Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$3.54K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
0
1,649 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$315.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$191
Open exposure
$28.5K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 10-28 16:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Politics
52% 64% +$10,794
Other
41% 59% -$12,488
Sports
5% 45% -$983
Tech
1% 100% +$29
Crypto
0% 50% -$56
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$39
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,970 $5,599 76¢ $6.8K +$1,173 10-22 02:35
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +7,129 $3,568 86¢ $6.2K +$2,595 07-21 12:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,000 $4,380 82¢ $5.0K +$570 05-20 14:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,000 $3,560 68¢ $2.7K -$820 10-28 16:08
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +2,858 $2,372 86¢ $2.5K +$100 09-01 11:09
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,340 80¢ $1.6K +$250 10-09 23:09
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,249 $321 85¢ $1.1K +$740 09-22 09:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5,000 $1,200 12¢ $625 -$575 09-08 21:21
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +672 $423 90¢ $602 +$178 09-24 16:56
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,000 $420 57¢ $568 +$148 09-24 16:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +1,000 $730 54¢ $535 -$195 09-26 02:55
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +5,000 $950 8¢ $425 -$525 06-19 18:28
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes +400 $84 6¢ $22 -$62 09-22 05:49
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +248 $37 0¢ $0 -$37 06-02 19:24