Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$3.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$116

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 06-09 08:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 100% +$0

Other

35% 100% +$3

Sports

9% — —

Politics

5% — —

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	+52	$47	90¢	$47	+$0	06-05 09:14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	+43	$40	94¢	$41	+$1	06-09 08:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	+30	$28	94¢	$28	+$1	06-03 22:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2000 on march 25	2	$150	75	75	+0	open	—	03-25 13:57
btc updown 15m 1775368800	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	04-05 06:13
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 4am et	2	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	04-09 08:58
bitcoin above 70k on april 8	3	$136	70	70	+0	open	—	04-08 15:35
mex nec maz 2026 04 03 nec	7	$134	68	68	+0	open	—	04-04 05:03
cbb ark arz 2026 03 26	2	$130	66	66	+0	open	—	03-27 03:52
nhl lak cal 2026 03 24	9	$121	90	90	+0	open	—	03-25 03:36
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$115	60	60	+0	Yes	+$3	04-25 05:08
atp matsuok kwon 2026 03 26	2	$115	69	69	+0	open	—	03-27 03:00
ethereum up or down march 23 2026 8am et	3	$113	60	60	+0	open	—	03-23 12:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$105	53	53	+0	open	—	04-19 09:55
cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-28 05:01
ethereum up or down march 20 2026 4am et	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-20 08:58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$98	51	51	+0	open	—	05-23 14:48
highest temperature in london on april 10 2026 19c	3	$92	46	46	+0	open	—	04-10 08:12
btc updown 15m 1772939700	5	$90	60	60	+0	open	—	03-08 03:29
gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	03-01 08:54
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 25?	1	$79	80	0	+80	open	—	04-25 07:04
nba lal den 2026 03 05	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	03-06 04:47
bitcoin above 64k on march 29	2	$69	70	0	+70	open	—	03-29 03:28
bitcoin above 64k on april 2	2	$68	70	0	+70	open	—	04-02 10:27
btc updown 15m 1773121500	3	$68	40	40	-0	open	—	03-10 05:59
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	1	$58	60	0	+60	open	—	04-05 06:15
btc updown 15m 1773118800	3	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	03-10 05:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	05-22 13:30
ethereum above 2000 on march 20	1	$54	55	0	+55	open	—	03-20 13:11
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$52	33	33	+0	open	—	03-23 11:13
will bitcoin outperform gold in march 2026	6	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	03-31 09:54
bitcoin above 66k on march 23	1	$49	50	0	+50	open	—	03-23 11:06
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	04-30 07:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 08:57:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xa82253…
06-09 08:46:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x7b5f66…
06-05 09:14:39	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0x5d6ed7…
06-03 22:29:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x19fc7b…
05-23 14:48:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x566594…
05-22 13:30:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x76a2fd…
05-18 11:24:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$49	0x5ac1a2…
05-10 06:37:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0x8131d6…
05-08 11:43:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe6adcc…
05-03 07:07:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x896c5a…
04-30 07:40:40	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x38af09…
04-25 07:04:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x581131…
04-25 05:49:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x720c1f…
04-25 05:08:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x4f7446…
04-21 14:11:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x64b8bc…
04-19 09:55:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x7fd0ad…
04-19 09:51:42	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf36b7f…
04-19 09:51:42	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xcc4078…
04-16 07:52:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x54a90e…
04-10 08:12:55	highest temperature in london on april 10 2026 19c	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd80a44…
04-10 08:12:45	highest temperature in london on april 10 2026 19c	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xafc48b…
04-09 08:58:31	bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x80747f…
04-09 08:48:53	bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xee9244…
04-09 02:31:29	highest temperature in london on april 10 2026 19c	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xfe7df9…
04-08 15:35:39	bitcoin above 70k on april 8	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xbe90f7…
04-08 14:36:17	bitcoin above 70k on april 8	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$15	0x1524d0…
04-08 14:36:15	bitcoin above 70k on april 8	Yes	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x5a9e51…
04-07 15:38:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 7	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x962f3f…
04-07 11:37:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 7	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x24c4ff…
04-07 11:27:19	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe93380…
04-07 10:48:19	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf2ce60…
04-05 06:15:29	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xc9fbd4…
04-05 06:13:27	btc updown 15m 1775368800	Down	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x60d92a…
04-05 06:12:07	btc updown 15m 1775368800	Down	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xa93146…
04-04 05:03:33	mex nec maz 2026 04 03 nec	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x45a3c0…
04-04 04:57:07	mex nec maz 2026 04 03 nec	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x79fc12…
04-04 04:57:01	mex nec maz 2026 04 03 nec	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xae38e4…
04-04 04:56:59	mex nec maz 2026 04 03 nec	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf9aa01…
04-04 04:56:59	mex nec maz 2026 04 03 nec	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd5d18…
04-04 04:56:59	mex nec maz 2026 04 03 nec	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8b1731…
04-04 04:55:43	mex nec maz 2026 04 03 nec	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x9b6af2…
04-02 10:27:43	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x3c3245…
04-02 10:26:25	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x93114a…
