Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved (90d)

133

Trades (90d)

128

139 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$200

$225 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 11-04 22:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

87% 50% -$7

Politics

13% 71% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	2	$5	14	+14	No	-$2	09-22 18:29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	2	$5	12	+12	No	-$2	09-19 07:42
will spy dip to 775 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-17 09:33
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$4	09-18 15:08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-09 13:38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	+$8	09-20 01:04
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-14 14:22
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	09-14 06:19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-16 19:28
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	09-13 22:16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-20 12:27
will wti dip to 95 by september 7 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$3	09-10 01:11
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	09-08 06:55
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 18 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-12 17:41
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-18 05:35
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-20 10:48
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-24 00:15
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-25 23:54
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-30 12:20
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-04 00:01
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-24 16:21
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-25 02:57
will trump say nuclear during remarks at nasa	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	+$7	08-27 04:41
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-09 12:15
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-18 01:36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-15 22:53
will xagusd dip to 63 by august 17 2026	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-18 18:21
will spy dip to 760 by august 31 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-30 21:29
grok 4pt6 released by august 11 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-11 12:54
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-09 04:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 22:11:55	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa42a9a…
11-01 08:51:19	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x54c913…
10-31 21:26:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x314cb1…
10-31 06:05:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8d65f0…
10-30 21:30:27	Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.4M in September?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc84022…
10-29 22:32:25	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeb6b5b…
10-29 02:32:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xaea1ad…
10-24 05:23:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4e89c2…
10-23 21:20:21	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1432c8…
10-23 12:43:54	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6c693b…
10-21 16:40:03	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x85d3b7…
10-21 08:24:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdb1573…
10-21 00:24:20	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc13a2c…
10-16 02:01:46	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x26eab7…
10-15 18:01:17	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x53cde5…
10-15 09:49:55	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd1064b…
10-15 01:36:31	spx up or down on october 15 2026	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8b9ee7…
10-13 05:33:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x44492b…
10-12 21:32:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9f9398…
10-12 21:32:54	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3ac73f…
10-12 13:32:50	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd5411a…
10-11 17:32:21	gemini argon released by october 16 2026	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9309af…
10-11 09:25:42	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdc9c4f…
10-11 01:04:15	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x324ba8…
10-10 16:49:15	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x97eaad…
10-10 08:16:03	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8c0ed2…
10-10 08:01:54	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x24c3a4…
10-09 22:57:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa482b2…
10-09 14:29:48	Will China’s CPI increase by at least 1.1% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe44d04…
10-09 06:27:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfdc1e0…
10-08 22:27:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0bf282…
10-08 14:24:27	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x133fdd…
10-08 06:19:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x539b51…
10-07 22:15:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7a8118…
10-07 14:13:17	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf40f0b…
10-07 05:56:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x256f8e…
10-06 21:56:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x98bb3d…
10-06 13:56:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xaed2ef…
10-06 05:54:46	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2491e9…
10-05 21:54:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x34ddce…
10-05 13:54:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x45f01f…
10-05 03:56:02	will xagusd dip to 60 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4ae1aa…
10-04 19:46:19	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc9379e…
10-04 11:29:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa32aa7…
10-04 10:54:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x680dae…
10-03 20:49:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa0d800…
10-03 05:38:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1d7b53…
10-02 21:19:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x867cc6…
10-02 11:59:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1ee60e…
10-02 03:07:50	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x19e72f…
10-01 18:56:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd48d15…
10-01 10:51:39	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe87c09…
10-01 02:32:56	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1838a4…
10-01 02:28:02	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x43dd19…
09-30 17:50:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xca7beb…
09-30 09:40:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc8cf7a…
09-30 00:20:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9f61b8…
09-29 16:20:06	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in August?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc77863…
09-29 16:20:03	will xagusd reach 63 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1d43e9…
09-29 08:19:44	will msft dip to 502 50 by september 28 2026 from september 28	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2fe537…
09-29 00:15:20	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4d8d5b…
09-28 15:32:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xaf0cd4…
09-28 06:48:17	Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc7eeb6…
09-27 22:44:41	will ewy dip to 182 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2482e7…
09-27 14:06:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x910930…
09-27 05:58:42	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x136f84…
09-26 21:35:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc14883…
09-26 13:08:20	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa704f9…
09-26 05:08:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x117aa8…
09-26 04:24:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3e8835…
09-22 18:29:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xc30163…
09-22 18:28:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x9217bc…
09-22 10:28:16	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x364f76…
09-21 22:27:30	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x3e5bc9…
09-20 12:27:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf54af7…
09-20 10:48:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xaeeb21…
09-20 01:04:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x15e32d…
09-19 16:15:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdb7e9c…
09-19 07:42:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x5b6f8a…
09-19 07:40:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x28e51c…
09-18 23:28:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xadafd6…
09-18 15:08:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x6e124e…
09-18 05:35:25	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xfb068c…
09-16 19:28:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf1c8a7…
09-16 06:54:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x7170dd…
09-15 22:53:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x36a771…
09-14 14:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xeaa694…
09-14 06:19:12	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x23f784…
09-13 22:16:03	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x4b0e2c…
09-12 17:41:25	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 18 2026	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x494a7f…
09-10 09:19:07	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x02fd4a…
09-10 01:11:51	will wti dip to 95 by september 7 2026	No	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xf1894c…
09-09 13:38:24	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc666bf…
09-08 06:55:25	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xd04acd…
09-07 15:56:06	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xbc6451…
09-04 00:01:40	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x4dfd1d…
09-01 13:59:19	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x73bee6…
09-01 05:54:03	will nvda reach 228 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4234ae…
08-31 21:53:30	will msft reach 517 50 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x1fb216…
08-31 13:52:58	will xagusd dip to 63 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x84a718…