Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

-$79

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

125

Trades

314

lifetime

Volume

$8.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$132

8 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 11-10 14:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

35% 87% -$10

Crypto

32% 79% +$97

Politics

14% 70% -$38

Tech

12% 93% +$28

Sports

6% 56% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+40	$39	98¢	$39	$0	11-04 11:06
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+37	$36	98¢	$36	+$0	10-26 03:33
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+36	$36	100¢	$36	+$0	11-08 11:43
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November?	No	+6	$6	99¢	$6	+$0	11-05 11:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+65	$45	8¢	$6	-$39	10-17 17:42
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+50	$43	10¢	$5	-$37	09-30 14:09
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+2	$2	100¢	$2	+$0	08-12 19:48
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Yes	+100	$4	2¢	$2	-$2	09-08 12:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 14?	4	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	09-14 06:30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	5	$161	135	70	+65	open	—	10-17 17:42
bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 11pm et	2	$160	80	80	+0	Up	+$0	09-18 03:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?	4	$159	80	80	+0	Yes	+$1	09-17 10:31
ethereum above 2000 on march 25	2	$150	75	75	+0	Yes	+$0	03-25 13:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	4	$147	74	74	+0	No	+$0	10-24 08:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 06:00 UTC	2	$140	70	70	+0	Down	+$0	04-05 06:13
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 4am et	2	$139	70	70	+0	Up	+$1	04-09 08:58
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$137	70	70	+0	open	—	10-15 14:39
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$137	71	71	+0	open	—	07-05 14:56
bitcoin above 70k on april 8	3	$136	70	70	+0	Yes	+$4	04-08 15:35
mex nec maz 2026 04 03 nec	7	$134	68	68	+0	Yes	+$1	04-04 05:03
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$131	66	66	+0	open	—	11-10 09:35
cbb ark arz 2026 03 26	2	$130	66	66	+0	Arizona Wildcats	+$2	03-27 03:52
nhl lak cal 2026 03 24	9	$121	90	90	+0	Flames	-$32	03-25 03:36
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	2	$119	60	60	+0	No	+$0	07-21 11:27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	5	$117	75	47	+28	Yes	+$2	07-17 10:12
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	5	$116	60	60	+0	No	+$0	06-12 03:40
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$115	60	60	+0	Yes	+$3	04-25 05:08
atp matsuok kwon 2026 03 26	2	$115	69	69	+0	Hayato Matsuoka	-$11	03-27 03:00
ethereum up or down march 23 2026 8am et	3	$113	60	60	+0	Up	+$1	03-23 12:57
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	3	$105	63	44	+19	No	+$0	07-21 10:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$105	53	53	+0	No	+$0	04-19 09:55
cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	Tennessee Volunteers	+$0	03-28 05:01
ethereum up or down march 20 2026 4am et	2	$100	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	03-20 08:58
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	09-28 13:04
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-25 02:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$98	51	51	+0	No	+$1	05-23 14:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$96	52	52	+0	No	+$3	06-16 10:14
highest temperature in london on april 10 2026 19c	3	$92	46	46	+0	No	+$0	04-10 08:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 14:41:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x472eb4…
11-10 09:35:51	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x5627c5…
11-08 11:43:01	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x893f7c…
11-05 11:32:07	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xcc1ed5…
11-04 11:06:13	Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x8dad82…
10-29 20:45:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x9d1d4d…
10-29 14:41:10	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x422d87…
10-28 11:32:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x6cbb74…
10-28 11:31:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xed8be0…
10-26 04:17:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x1eae2e…
10-26 03:33:41	Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x0b1c47…
10-25 02:57:08	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xd0d763…
10-24 13:37:39	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x88d73c…
10-24 13:37:38	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x48d503…
10-24 08:36:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xe1e5c6…
10-21 10:52:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x912d4e…
10-19 14:04:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	35	90¢	$31	0x7c8353…
10-19 11:54:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x05c86c…
10-19 09:15:02	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x223bee…
10-17 17:42:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x073628…
10-17 05:05:56	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3436f2…
10-16 10:23:49	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x02eafc…
10-15 18:08:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x9ef874…
10-15 14:45:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x5b5273…
10-15 14:39:47	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc19926…
10-15 14:14:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x6f6cc2…
10-13 15:48:24	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xdda2a7…
10-13 13:14:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x55ecf9…
10-13 10:25:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xef88ac…
10-13 10:22:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x617f71…
10-11 13:06:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x297bd5…
10-11 02:23:21	Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x55a880…
10-09 04:47:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe28243…
10-08 19:10:42	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xfe0a5f…
10-07 11:30:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0x5d7c1b…
10-07 01:51:50	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x4c0fd8…
10-06 05:20:25	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x5a6d8c…
10-03 15:29:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	70	83¢	$58	0x5d5b7f…
09-30 14:09:59	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$43	0x66ca64…
09-30 11:38:36	Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x4623f5…
09-28 15:10:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x70892b…
09-28 13:04:57	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xede532…
09-28 12:30:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x202061…
09-26 09:11:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xff906e…
09-25 07:27:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9d5504…
09-24 19:20:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x266b02…
09-22 13:32:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x52c63b…
09-22 06:33:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x650680…
09-21 04:14:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x842eea…
09-19 08:07:06	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x61d585…
09-18 03:55:16	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x923904…
09-18 03:49:39	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xb8580a…
09-17 10:31:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?	Yes	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0xccdbaf…
09-17 09:52:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x5b6bc3…
09-17 09:06:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xbca14d…
09-17 08:47:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x98f4f8…
09-16 06:22:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xceca00…
09-14 06:30:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 14?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x705e86…
09-14 06:30:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaf10f0…
09-14 06:18:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 14?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x728e06…
09-14 06:07:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x80b139…
09-13 08:55:45	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x90ebe6…
09-13 08:21:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x13ea11…
09-10 06:23:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x0a78aa…
09-10 06:06:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x23f2d2…
09-08 12:53:39	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xe3dbd8…
09-08 11:58:57	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5578c4…
09-03 15:15:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x94987c…
09-02 07:18:27	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0x775122…
08-31 03:17:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x17931f…
08-30 19:34:19	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x015e1e…
08-30 05:16:34	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5fc510…
08-30 05:04:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed3e17…
08-28 14:17:24	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xc10aea…
08-23 02:25:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x8c8af7…
08-22 10:09:04	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x6f7676…
08-22 05:17:19	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xea8412…
08-22 05:09:09	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x7c8915…
08-22 03:05:27	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x4c85fe…
08-22 03:04:52	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xdacc6a…
08-22 03:04:34	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xa36728…
08-22 02:50:45	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x4941a3…
08-20 11:51:34	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x617fc9…
08-20 08:00:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x0581a9…
08-20 05:56:27	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xeb7184…
08-20 05:56:10	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x224270…
08-20 03:24:15	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x6760f9…
08-18 07:33:16	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x100420…
08-18 06:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x693abf…
08-16 06:38:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xddd564…
08-16 04:40:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x06fcd3…
08-14 15:08:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc5cf70…
08-12 19:48:54	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcaaf37…
08-12 06:14:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0xf60b9e…
08-09 07:05:18	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x36c098…
08-09 05:02:12	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0xb35306…
08-07 08:47:33	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xd0e30b…
08-06 11:21:27	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe04a0e…
08-05 05:41:00	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x25b394…
08-03 04:20:02	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x6d81c2…