Realized P&L (30d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
—
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
0
425 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$0
$2.41K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$518
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 08-24 03:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Crypto
95% 38% -$96
Politics
4% 100% +$63
Other
1% 50% +$8
Sports
0% 80% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -187 -$173 97¢ $-182 -$9 05-27 06:39
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No -100 -$96 97¢ $-97 $0 08-24 03:23
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -30 -$27 97¢ $-29 -$2 08-24 03:33
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -47 -$31 44¢ $-21 +$10 08-24 03:36
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -20 -$17 99¢ $-20 -$2 08-24 03:33
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -20 -$19 98¢ $-20 $0 05-01 10:32
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -20 -$19 96¢ $-19 $0 08-24 03:25
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -20 -$19 96¢ $-19 $0 08-24 03:25
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -20 -$17 92¢ $-18 -$1 08-24 03:27
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -20 -$16 86¢ $-17 -$1 08-24 03:34
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No -20 -$15 83¢ $-17 -$1 08-24 03:34
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No -20 -$16 75¢ $-15 +$0 08-24 03:35
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -20 -$15 71¢ $-14 +$1 08-24 03:35
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -10 -$9 96¢ $-10 -$1 08-24 03:33
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -6 -$6 98¢ $-6 $0 08-24 03:22
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 08-24 03:22
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -4 -$4 94¢ $-4 $0 08-24 03:29
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 $0 08-24 03:30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -2 -$1 94¢ $-2 $0 08-24 03:29
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2 -$1 66¢ $-1 $0 08-24 03:29
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 08-24 03:29