Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.92K

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

169

lifetime

Volume

$382.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.26K

Open exposure

$13.5K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-01 20:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

69% 100% +$12,823

Other

31% 94% +$6,633

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+5,800	$5,046	97¢	$5.6K	+$577	09-08 19:29
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+5,400	$4,050	96¢	$5.2K	+$1,158	09-20 23:23
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+2,700	$1,508	100¢	$2.7K	+$1,188	10-15 17:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	9	$33.6K	38,552	0	+38,552	Yes	+$4,904	11-01 20:03
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	73	$25.1K	12,775	12,612	+164	No	+$243	01-23 00:23
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$24.9K	25,000	0	+25,000	Yes	+$75	04-07 00:14
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	3	$21.3K	21,797	0	+21,797	No	+$506	02-21 04:25
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	4	$17.3K	8,700	8,700	+0	No	+$95	01-22 12:34
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$14.4K	7,293	7,293	+0	No	+$206	10-29 22:46
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$12.5K	13,000	0	+13,000	No	+$544	02-12 20:43
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$12.1K	12,642	0	+12,642	No	+$561	01-16 08:09
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	1	$11.7K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	+$300	06-06 16:46
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$11.3K	12,100	0	+12,100	No	+$802	02-28 20:10
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$10.9K	11,565	0	+11,565	No	+$621	02-11 15:48
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$10.5K	11,000	0	+11,000	Yes	+$451	01-18 12:20
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$10.1K	11,926	0	+11,926	No	+$1,849	03-05 17:26
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	17	$10.1K	10,700	0	+10,700	Yes	+$642	09-26 17:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$10.0K	10,870	0	+10,870	No	+$870	03-23 16:40
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	1	$9.9K	9,994	0	+9,994	No	+$110	01-16 08:17
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$8.8K	9,156	0	+9,156	No	+$375	03-17 01:19
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$7.3K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$735	08-10 15:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	1	$7.0K	7,130	0	+7,130	No	+$122	09-08 19:30
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	1	$6.3K	6,397	0	+6,397	No	+$129	02-28 21:11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	1	$6.1K	6,400	0	+6,400	No	+$266	08-26 16:34
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$6.1K	6,200	0	+6,200	No	+$124	09-03 04:33
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$5.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$25	10-29 22:56
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	3	$5.5K	6,129	0	+6,129	Yes	+$633	11-01 20:03
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	1	$5.2K	5,259	0	+5,259	No	+$68	06-18 17:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$5.1K	5,200	0	+5,200	No	+$140	05-27 23:45
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	1	$5.0K	5,800	0	+5,800	open	—	09-08 19:29
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$5.0K	5,300	0	+5,300	Yes	+$265	05-22 17:04
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$5.0K	5,251	0	+5,251	No	+$217	05-13 16:33
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	1	$5.0K	5,170	0	+5,170	No	+$157	07-15 16:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 20:03:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	540	95¢	$513	0x516ca4…
11-01 20:03:13	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	94¢	$752	0x09ec0a…
11-01 20:01:58	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	701	98¢	$686	0xb88b21…
11-01 20:01:00	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x4c8b0e…
11-01 19:59:48	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,848	94¢	$1,732	0x985c09…
11-01 19:59:18	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0xd5ffba…
11-01 19:59:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,200	95¢	$3,040	0x7a7958…
11-01 19:58:42	Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,226	97¢	$2,168	0x5e9d75…
10-29 22:56:31	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	97¢	$2,911	0x279aa4…
10-29 22:46:04	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	7,293	100¢	$7,286	0x510656…
10-28 20:02:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x3e958f…
10-28 20:01:26	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,006	93¢	$2,785	0x2503d1…
10-28 20:00:41	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,756	95¢	$2,616	0xe0c1f4…
10-28 20:00:19	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,829	91¢	$1,664	0x69e23e…
10-28 19:59:53	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	92¢	$142	0xa4a2c9…
10-28 19:59:53	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,061	92¢	$978	0x3788ea…
10-28 19:59:22	Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,877	96¢	$1,801	0xe921b0…
10-28 19:57:25	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	413	92¢	$380	0xd61ef0…
10-28 19:57:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	180	92¢	$166	0x29ecc5…
10-28 19:56:59	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4,907	92¢	$4,514	0xc7ed04…
10-15 17:27:11	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2,700	56¢	$1,508	0x9f86a0…
10-13 23:54:54	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,500	88¢	$3,080	0x1dbb50…
10-13 22:18:01	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,300	90¢	$2,069	0xedf961…
10-13 19:03:55	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	96¢	$2,886	0xa17d76…
09-26 17:39:15	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	94¢	$115	0x2d3eca…
09-26 04:05:06	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x6fa274…
09-26 04:04:18	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x1da0dd…
09-25 09:08:30	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdfdfaa…
09-24 04:32:51	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x1a706a…
