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-17 03:45
will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-04 05:39
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	02-18 09:10
will jj spaun win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-07 03:45
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-01 03:12
will elon musk be richest person on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-10 02:47
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-25 06:09
is earth flat 20260608195956112	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-10 06:31
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 19 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-19 06:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 03:08:33	Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc20c96…
08-07 03:07:52	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x69ff16…
08-07 02:53:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe46f32…
08-07 02:45:07	Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf3a2b8…
08-01 01:41:27	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260728213423296	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf15e4b…
08-01 01:39:56	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1b0e00…
08-01 01:33:21	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260728213423296	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f5a8e…
08-01 00:05:36	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf88779…
07-31 06:23:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3e2ac0…
07-31 04:45:33	Will Communists of Russia win the next Lipetsk Oblast Parliament elections?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbbc9ab…
07-31 04:42:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x27109d…
07-31 03:53:27	Will Communists of Russia win the next Lipetsk Oblast Parliament elections?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x156f2e…
07-30 06:21:05	Will United Russia win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x326f32…
07-30 06:20:30	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4bcc3e…
07-30 04:47:18	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9a3180…
07-30 04:35:41	Will United Russia win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x054ade…
07-29 01:23:14	US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x29ee5a…
07-29 01:22:36	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3e8833…
07-29 01:12:15	US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x20047b…
07-29 00:56:53	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x454900…
07-28 06:28:55	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-10 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb93ea4…
07-28 06:27:09	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6083e7…
07-28 06:16:39	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbfba04…
07-28 04:54:55	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-10 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd3158a…
07-27 07:03:58	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa31477…
07-27 07:03:19	bitcoin above 54k on july 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9080fd…
07-27 06:47:13	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x353996…
07-27 06:42:01	bitcoin above 54k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xed5871…
07-25 06:19:27	Will White House post 0-19 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa361f3…
07-25 06:17:15	Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x96b0d6…
07-25 04:41:18	Will White House post 0-19 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x17ab4c…
07-25 03:48:52	Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x605299…
07-24 06:36:00	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x771865…
07-24 06:35:19	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0f18d5…
07-24 06:20:45	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x651bb8…
07-24 06:16:16	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe81ba9…
07-23 06:29:43	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd26aad…
07-23 06:28:51	Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc30c38…
07-23 06:07:33	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5363a0…
07-23 04:52:36	Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf58e83…
07-22 06:29:25	Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xca4ff9…
07-22 06:27:45	Will Bersatu win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6362f3…
07-22 06:10:33	Will Bersatu win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x783990…
07-22 04:58:19	Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c99eb…
07-21 01:25:09	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by August 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb99075…
07-21 01:21:18	Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbf33c1…
07-21 00:57:30	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by August 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb197de…
07-21 00:53:10	Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c0f70…
07-20 04:56:31	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145718 274	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x21708b…
07-20 04:55:52	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9c7870…
07-20 04:44:40	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145718 274	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54a8ef…
07-20 04:39:00	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdcd327…
07-18 06:25:03	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x66c2fa…
07-18 06:24:07	will aristotle self certify sports event contracts by december 31 2026 20260630144618249	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe4bf3c…
07-18 04:53:21	will aristotle self certify sports event contracts by december 31 2026 20260630144618249	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7bb1ec…
07-18 04:50:36	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfd96ec…
07-17 06:36:01	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5db205…
07-17 06:35:10	Will the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd62cd6…
07-17 06:18:46	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x568e47…
07-17 06:12:21	Will the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf4979b…
07-16 06:10:11	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x831e1a…
07-16 06:09:19	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3b5b8f…
07-16 04:37:28	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf4c512…
07-16 04:20:02	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdd5b24…
07-15 03:23:14	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x03e3ae…
07-15 03:22:17	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x53b0e8…
07-15 03:09:26	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xedfe2f…
07-15 03:05:19	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x06a752…
07-14 00:48:04	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf20e70…
07-14 00:46:56	Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3a8e52…
07-14 00:08:01	Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7bfce6…
07-14 00:02:22	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbc5ed3…
07-13 04:44:44	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6573c8…
07-13 04:44:05	Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5d9964…
07-13 04:23:17	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x16786b…
07-13 04:17:43	Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa69ae8…
07-11 00:29:08	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x18d207…
07-11 00:28:02	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x10abbc…
07-11 00:04:20	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6ad44e…
07-10 23:57:31	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x131890…
07-10 03:58:11	will nick begich iii advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc56df6…
07-10 03:57:14	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x71e129…
07-10 03:35:01	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x59a4a5…
07-10 03:30:46	will nick begich iii advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa60f76…
07-09 00:26:56	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2b9d6a…
07-09 00:25:49	will afghanistan recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7647bd…
07-09 00:11:43	will afghanistan recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x20ed2e…
07-09 00:08:34	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc0a534…
07-08 06:18:17	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x66cf90…
07-08 06:17:20	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x82288b…
07-08 04:47:26	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe49cdc…
07-08 04:41:56	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x178c3e…
07-07 04:29:43	Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0a5615…
07-07 04:28:56	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xccd2a0…
07-07 03:40:07	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x97b9c8…
07-07 03:33:29	Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3c457f…
07-06 03:40:10	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1a63ff…
07-06 03:39:25	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x17e3fd…
07-06 03:26:11	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6a698a…
07-06 03:21:04	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d6367…