Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

+$330

Hit rate

35.2%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$9.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

$7.24K

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 10-26 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

82% 100% +$0

Sports

15% 100% +$12

Crypto

3% 50% -$174

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	-3,114	-$3,047	99¢	$-3089	-$42	10-22 06:58
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	+2,400	$2,050	94¢	$2.3K	+$218	05-12 16:06
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+1,230	$1,033	90¢	$1.1K	+$68	07-30 14:50
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	+963	$698	82¢	$785	+$86	10-26 09:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	25	$3.0K	0	3,114	-3,114	open	—	10-22 06:58
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	9	$2.5K	3,924	1,524	+2,400	open	—	05-12 16:06
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	4	$1.0K	1,230	0	+1,230	open	—	07-30 14:50
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	10	$1.0K	551	551	+0	open	—	09-15 07:41
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	12	$698	963	0	+963	open	—	10-26 09:52
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	23	$694	600	600	+0	open	—	10-05 15:37
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	16	$411	1,283	1,283	+0	open	—	09-13 06:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:35 UTC	9	$145	236	0	+236	Down	-$145	06-14 08:39
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	07-01 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:45 UTC	2	$50	95	0	+95	Down	-$50	06-14 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:25 UTC	3	$35	41	0	+41	Down	+$6	06-14 08:27
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$25	38	0	+38	No	+$12	07-03 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 05:55 UTC	1	$25	37	0	+37	Down	+$12	06-14 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 05:50 UTC	3	$15	23	0	+23	Up	+$8	06-14 05:54
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	09-04 09:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:20 UTC	1	$5	28	0	+28	Down	-$5	06-14 08:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 09:52:02	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xb80033…
10-22 06:58:21	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	204	99¢	$203	0xf76d75…
10-21 15:28:53	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x961335…
10-17 14:43:51	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	75	72¢	$54	0xeaaa7e…
10-17 14:32:18	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x8dd07f…
10-17 10:00:11	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x54d553…
10-16 00:22:57	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9a67f4…
10-14 10:42:41	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	95	70¢	$67	0xf155dd…
10-14 04:54:14	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x9f84e0…
10-12 15:17:44	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	27	72¢	$20	0xfcefab…
10-12 15:17:44	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	137	72¢	$99	0x0a39ae…
10-11 22:26:26	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x28260d…
10-10 10:11:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x46ddbb…
10-05 20:23:34	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	272	99¢	$270	0x6eadbc…
10-05 15:37:20	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x63365a…
10-05 15:37:19	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x602e82…
10-04 21:06:47	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbf2dca…
10-03 17:22:03	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	38	14¢	$5	0xc2e1db…
10-02 13:30:06	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	557	98¢	$549	0x441b1e…
10-02 05:35:44	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0xb21b6d…
10-01 09:20:17	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	SELL	98	72¢	$71	0xb17d73…
10-01 08:25:29	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x382e20…
10-01 08:09:05	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	SELL	240	72¢	$173	0xe13734…
10-01 08:06:20	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	SELL	62	73¢	$45	0xe772d7…
09-28 21:32:12	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x21d0b4…
09-28 13:54:59	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	77	50¢	$38	0xc51627…
09-28 13:54:38	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x528cda…
09-28 13:54:36	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4a4648…
09-28 13:53:36	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xb661ff…
09-28 13:53:36	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x0d0a2c…
09-28 13:53:08	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xea27e1…
09-28 13:52:54	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc8df8a…
09-28 13:52:51	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0xec39a3…
09-28 13:52:51	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xb87b1f…
09-28 13:52:51	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x7a7b58…
09-28 11:49:33	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x63bd57…
09-28 11:49:32	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xab4cbc…
09-28 11:49:32	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x258d27…
09-27 11:11:26	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x5ecf03…
09-22 15:31:28	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xcf3956…
09-15 07:41:18	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	247	99¢	$245	0x318fd7…
09-15 07:18:58	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x3f0ccf…
09-14 21:30:43	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	89	99¢	$89	0x30426d…
09-14 20:42:19	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x7d3081…
09-14 20:27:33	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x40f8f1…
09-13 06:49:19	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	321	7¢	$22	0xef0064…
09-12 14:22:33	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	321	7¢	$22	0x3035bc…
09-12 14:22:21	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	90	7¢	$6	0xc6628d…
09-12 11:10:25	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	49	7¢	$3	0x0da214…
09-04 09:32:24	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x83286c…
07-30 14:50:42	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xf1b0bd…
07-19 09:21:01	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	920	84¢	$773	0x00f0b2…
07-14 21:49:26	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0faa24…
07-14 21:29:13	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x413cd2…
07-14 20:57:16	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc3d2b2…
07-14 18:43:25	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x55be3a…
07-14 18:15:22	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4be66d…
07-14 16:21:50	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe246c2…
07-14 15:37:11	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3ec93a…
07-14 15:34:43	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x58390d…
07-14 14:21:02	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x3c77ab…
07-14 14:01:37	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0xfa6e5e…
07-14 13:42:14	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc405dd…
07-14 13:28:29	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x132b6e…
07-14 13:23:31	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd0ecab…
07-14 12:48:46	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6a40d4…
07-14 12:44:47	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x88b109…
07-14 12:43:35	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2a8812…
07-14 11:56:26	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x5aba31…
07-12 18:59:04	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	438	98¢	$428	0xbbdde1…
07-03 14:43:35	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	38	67¢	$25	0x5fc31b…
07-01 03:50:41	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0x8250e6…
07-01 03:20:44	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x14105a…
06-19 14:14:20	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	251	86¢	$215	0xbf145a…
06-15 06:52:21	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0xc3a98e…
06-15 06:29:19	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x793fd2…
06-15 05:48:16	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	67	17¢	$11	0x13c70f…
06-15 03:17:51	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x7675e3…
06-14 21:33:40	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xc63ad3…
06-14 18:10:21	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xe67e7b…
06-14 17:51:33	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x98e520…
06-14 17:46:25	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	96	87¢	$83	0x60fe6b…
06-14 17:28:30	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xdba87e…
06-14 17:24:21	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	110	19¢	$21	0x49673e…
06-14 17:23:27	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	70	19¢	$13	0xe3969c…
06-14 10:27:07	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x297989…
06-14 08:49:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xe9db0d…
06-14 08:47:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x10a074…
06-14 08:39:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xcd2f87…
06-14 08:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x1f94f8…
06-14 08:38:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xd85002…
06-14 08:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xd65e84…
06-14 08:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9d6508…
06-14 08:32:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x0f90a1…
06-14 08:32:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x746eb8…
06-14 08:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x74ffbf…
06-14 08:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc3a7ff…
06-14 08:27:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x986bd4…
06-14 08:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5077b5…
06-14 08:26:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x63875a…