Realized P&L
+$2.89K
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
54.6%
Resolved
1,289
Trades
2,022
lifetime
Volume
$65.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$1.20K
25 positions
First seen
2026-07-23
last 11-14 12:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
55% 56% +$6,563
Sports
43% 45% -$3,404
Politics
1% 71% -$217
Crypto
0% 67% -$54
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs Bilibili Gaming +1,579 $600 38¢ $608 +$8 11-14 12:58
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +76 $70 98¢ $74 +$4 09-19 13:34
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? Yes +128 $50 53¢ $68 +$18 10-10 11:57
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +86 $60 70¢ $60 $0 10-03 04:32
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? No +74 $50 80¢ $58 +$8 10-10 10:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +66 $50 88¢ $58 +$8 09-28 09:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +53 $50 97¢ $51 +$1 10-18 08:56
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +68 $50 66¢ $45 -$5 11-06 07:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +35 $30 92¢ $33 +$3 10-05 09:48
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 10-01 17:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +14 $10 80¢ $12 +$2 10-12 04:07
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 10-17 02:10
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 10-01 19:42
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 10-01 19:42
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 10-01 19:41
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-05 09:53
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-05 14:08
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-02 02:18
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +11 $10 86¢ $10 $0 10-11 05:10
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +67 $10 14¢ $9 -$1 10-13 13:41
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 74¢ $9 -$1 10-06 01:17
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +111 $10 8¢ $8 -$2 10-03 03:36
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +12 $10 48¢ $6 -$4 10-02 08:40
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +16 $10 30¢ $5 -$5 10-04 21:10
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +16 $10 30¢ $5 -$5 10-04 21:10