Realized P&L (24h)
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
27.7%
Resolved (24h)
3
Trades (24h)
19
502 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$62
$1.59K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$212
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 11-02 14:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
63% 37% -$123
Politics
29% 19% -$3
Sports
4% 56% +$6
Crypto
3% 31% +$5
Tech
1% 100% +$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +27 $21 74¢ $20 -$1 11-02 14:54
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +21 $16 78¢ $16 +$0 10-30 23:51
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +15 $13 96¢ $14 +$1 10-30 23:51
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +23 $13 62¢ $14 +$1 11-02 18:07
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +21 $14 62¢ $13 -$1 11-02 18:07
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $13 61¢ $12 $0 10-31 10:21
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +44 $13 26¢ $11 -$2 11-02 14:54
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +34 $11 29¢ $10 -$1 11-02 14:54
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $8 50¢ $8 +$0 11-02 14:54
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $8 76¢ $8 +$0 11-02 14:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +6 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-31 10:20
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 10-31 10:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-30 11:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-30 18:57
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 10-30 15:19
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $4 89¢ $4 +$0 10-30 11:44
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $4 32¢ $4 +$0 11-02 18:07
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 10-30 11:42
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 88¢ $4 $0 10-30 15:19
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 88¢ $4 $0 10-30 15:19
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 10-30 18:59
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +14 $4 30¢ $4 +$0 10-30 18:57
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +15 $4 28¢ $4 $0 10-30 15:20
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $4 72¢ $4 +$0 10-30 11:42
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +5 $4 79¢ $4 $0 10-30 15:21
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +5 $4 72¢ $4 $0 10-25 04:12
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$0 10-30 15:18
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 68¢ $3 $0 10-30 15:18
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +13 $4 26¢ $3 -$1 10-30 23:51
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 +$0 11-02 14:54