03-31 09:54:05	will bitcoin outperform gold in march 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x784692…
03-31 08:12:09	will bitcoin outperform gold in march 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x169655…
03-30 19:33:21	will bitcoin outperform gold in march 2026	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xdfbd96…
03-30 17:13:49	will bitcoin outperform gold in march 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa0dc85…
03-30 10:49:08	will bitcoin outperform gold in march 2026	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xa90f81…
03-30 07:20:42	will bitcoin outperform gold in march 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfdbd5f…
03-29 03:28:20	bitcoin above 64k on march 29	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x3258cf…
03-29 03:26:22	bitcoin above 64k on march 29	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x274a3f…
03-28 05:01:09	cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	Tennessee Volunteers	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3ed4c8…
03-28 04:45:33	cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	Tennessee Volunteers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe566e1…
03-27 03:52:41	cbb ark arz 2026 03 26	Arizona Wildcats	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xd805d4…
03-27 03:27:37	cbb ark arz 2026 03 26	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0x93265d…
03-27 03:00:27	atp matsuok kwon 2026 03 26	Soon-Woo Kwon	SELL	69	75¢	$52	0x411d13…
03-27 02:55:27	atp matsuok kwon 2026 03 26	Soon-Woo Kwon	BUY	69	91¢	$63	0x22b7fb…
03-25 13:57:39	ethereum above 2000 on march 25	Yes	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x60f2c1…
03-25 07:55:27	ethereum above 2000 on march 25	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x585683…
03-25 03:36:01	nhl lak cal 2026 03 24	Kings	SELL	86	49¢	$42	0x8532cd…
03-25 03:21:29	nhl lak cal 2026 03 24	Kings	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xe971e6…
03-25 03:21:29	nhl lak cal 2026 03 24	Kings	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x00034c…
03-25 03:12:57	nhl lak cal 2026 03 24	Kings	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x74d277…
03-25 03:12:39	nhl lak cal 2026 03 24	Kings	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf790f7…
03-25 03:12:39	nhl lak cal 2026 03 24	Kings	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x722367…
03-25 03:12:19	nhl lak cal 2026 03 24	Kings	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x03ff43…
03-25 03:12:17	nhl lak cal 2026 03 24	Kings	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xad7988…
03-25 03:12:17	nhl lak cal 2026 03 24	Kings	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x7539f7…
03-23 18:14:15	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 18c	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x481556…
03-23 15:21:29	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 18c	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xcff804…
03-23 12:57:19	ethereum up or down march 23 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0xe582aa…
03-23 12:57:19	ethereum up or down march 23 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xb05672…
03-23 12:53:49	ethereum up or down march 23 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xf7fc40…
03-23 11:13:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	33	83¢	$27	0xba8dc2…
03-23 11:06:35	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x0e439d…
03-22 11:36:35	highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 12c	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x88d106…
03-22 11:12:19	highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 12c	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x644366…
03-22 11:12:13	highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 12c	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe3d654…
03-20 13:11:09	ethereum above 2000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xeb3668…
03-20 08:58:53	ethereum up or down march 20 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xcfcd3d…
03-20 08:54:23	ethereum up or down march 20 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc9da31…
03-17 06:42:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xaa10f6…
03-17 04:40:57	ethereum up or down march 17 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xf5b344…
03-17 04:35:39	ethereum up or down march 17 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x4acf28…
03-17 04:23:51	btc updown 5m 1773721200	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x5657a9…
03-17 04:23:15	btc updown 5m 1773721200	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf9e7fe…
03-17 04:17:19	nba sas lac 2026 03 16	Spurs	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0xf7deaa…
03-17 03:54:25	nba sas lac 2026 03 16	Spurs	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc7a2f9…
03-17 03:54:25	nba sas lac 2026 03 16	Spurs	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x61941b…
03-17 02:46:25	bitcoin above 72k on march 17	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1c2c37…
03-15 03:49:09	nhl sea van 2026 03 14	Kraken	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x177d0f…
03-15 03:44:21	nhl sea van 2026 03 14	Kraken	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x8766e1…
03-15 03:39:47	btc updown 5m 1773545700	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xf6b3bb…
03-15 03:39:03	highest temperature in seoul on march 15 2026 8c	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb44588…
03-14 16:44:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	26	86¢	$22	0xbfadba…
03-14 10:19:09	highest temperature in seoul on march 15 2026 8c	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb4a5c3…
03-14 05:29:37	btc updown 5m 1773465900	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x7a64f8…
03-14 05:24:55	btc updown 5m 1773465600	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xde8627…
03-14 05:21:59	btc updown 5m 1773465600	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x4bfcee…
03-14 05:18:17	btc updown 5m 1773465300	Down	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x6ae00a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	37	$440.0K	5,999	06-10 01:07
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	32	$133.0K	9,546	06-09 20:36
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	32	$45.6K	506	05-26 14:24
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	27	$74.0K	5,785	05-31 15:05
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	24	$10.1M	14,297	06-10 02:26
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	24	$9.20K	3,350	04-16 10:38
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	21	$109.6K	388	06-07 21:34
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	21	$1.42K	273	03-27 09:14