Realized P&L (30d)
+$36
Unrealized P&L
+$124
Hit rate
68.9%
Resolved (30d)
31
Trades (30d)
80
221 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$616
$2.08K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$385
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 11-01 05:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Sports
45% 81% +$103
Other
35% 78% +$7
Politics
21% 82% +$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +251 $77 74¢ $184 +$107 07-26 14:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +70 $50 99¢ $69 +$19 10-26 12:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +59 $35 52¢ $30 -$5 10-13 13:09
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +23 $20 100¢ $23 +$3 06-08 14:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +25 $20 72¢ $18 -$2 10-26 12:32
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +14 $10 100¢ $14 +$4 06-08 14:33
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +13 $10 92¢ $12 +$2 10-26 12:26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 10-27 01:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +15 $10 72¢ $10 +$0 10-27 13:16
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +8 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 10-26 12:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +10 $5 40¢ $4 -$1 10-18 02:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +11 $5 34¢ $4 -$1 10-13 13:09
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? Yes — +9 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 11-01 05:44