Realized P&L (30d)
-$115
Unrealized P&L
+$1.21K
Hit rate
44.4%
Resolved (30d)
3
Trades (30d)
22
1,648 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$13.8K
$313.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$190
Open exposure
$27.7K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 10-27 17:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Politics
52% 65% +$10,861
Other
41% 60% -$11,968
Sports
5% 45% -$983
Tech
1% 100% +$29
Crypto
0% 50% -$56
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +7,129 $3,568 86¢ $6.1K +$2,531 07-21 12:55
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,970 $5,599 68¢ $6.1K +$456 10-22 02:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,000 $4,380 80¢ $4.8K +$450 05-20 14:49
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +2,858 $2,372 86¢ $2.5K +$100 09-01 11:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,000 $3,560 55¢ $2.2K -$1,380 10-28 16:08
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,340 70¢ $1.4K +$50 10-09 23:09
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,249 $321 79¢ $981 +$661 09-22 09:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +849 $688 96¢ $819 +$132 10-22 04:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5,000 $1,200 12¢ $575 -$625 09-08 21:21
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,000 $420 57¢ $572 +$152 09-24 16:59
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +672 $423 82¢ $555 +$131 09-24 16:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +1,000 $730 52¢ $515 -$215 09-26 02:55
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +5,000 $950 10¢ $475 -$475 06-19 18:28
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +100 $61 100¢ $100 +$39 09-08 18:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $520 4¢ $40 -$480 09-22 10:40
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes +400 $84 7¢ $28 -$56 09-22 05:49
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +300 $228 1¢ $3 -$225 10-27 17:37
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +248 $37 0¢ $0 -$37 06-02 19:24