Realized P&L
+$264
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
66.9%
Resolved
662
Trades
1,847
lifetime
Volume
$31.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$245
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-26 18:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 185 days
Categories
Other
80% 62% +$805
Tech
6% 71% +$190
Politics
6% 33% -$302
Sports
5% 46% -$280
Crypto
3% 41% -$149
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +70 $36 94¢ $66 +$30 09-21 20:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -51 -$50 94¢ $-48 +$2 07-15 16:50
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +34 $28 100¢ $34 +$6 10-26 17:38
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +30 $32 100¢ $30 -$1 10-26 17:38
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +46 $28 64¢ $30 +$1 10-14 04:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -25 -$42 92¢ $-23 +$19 08-20 05:11
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -70 -$14 18¢ $-13 +$1 08-25 13:41
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -10 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$1 04-30 15:37
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -128 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 09-26 17:56
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +73 $26 0¢ $0 -$26 10-14 10:21