Realized P&L (90d)
+$197
Unrealized P&L
+$3.42K
Hit rate
95.8%
Resolved (90d)
7
Trades (90d)
44
161 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$102.7K
$371.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.31K
Open exposure
$71.8K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-29 22:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Politics
69% 100% +$4,414
Other
31% 94% +$6,633
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +34,812 $30,095 94¢ $32.9K +$2,803 10-28 20:02
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,700 $10,058 98¢ $10.4K +$391 09-26 17:39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +5,800 $5,046 97¢ $5.6K +$571 09-08 19:29
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,329 $4,744 92¢ $4.9K +$185 10-28 20:00
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,400 $4,050 72¢ $3.9K -$189 09-20 23:23
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +4,400 $3,564 84¢ $3.7K +$132 08-22 06:55
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +3,006 $2,785 93¢ $2.8K +$11 10-28 20:01
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +2,756 $2,616 94¢ $2.6K -$29 10-28 20:00
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +2,300 $2,069 86¢ $2.0K -$103 10-13 22:18
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes +1,877 $1,801 97¢ $1.8K +$20 10-28 19:59
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,700 $1,508 42¢ $1.1K -$375 10-15 17:27