Awkward-Chuck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

Trades

256

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-19 12:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

71% — —

Politics

26% 50% +$1

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	12	$778	535	535	+0	open	—	04-14 06:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	16	$512	657	657	+0	open	—	05-09 03:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	4	$493	251	251	+0	No	+$1	05-09 01:21
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	6	$477	245	245	+0	open	—	04-04 06:04
will nicolai hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$331	121	215	-94	open	—	04-05 15:35
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	4	$314	176	176	+0	open	—	04-03 09:17
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$299	151	151	+0	open	—	04-09 18:06
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	2	$299	151	151	+0	open	—	04-27 00:43
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	2	$290	148	148	+0	open	—	04-16 19:13
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	2	$284	160	160	+0	open	—	04-21 10:56
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$282	147	147	+0	open	—	03-19 10:25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$280	142	142	+0	open	—	04-21 17:06
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	3	$278	150	150	+0	open	—	03-30 21:26
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	4	$275	141	141	+0	open	—	04-10 18:23
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	2	$273	141	141	+0	open	—	03-26 02:28
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$272	138	138	+0	open	—	04-27 08:36
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	6	$266	141	141	+0	open	—	04-16 01:59
will the us invade iran by march 31	6	$257	281	281	+0	open	—	03-31 11:26
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$256	131	131	+0	open	—	03-18 16:11
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	5	$256	239	239	+0	open	—	03-28 06:23
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	5	$254	234	233	+1	open	—	03-20 01:00
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	4	$251	129	129	+0	open	—	03-27 21:05
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 420 439	4	$250	137	137	+0	open	—	03-20 15:33
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 380 399	2	$250	129	129	+0	open	—	03-26 08:48
taylor swift pregnant by march 31	2	$246	124	124	+0	open	—	03-25 02:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	3	$239	124	124	+0	No	+$0	05-09 16:01
will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$237	121	121	+0	open	—	04-05 05:42
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$234	119	119	+0	open	—	04-20 14:13
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	5	$231	118	118	+0	open	—	04-25 23:55
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	6	$226	208	208	+0	open	—	04-02 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 12:17:35	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x615310…
05-19 12:17:33	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x53a623…
05-19 05:23:58	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x1b00e5…
05-12 15:12:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	96	95¢	$91	0xef6392…
05-12 09:29:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	96	95¢	$91	0xc7afa3…
05-12 07:45:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0xbbc61a…
05-12 07:45:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	3¢	$2	0x918192…
05-12 07:45:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	3¢	$3	0x7408cd…
05-12 07:45:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$0	0x680c48…
05-12 07:45:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	3¢	$1	0x2e3672…
05-12 03:24:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	285	3¢	$8	0x142f4e…
05-11 15:20:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	86	6¢	$6	0x476e72…
05-11 15:20:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	121	6¢	$8	0x27a3af…
05-11 11:08:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	207	6¢	$13	0x5b321d…
05-09 16:01:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$55	0x8eee4f…
05-09 16:01:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	68	97¢	$65	0x846699…
05-09 14:36:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	124	96¢	$120	0x513e73…
05-09 03:48:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	122	98¢	$119	0x0e9760…
05-09 01:39:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x878ec5…
05-09 01:39:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x3e0d68…
05-09 01:21:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0xd6fc49…
05-08 18:28:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$118	0x39f3cd…
05-08 17:21:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	121	98¢	$118	0x8453dd…
05-08 10:17:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xf53520…
05-08 10:17:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x672d0b…
05-08 10:17:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x0b5690…
05-08 08:57:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	131	98¢	$128	0x58a8aa…
05-08 06:52:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	131	97¢	$128	0x030e6f…
05-07 22:20:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	189	3¢	$5	0x082a8c…
05-07 19:36:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xa8a33e…
05-07 19:36:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x916c1e…
05-07 19:36:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	89	4¢	$4	0x27a996…
05-07 19:36:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0x096aed…
