Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$2.85K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
10
159 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$15.1K
$361.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.27K
Open exposure
$81.1K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-28 20:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Politics
68% 100% +$4,414
Other
32% 94% +$6,633
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +34,812 $30,095 92¢ $32.2K +$2,106 10-28 20:02
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,700 $10,058 98¢ $10.4K +$380 09-26 17:39
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +7,293 $7,080 100¢ $7.3K +$202 06-06 16:45
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +5,800 $5,046 97¢ $5.6K +$566 09-08 19:29
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,329 $4,744 91¢ $4.8K +$105 10-28 20:00
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,400 $4,050 71¢ $3.8K -$216 09-20 23:23
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +4,400 $3,564 86¢ $3.8K +$198 08-22 06:55
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,886 97¢ $2.9K +$33 10-13 19:03
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +3,006 $2,785 92¢ $2.8K -$4 10-28 20:01
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +2,756 $2,616 94¢ $2.6K -$29 10-28 20:00
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +2,300 $2,069 86¢ $2.0K -$103 10-13 22:18
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes +1,877 $1,801 97¢ $1.8K +$20 10-28 19:59
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,700 $1,508 41¢ $1.1K -$410 10-15 17:27