Potable-Justification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$215

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

362

Trades

710

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 07-25 06:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Other

50% 69% -$9

Crypto

27% 64% +$204

Politics

20% 58% +$25

Sports

3% 32% -$7

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:20 UTC	4	$436	369	369	+0	Down	+$74	07-25 06:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:30 UTC	6	$389	446	446	+0	Down	-$49	07-25 06:33
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	4	$316	167	167	+0	Up	+$12	05-18 21:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$285	157	157	+0	No	+$11	03-27 23:48
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 19?	2	$275	139	139	+0	Up	+$3	05-19 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$273	1,505	1,500	+5	Up	+$239	05-20 13:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$242	235	235	+0	Yes	-$4	04-09 20:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:40 UTC	2	$240	153	153	+0	Down	+$53	07-25 06:42
will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	2	$238	121	121	+0	No	+$1	04-08 00:17
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	5	$230	127	127	+0	No	+$7	04-27 13:32
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	4	$216	120	120	+0	No	+$2	04-28 02:24
Will England win on 2026-06-10?	2	$212	118	118	+0	Yes	+$12	06-10 21:16
fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	2	$209	111	111	+0	Under	+$9	06-15 22:42
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	3	$206	108	108	+0	No	+$6	06-07 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	3	$206	210	210	+0	Up	-$4	05-19 02:45
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	04-01 03:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$201	102	102	+0	No	+$1	03-26 23:54
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 20?	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	05-20 21:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$1	05-07 20:55
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$189	95	95	+0	No	+$0	05-04 02:46
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	4	$185	128	128	+0	No	-$15	05-17 19:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$185	95	95	+0	No	+$3	05-26 02:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?	2	$182	92	92	+0	No	$0	05-07 03:21
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	5	$161	95	95	+0	No	+$7	07-25 06:17
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$157	96	96	+0	No	-$23	05-04 20:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	3	$152	89	89	+0	Yes	-$14	05-18 14:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$136	1,290	109	+1,181	No	-$4	06-02 23:42
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	3	$130	71	71	+0	Up	+$10	05-15 19:16
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$118	68	68	+0	Yes	-$8	06-28 03:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$117	72	72	+0	No	+$15	06-21 14:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 06:44:27	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x070cf7…
07-25 06:44:22	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x45dcba…
07-25 06:44:21	Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xdd5e60…
07-25 06:44:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x311861…
07-25 06:44:15	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x0da845…
07-25 06:42:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:40 UTC	Down	SELL	153	96¢	$147	0xb582d6…
07-25 06:40:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	153	61¢	$93	0xf61786…
07-25 06:33:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	99	97¢	$96	0x40b9c4…
07-25 06:32:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	99	80¢	$79	0x5ef7e5…
07-25 06:31:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	348	22¢	$75	0x13b334…
07-25 06:30:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xcccd3b…
07-25 06:30:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x0b8ff0…
07-25 06:30:07	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0xc87009…
07-25 06:30:04	Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$9	0xa19485…
07-25 06:30:00	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0x1528f6…
07-25 06:29:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x696178…
07-25 06:29:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x62db87…
07-25 06:29:46	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x89a554…
07-25 06:29:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xd5e336…
07-25 06:27:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xbbb151…
07-25 06:25:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xb34d80…
07-25 06:23:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:20 UTC	Down	SELL	185	87¢	$161	0x51c3f3…
07-25 06:22:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	185	47¢	$87	0xef181c…
07-25 06:21:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	184	51¢	$94	0x3179d8…
07-25 06:18:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	184	51¢	$94	0x692eb5…
07-25 06:17:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	34	87¢	$30	0x6af73c…
07-25 06:17:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	32	61¢	$20	0xb80c24…
07-25 06:17:13	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	49	84¢	$41	0xbd922f…
07-25 06:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xd5fd29…
07-25 06:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xad1a2e…
07-25 06:15:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x36322e…
07-25 06:15:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x069852…
07-25 06:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	55	37¢	$20	0x3aba5e…
07-25 06:10:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6a4713…
07-25 06:10:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3d9bb3…
07-25 06:06:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x74d481…
07-25 06:05:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4533ec…
07-25 06:02:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x5f28da…
07-25 06:01:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x6d5e35…
07-25 06:01:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xd4d0a7…
07-25 06:01:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x6b36bb…
07-25 06:00:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x646d96…
07-24 06:30:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 06:25 UTC	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x8799d8…
07-24 06:26:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x423761…
07-24 06:21:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x002e9f…
07-24 06:19:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x8e50b5…
07-24 06:19:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x87878c…
07-24 06:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xa22860…
07-24 06:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x840066…
07-23 05:48:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xdba64f…
07-23 05:48:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	29	46¢	$13	0x36a7da…
07-23 05:45:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x705fc2…
07-23 05:44:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x828907…
07-23 05:43:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 05:40 UTC	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xabaee0…
07-23 05:42:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x32b271…
07-23 05:40:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 05:40 UTC	Up	SELL	40	67¢	$27	0x445ed8…
07-23 05:38:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x2846d2…
07-23 05:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x5518a4…
07-23 05:33:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xfa8013…
07-23 05:31:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x64c49d…
07-23 05:30:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x068d9a…
07-23 05:29:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xd6f7b3…
07-23 05:09:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x0c1b41…
07-22 13:50:07	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x20281c…
07-22 04:46:51	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x216274…
07-22 04:28:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x82bee0…
07-22 04:24:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 04:20 UTC	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x256c26…
07-22 04:22:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x9713d8…
07-22 04:19:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa72d50…
07-22 04:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc1d329…
07-22 04:17:37	crint wst2 nzl7 2026 07 21	West Indies	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe5938c…
07-21 23:24:04	crint wst2 nzl7 2026 07 21	West Indies	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7adaed…
07-19 21:45:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x0117d4…
07-19 07:41:18	Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xfd7b22…
07-16 05:45:28	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	29	58¢	$17	0x05b34d…
07-16 05:45:25	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	60	42¢	$25	0xacb139…
07-15 10:56:02	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xcf4d4a…
07-15 03:41:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x09dbf2…
07-15 03:36:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x0492b2…
07-15 03:31:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xc845a6…
07-15 03:30:26	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0xc49b78…
07-15 03:30:23	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	34	87¢	$30	0x8c2ba2…
07-15 03:30:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	61	88¢	$54	0x2e2c2a…
07-15 03:29:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x1ab7d5…
07-15 03:29:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xea3f90…
07-15 03:28:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x3f675b…
07-15 03:23:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xbb10d5…
07-15 03:23:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x3f0bfb…
07-15 03:23:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x5913e4…
07-15 03:22:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x3910af…
07-14 15:51:01	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 14	India	SELL	31	92¢	$28	0xb5b01b…
07-14 13:33:56	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 14	India	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x63ad83…
07-13 11:04:26	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xd63124…
07-13 11:03:32	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x8ae834…
07-10 15:23:56	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8ae5cd…
07-08 10:33:05	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf45e13…
07-08 10:28:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	45	82¢	$37	0xf5cc0b…
07-07 17:53:47	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8186b7…
07-07 17:48:13	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x1d95ea…
07-07 13:26:25	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x8562ce…