05-06 23:33:24	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	225	2¢	$4	0xcea017…
05-06 23:33:24	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x7b8b53…
05-06 21:10:05	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0xf60217…
05-06 21:10:05	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	231	1¢	$3	0x24da60…
05-06 13:59:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	225	5¢	$12	0xb4a3d3…
05-06 12:44:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	123	6¢	$8	0xac43a6…
05-06 12:44:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	66	6¢	$4	0x723d5c…
05-06 12:44:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x0032aa…
05-06 06:21:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	159	3¢	$5	0x6e0b78…
05-06 05:03:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0x981282…
05-06 05:03:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x66fd45…
04-28 02:04:24	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x72dcb9…
04-28 01:25:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	SELL	318	3¢	$9	0x938e33…
04-27 20:57:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	BUY	318	3¢	$11	0x444a93…
04-27 16:13:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xb2f4e1…
04-27 16:13:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	1¢	$1	0x948622…
04-27 16:13:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	1¢	$1	0x1a459c…
04-27 12:13:20	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	316	6¢	$17	0xcbcbad…
04-27 08:36:54	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xe8b019…
04-27 06:28:02	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0xf08d31…
04-27 06:28:02	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xcbbfc4…
04-27 03:06:34	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x855300…
04-27 03:06:34	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x2f887c…
04-27 00:43:10	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	151	99¢	$149	0x197d42…
04-26 23:23:26	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$149	0x718a4c…
04-26 19:19:26	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	282	2¢	$5	0xf1cccd…
04-26 14:36:04	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	282	1¢	$4	0xba34e6…
04-26 10:45:22	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	6¢	$6	0x5f9b04…
04-26 08:27:58	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	270	7¢	$19	0xb7a816…
04-26 06:18:34	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	374	6¢	$24	0x8feef8…
04-25 23:55:20	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0xf1efc2…
04-25 23:55:20	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x891c65…
04-25 23:55:20	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x54d0da…
04-25 20:55:54	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$77	0x8cea04…
04-25 20:55:54	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x00d583…
04-25 18:20:32	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xd9a5d7…
04-25 15:17:10	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xbafdaa…
04-25 04:06:46	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	146	1¢	$2	0x99bd97…
04-25 04:06:46	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	93	1¢	$1	0x75ee7f…
04-25 04:06:46	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	119	1¢	$1	0x43a533…
04-25 04:06:46	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x00bb0b…
04-25 00:33:18	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	374	1¢	$4	0xea1897…
04-24 14:06:36	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	7¢	$8	0xe04f98…
04-24 14:06:36	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	260	7¢	$17	0x95985d…
04-24 10:19:12	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	372	8¢	$31	0x3842eb…
04-24 02:42:46	Will France strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	124	2¢	$2	0xd64923…
04-24 00:23:56	Will France strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	124	2¢	$2	0x3702f1…
04-23 22:36:46	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	458	9¢	$40	0x80ef53…
04-23 19:29:22	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	459	6¢	$26	0x497bf4…
04-23 00:49:56	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	1¢	$1	0xc1e752…
04-23 00:49:54	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	1¢	$0	0xce73e1…
04-23 00:49:54	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	1¢	$1	0xbc6c8c…
04-23 00:49:54	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xac671c…
04-23 00:49:54	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	1¢	$0	0x180e96…
04-22 20:14:28	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	378	1¢	$3	0xc18b17…
04-22 14:39:18	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0xffafe2…
04-22 14:39:18	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9257f9…
04-22 09:47:50	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x825e31…
04-21 17:06:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	142	98¢	$140	0x40491b…
04-21 16:34:42	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	142	98¢	$140	0xd2f012…
04-21 10:56:16	Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	160	87¢	$140	0xcacd15…
04-21 09:53:32	Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	160	90¢	$144	0x8f1d6c…
04-21 03:50:24	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0x48aaa1…
04-21 00:53:34	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x160eac…
04-20 14:13:56	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0xd9597d…
04-20 14:13:56	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x33c7f4…
04-20 09:48:28	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	119	98¢	$117	0x35a21f…