09-24 01:04:26	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	555	94¢	$522	0xf8da88…
09-23 20:41:13	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x09a3ca…
09-22 19:37:12	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10,800	93¢	$10,044	0xb8fb8f…
09-22 19:01:40	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x7aa44c…
09-22 18:44:36	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0xe5d84e…
09-22 17:53:16	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x71fa92…
09-22 17:53:10	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x80b272…
09-22 17:52:24	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0xda4698…
09-22 17:52:22	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,020	94¢	$6,599	0xf43ba7…
09-22 17:52:22	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xce2792…
09-22 17:52:22	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	430	94¢	$404	0x5a6ad3…
09-22 17:52:22	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x40e064…
09-22 17:52:22	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0x3adfba…
09-20 23:23:49	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,400	75¢	$4,050	0x07caf8…
09-09 19:53:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,220	48¢	$1,546	0xd78612…
09-08 19:33:36	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,500	87¢	$3,045	0xff4865…
09-08 19:30:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	7,130	98¢	$7,008	0x6ba78b…
09-08 19:29:39	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5,800	87¢	$5,046	0x76667c…
09-03 04:33:49	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6,200	98¢	$6,076	0xac138f…
08-28 00:22:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	4,400	92¢	$4,060	0x11ecd2…
08-26 16:34:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,400	96¢	$6,134	0x524d69…
08-22 06:55:45	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,400	81¢	$3,564	0xc1f653…
08-10 15:07:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	8,000	91¢	$7,265	0xd68ab1…
07-27 19:28:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,500	74¢	$4,042	0x595e5c…
07-25 00:08:09	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5,400	92¢	$4,970	0x5431ee…
07-15 16:58:43	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	5,170	97¢	$5,013	0x65d08e…
06-18 17:26:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,259	99¢	$5,191	0x8fa2dc…
06-06 16:46:28	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	12,000	98¢	$11,700	0xcb7c19…
06-06 16:45:51	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	7,293	97¢	$7,080	0x1c6c27…
05-27 23:45:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5,200	97¢	$5,060	0xab7b31…
05-22 17:04:55	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	5,300	95¢	$5,035	0x3762cd…
05-13 16:33:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5,251	96¢	$5,034	0x4c0d8f…
05-12 18:28:05	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	15,000	80¢	$11,935	0x3fd4af…
04-07 00:14:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	25,000	100¢	$24,925	0xee8d53…
03-23 16:41:43	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5,280	95¢	$5,000	0xca72d2…
03-23 16:40:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	10,870	92¢	$10,000	0x722ade…
03-17 01:19:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	9,156	96¢	$8,781	0x4784a0…
03-05 17:26:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5,794	86¢	$5,000	0x3eeef3…
03-02 23:19:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	240	83¢	$199	0xdeca3f…
03-02 23:19:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5,892	83¢	$4,878	0xa7052e…
02-28 21:11:17	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	6,397	98¢	$6,268	0x16eeca…
02-28 20:10:57	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	2,574	95¢	$2,441	0x5c9859…
02-28 20:07:57	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	9,526	93¢	$8,857	0xe84ba5…
02-21 04:25:48	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	6,400	98¢	$6,272	0x727f4d…
02-21 04:22:36	will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	Yes	BUY	4,154	96¢	$3,974	0x101bda…
02-21 04:19:38	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	11,868	98¢	$11,606	0x42d291…
02-12 20:43:17	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,918	0xe65ed5…
02-12 20:33:43	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,174	95¢	$2,059	0x9e4a78…
02-12 20:33:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	11,000	96¢	$10,538	0x0ee6f0…
02-12 20:32:55	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x775682…
02-12 20:32:23	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x1ee38b…
02-12 20:32:21	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0x0b3a51…
02-12 20:32:07	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	1,102	95¢	$1,050	0x96dafe…
02-11 15:50:31	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	1,200	81¢	$978	0x21f5d8…
02-11 15:48:29	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11,565	95¢	$10,944	0x39ffb4…
01-24 11:56:16	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	3,529	97¢	$3,413	0xd8308e…
01-23 00:23:46	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xc35b9d…
01-23 00:22:38	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	1,044	100¢	$1,043	0x670aaf…
01-22 23:02:08	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x8ef4cd…
01-22 23:01:24	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x15eaad…
01-22 22:54:08	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	3,003	100¢	$3,000	0x764f48…
01-22 22:52:14	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x70802e…
01-22 22:39:50	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	499	100¢	$498	0x0d5ab5…
01-22 22:38:58	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xf9972f…
01-22 22:21:56	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x6f1a0d…
01-22 22:11:00	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	1,689	100¢	$1,687	0xd157da…
01-22 22:10:18	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9220b3…
01-22 21:45:20	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x90d67d…
01-22 21:44:50	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3ce2c7…
01-22 21:40:44	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x39fa72…
01-22 21:40:38	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	408	100¢	$407	0x2c67de…