Realized P&L
-$419
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
856
Trades
1,826
lifetime
Volume
$14.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$148
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 10-23 13:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Other
52% 47% -$364
Sports
20% 39% -$28
Politics
14% 64% -$21
Crypto
12% 71% -$6
Tech
2% 71% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -34 -$23 86¢ $-29 -$6 05-21 03:12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -18 -$8 82¢ $-15 -$6 05-04 10:39
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -13 -$10 96¢ $-12 -$2 05-02 01:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -12 -$10 94¢ $-12 -$2 05-21 03:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -11 -$10 97¢ $-11 -$1 05-02 01:12
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -26 -$9 39¢ $-10 -$1 05-21 04:02
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +7 $7 97¢ $7 +$0 10-08 17:34
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? Yes +7 $7 97¢ $7 +$0 10-13 05:08
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? Yes +7 $7 97¢ $7 +$0 10-08 19:08
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +7 $7 97¢ $7 +$0 10-08 23:08
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +7 $7 97¢ $7 +$0 10-08 17:34
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +7 $7 96¢ $7 $0 10-08 23:08
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat? Yes +7 $7 96¢ $7 $0 10-08 19:08
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +7 $7 94¢ $7 $0 10-23 13:22
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -22 -$11 18¢ $-4 +$7 05-21 03:12
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +0 $1 99¢ $0 -$1 06-13 08:54
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 05-04 03:19