Realized P&L
-$9.83K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.09K
Hit rate
51.6%
Resolved
816
Trades
5,019
lifetime
Volume
$128.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$9.47K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-07
last 10-31 18:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
76% 39% -$8,807
Crypto
11% 60% -$1,115
Sports
7% 41% +$531
Politics
3% 36% -$406
Tech
2% 50% -$37
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 247 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +2,452 $2,035 82¢ $2.0K -$12 10-27 11:45
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +1,126 $652 90¢ $1.0K +$367 08-23 00:45
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +1,049 $965 95¢ $993 +$28 09-22 11:54
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027 No — +543 $329 93¢ $507 +$178 09-03 19:44
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +563 $378 72¢ $403 +$25 10-24 07:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? No -400 -$394 100¢ $-399 -$5 10-19 14:24
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +441 $380 88¢ $386 +$6 10-21 03:37
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +402 $270 72¢ $287 +$17 10-23 11:04
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +348 $244 81¢ $282 +$38 09-24 10:23
76ers vs. Hornets 76ers +509 $267 52¢ $262 -$5 10-31 15:58
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +297 $168 86¢ $257 +$88 09-12 13:06
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +263 $219 89¢ $234 +$15 09-23 03:57
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +302 $251 74¢ $222 -$29 10-20 01:25
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +248 $199 86¢ $215 +$16 09-19 14:47
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +200 $65 98¢ $197 +$132 10-22 14:05
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +245 $179 77¢ $190 +$11 10-22 12:37
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +238 $134 74¢ $175 +$41 10-21 13:29
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Spurs +194 $159 82¢ $160 +$1 10-31 15:45
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +176 $128 81¢ $142 +$14 09-04 10:27
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October? No +140 $136 100¢ $140 +$4 10-24 14:16
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +775 $140 18¢ $136 -$4 10-22 11:03
Thunder vs. Rockets Thunder +294 $113 44¢ $128 +$15 10-31 10:44
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +145 $114 84¢ $123 +$9 10-23 06:56
Cavaliers vs. Bucks Cavaliers +128 $96 78¢ $99 +$3 10-31 09:16
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +97 $62 100¢ $97 +$35 10-20 14:41
Thunder vs. Rockets Rockets +152 $92 56¢ $86 -$6 10-31 07:09
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +98 $57 84¢ $82 +$24 10-19 07:08
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +86 $77 92¢ $79 +$2 09-01 06:08
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +110 $7 71¢ $78 +$71 09-04 03:22
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No +87 $63 85¢ $74 +$11 09-21 15:21