Realized P&L
-$104
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved
234
Trades
489
lifetime
Volume
$1.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$184
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 10-31 23:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
65% 36% -$125
Politics
28% 19% -$3
Sports
3% 56% +$6
Crypto
3% 31% +$5
Tech
1% 100% +$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +21 $16 80¢ $16 +$0 10-30 23:51
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +22 $17 74¢ $16 -$1 10-31 10:20
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +15 $13 96¢ $14 +$1 10-30 23:51
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $13 65¢ $13 +$0 10-31 10:21
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +16 $11 62¢ $10 -$1 10-31 10:21
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +13 $7 62¢ $8 +$1 10-30 16:53
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +24 $8 29¢ $7 -$1 10-30 23:51
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $8 26¢ $7 -$1 10-31 10:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +6 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-31 10:20
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 10-31 10:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-30 11:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-30 18:57
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $5 48¢ $5 +$0 10-30 16:53
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 10-30 15:19
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $4 91¢ $5 +$0 10-30 11:44
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +5 $4 91¢ $5 +$0 10-30 15:21
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 10-30 11:42
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 10-30 18:59
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 88¢ $4 $0 10-30 15:19
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 86¢ $4 $0 10-30 15:19
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +14 $4 30¢ $4 +$0 10-30 18:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 10-30 11:42
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $4 72¢ $4 +$0 10-30 11:42
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +15 $4 26¢ $4 -$1 10-30 15:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +13 $4 29¢ $4 $0 10-30 23:51
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$0 10-30 15:18
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 70¢ $3 $0 10-30 15:18
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +5 $4 70¢ $3 $0 10-25 04:12
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +16 $3 18¢ $3 $0 10-30 15:18
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 54¢ $3 $0 10-31 18:56