Realized P&L
-$890
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
53.2%
Resolved
2,370
Trades
4,213
lifetime
Volume
$56.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$147
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-20
last 10-26 23:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
82% 52% -$65
Sports
15% 50% -$625
Crypto
2% 46% -$181
Politics
0% 40% -$19
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 873 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +496 $26 12¢ $62 +$35 06-29 03:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $19 56¢ $17 -$2 10-07 09:40
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +23 $10 72¢ $16 +$6 07-20 06:21
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +16 $15 96¢ $15 +$1 06-29 12:21
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 09-07 03:21
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +7 $5 100¢ $7 +$2 07-20 02:42
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +26 $5 22¢ $6 +$1 07-21 18:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7 $5 84¢ $6 +$1 07-23 17:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +6 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 09-05 12:02
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +9 $5 29¢ $3 -$2 07-24 20:40
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +0 $3 58¢ $0 -$3 08-30 12:00
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +0 $4 4¢ $0 -$3 09-18 20:45
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +0 $3 6¢ $0 -$3 09-20 11:15
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 $4 3¢ $0 -$4 09-15 19:00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 10-10 22:00