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Realized P&L
+$82
Unrealized P&L
+$135
Hit rate
76.7%
Resolved
105
Trades
229
lifetime
Volume
$2.15K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$369
10 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 11-08 00:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Sports
43% 75% +$81
Other
36% 78% +$7
Politics
21% 68% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +261 $84 78¢ $205 +$120 11-03 13:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +39 $30 84¢ $33 +$3 11-02 14:45
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? Yes +24 $20 99¢ $23 +$3 06-15 13:54
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +23 $20 100¢ $23 +$3 06-08 14:32
Trump meets with Putin by November 30? Yes +26 $20 87¢ $23 +$3 10-27 13:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +17 $15 96¢ $17 +$2 11-02 14:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +25 $15 63¢ $16 +$1 11-04 02:44
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +13 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 10-27 01:03
Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by November 30, 2026? No +12 $10 82¢ $10 +$0 11-08 00:10
Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by November 30, 2026? No +13 $10 72¢ $9 -$1 11-08 00:10