Realized P&L
-$2.64K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.50K
Hit rate
75.4%
Resolved
182
Trades
1,649
lifetime
Volume
$315.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$191
Open exposure
$28.5K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 10-28 16:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Politics
52% 65% +$10,861
Other
41% 59% -$12,488
Sports
5% 45% -$983
Tech
1% 100% +$29
Crypto
0% 50% -$56
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,970 $5,599 72¢ $6.4K +$815 10-22 02:35
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +7,129 $3,568 85¢ $6.1K +$2,517 07-21 12:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,000 $4,380 82¢ $5.0K +$570 05-20 14:49
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +2,858 $2,372 85¢ $2.4K +$57 09-01 11:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,000 $3,560 60¢ $2.4K -$1,140 10-28 16:08
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,340 78¢ $1.5K +$210 10-09 23:09
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,249 $321 83¢ $1.0K +$713 09-22 09:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +849 $688 95¢ $806 +$119 10-22 04:03
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,000 $420 59¢ $594 +$174 09-24 16:59
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +672 $423 86¢ $581 +$158 09-24 16:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5,000 $1,200 11¢ $525 -$675 09-08 21:21
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +5,000 $950 10¢ $500 -$450 06-19 18:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +1,000 $730 44¢ $445 -$285 09-26 02:55
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +100 $61 100¢ $100 +$39 09-08 18:28
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes +400 $84 6¢ $24 -$60 09-22 05:49
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +300 $228 1¢ $3 -$225 10-27 17:37
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +248 $37 0¢ $0 -$37 06-02 19:24