Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$648

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

4,300

Trades

10,894

lifetime

Volume

$283.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-12 14:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 98% -$351

Politics

10% 24% -$180

Other

10% 21% -$96

Sports

3% 45% +$22

Tech

1% 25% -$43

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	63	$6.7K	6,792	6,792	+0	No	-$12	07-07 08:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	114	$6.6K	6,935	6,935	+0	No	-$6	06-15 15:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	62	$4.3K	3,065	3,065	+0	open	—	07-12 03:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	14	$3.6K	3,559	3,559	+0	open	—	07-08 02:32
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	11	$3.0K	1,728	1,728	+0	open	—	07-01 07:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	19	$2.9K	2,627	2,627	+0	Yes	+$3	06-14 15:42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	6	$2.5K	2,355	2,355	+0	Yes	-$193	05-28 19:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	10	$2.2K	2,338	2,338	+0	Yes	-$48	06-13 15:15
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$2.2K	1,668	1,668	+0	No	+$0	06-19 23:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	9	$2.1K	2,142	2,142	+0	No	-$75	06-19 17:08
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	2	$1.9K	1,509	1,509	+0	Frances Tiafoe	+$0	05-30 05:46
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	10	$1.4K	953	953	+0	No	+$0	06-24 17:08
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	7	$1.2K	1,513	1,513	+0	No	+$18	06-02 16:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	17	$1.2K	1,023	1,023	+0	Yes	$0	06-10 11:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$894	526	526	+0	Yes	+$0	07-07 09:12
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	17	$882	1,038	1,038	+0	open	—	05-28 15:39
Fed rate hike in 2026?	6	$837	784	784	+0	Yes	+$0	07-11 23:58
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	7	$829	628	628	+0	Yes	$0	05-23 18:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	12	$799	929	929	+0	Yes	+$0	05-27 03:49
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	20	$753	610	610	+0	Yes	$0	07-03 13:24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	4	$751	1,154	1,154	+0	No	-$28	06-02 13:53
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$730	454	454	+0	Yes	-$5	07-12 14:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$721	1,152	1,152	+0	No	+$7	05-24 12:42
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	2	$714	889	889	+0	open	—	07-12 14:38
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	5	$708	983	983	+0	Knicks	+$0	06-10 00:56
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	7	$659	560	560	+0	Yes	-$63	07-12 14:41
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	7	$659	727	727	+0	Yes	-$23	07-10 18:42
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	14	$638	1,310	1,310	+0	Yes	-$18	05-25 15:45
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$583	464	464	+0	No	+$8	07-01 20:06
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	5	$576	739	739	+0	No	+$0	06-26 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 14:51:41	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	112	72¢	$81	0x668bca…
07-12 14:49:55	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	192	36¢	$69	0x2b7a85…
07-12 14:41:53	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xdaf06c…
07-12 14:41:35	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	238	53¢	$126	0xbc9b29…
07-12 14:41:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	295	45¢	$133	0x15040d…
07-12 14:40:05	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	280	53¢	$149	0xbcbd4b…
07-12 14:39:50	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	42	54¢	$23	0x42a585…
07-12 14:39:25	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	454	80¢	$363	0x2dc53b…
07-12 14:38:55	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	889	34¢	$305	0xb3a202…
07-12 03:59:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	482	82¢	$395	0x7f5e21…
07-12 03:45:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	482	82¢	$395	0x498ff9…
07-11 23:58:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	54¢	$22	0x3c2ee4…
07-11 23:57:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	54¢	$87	0xe32f6a…
07-11 23:57:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	54¢	$52	0xa263dc…
07-11 23:02:52	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	162	73¢	$118	0xc5b1ca…
07-11 03:07:58	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	219	47¢	$103	0xeddc0b…
07-10 23:51:25	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	219	47¢	$103	0xd5be4c…
07-10 19:30:01	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	454	81¢	$368	0x6b890e…
07-10 18:42:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	384	8¢	$31	0x20a358…
07-10 13:32:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	384	14¢	$54	0x143bb7…
07-10 11:49:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	210	83¢	$174	0x807416…
07-10 07:42:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	210	83¢	$174	0xa4f135…
07-10 03:31:19	Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	97	18¢	$17	0x11d767…
07-10 03:29:41	Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	97	18¢	$17	0x21bb93…
07-09 18:30:28	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	485	39¢	$189	0xbd4663…
07-09 18:23:08	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	485	39¢	$189	0x864edc…
07-09 10:10:17	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	297	54¢	$160	0x18f36d…
07-08 22:04:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	410	83¢	$340	0x281eba…
07-08 22:00:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x1cd356…
