Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
15
lifetime
Volume
$258
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$137
6 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 07-03 14:02
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
75%
Politics
25%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +117 $44 26¢ $31 $-13 07-03 14:02
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +25 $20 86¢ $22 +$2 06-15 13:55
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? Yes +24 $20 90¢ $21 +$1 06-15 13:54
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +24 $19 88¢ $21 +$2 06-16 14:15
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +23 $20 93¢ $21 +$1 06-08 14:34
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +22 $20 95¢ $20 +$0 06-08 14:33