Realized P&L (90d)
-$107
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
56.4%
Resolved (90d)
224
Trades (90d)
384
526 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.40K
$1.67K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$217
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 11-03 15:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
63% 39% -$121
Politics
30% 19% -$16
Sports
3% 56% +$8
Crypto
3% 31% +$5
Tech
1% 100% +$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +32 $24 74¢ $24 -$1 11-03 00:11
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +28 $16 64¢ $18 +$2 11-03 00:11
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +21 $16 76¢ $16 $0 10-30 23:51
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +44 $13 30¢ $13 +$0 11-02 14:54
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +21 $14 60¢ $13 -$1 11-02 18:07
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $13 62¢ $12 $0 10-31 10:21
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +34 $11 30¢ $10 $0 11-02 14:54
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $8 50¢ $8 +$1 11-02 14:54
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $8 74¢ $8 +$0 11-02 14:54
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $8 70¢ $8 +$0 11-03 15:29
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $8 72¢ $8 +$0 11-03 00:11
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 70¢ $7 +$0 11-03 00:11
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +14 $4 36¢ $5 +$1 10-30 18:57
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 10-31 10:21
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-30 15:19
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$0 10-30 15:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 10-30 11:46
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 90¢ $4 $0 10-30 15:19
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +15 $4 30¢ $4 $0 10-30 15:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +5 $5 88¢ $4 $0 10-30 18:57
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $4 30¢ $4 +$0 11-02 18:07
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 84¢ $4 $0 10-30 15:19
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $4 83¢ $4 $0 10-30 18:59
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +5 $4 74¢ $4 $0 10-25 04:12
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 70¢ $3 $0 10-30 15:18
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +13 $4 26¢ $3 -$1 10-30 23:51
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +5 $3 64¢ $3 +$0 11-03 00:10
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $3 33¢ $3 +$0 11-03 15:29
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +9 $3 36¢ $3 +$0 11-03 15:29
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +5 $3 60¢ $3 $0 11-02 14:54