07-08 21:57:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xde591a…
07-08 21:57:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xd667d7…
07-08 21:57:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xd167fb…
07-08 21:57:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xb693cc…
07-08 21:57:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xad4ee0…
07-08 21:57:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xabe641…
07-08 21:57:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	90	82¢	$74	0x78ecf6…
07-08 21:57:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x76f21c…
07-08 21:57:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x4b69f7…
07-08 21:57:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x2bccf2…
07-08 21:57:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x2b905f…
07-08 21:57:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x0f8645…
07-08 21:57:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x700d9b…
07-08 21:57:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x630ca1…
07-08 21:57:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xdbe43d…
07-08 21:57:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	172	82¢	$141	0xdaede3…
07-08 21:57:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xd9cd10…
07-08 21:57:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xcbf88a…
07-08 21:57:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xcbd09f…
07-08 21:57:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xc4d0d1…
07-08 21:57:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xab5bef…
07-08 21:57:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x9f4500…
07-08 21:57:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x8d3534…
07-08 21:57:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x840b16…
07-08 21:57:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x64b901…
07-08 21:57:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x215914…
07-08 21:57:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x0b84e1…
07-08 21:57:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x03c02b…
07-08 21:57:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	410	82¢	$336	0xf023cf…
07-08 21:57:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	410	83¢	$340	0xcd9cf5…
07-08 15:33:11	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0xdb33a0…
07-08 15:33:10	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xba1f1c…
07-08 15:33:10	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	238	64¢	$152	0x1ffe96…
07-08 15:33:07	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	280	65¢	$182	0x01106d…
07-08 11:52:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	306	49¢	$150	0xfa20ba…
07-08 11:52:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	35	49¢	$17	0xe3f0d0…
07-08 11:52:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	341	49¢	$167	0xce0943…
07-08 02:32:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	354	38¢	$135	0x0ba9cb…
07-08 02:28:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	277	38¢	$105	0xd1daff…
07-08 02:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	631	37¢	$233	0x19bb6f…
07-08 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	631	37¢	$233	0x83f958…
07-08 02:04:19	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	259	37¢	$96	0x8ad0f7…
07-07 23:59:55	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	192	41¢	$79	0xc677dc…
07-07 19:58:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	295	65¢	$192	0xd34ded…
07-07 15:16:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	734	38¢	$279	0xab5a4d…
07-07 13:40:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	734	38¢	$279	0x4a5733…
07-07 11:29:26	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	259	37¢	$96	0x4517c2…
07-07 09:12:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	526	85¢	$447	0xbde24f…
07-07 08:59:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	810	6¢	$51	0xe93fcf…
07-07 06:11:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	729	60¢	$437	0xcc0574…
07-07 06:11:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	729	60¢	$437	0x0b39f2…
07-07 03:59:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	810	8¢	$65	0x680d5e…
07-06 16:51:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	526	85¢	$447	0xff7125…
07-06 10:42:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	586	69¢	$404	0x41e8e4…
07-06 10:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	586	69¢	$404	0x0cf5c7…
07-04 13:37:58	Will T1 win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xec54d0…
07-04 13:37:40	Will T1 win MSI 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xef71d4…
07-04 13:30:22	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	889	46¢	$409	0xa96683…
07-04 06:46:40	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	289	65¢	$188	0x826562…
07-04 04:28:10	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	289	65¢	$188	0xd3acb9…
07-04 03:31:41	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	71	50¢	$36	0xfd7d42…
07-04 03:16:08	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0x8c2759…
07-04 02:16:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	45	50¢	$22	0xe9aafa…
07-04 01:45:56	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x2de20c…
07-04 01:38:25	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xa3351a…
07-04 00:53:17	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xb1ba47…
07-04 00:19:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x444693…
07-04 00:19:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	248	50¢	$124	0xb66ab5…
07-03 13:24:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	232	71¢	$165	0x4de2db…
07-03 13:06:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	23	71¢	$16	0x193db8…
07-03 12:51:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x21041d…