Realized P&L
-$9.72K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.02K
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
806
Trades
4,954
lifetime
Volume
$127.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$9.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-07
last 10-30 10:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
77% 39% -$8,762
Crypto
11% 60% -$1,115
Sports
7% 43% +$554
Politics
3% 36% -$406
Tech
2% 50% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 247 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +2,452 $2,035 82¢ $2.0K -$24 10-27 11:45
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +1,126 $652 90¢ $1.0K +$367 08-23 00:45
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +1,049 $965 95¢ $993 +$28 09-22 11:54
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027 No — +543 $329 93¢ $507 +$178 09-03 19:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? No -400 -$394 100¢ $-399 -$5 10-19 14:24
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +563 $378 70¢ $397 +$19 10-24 07:37
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +441 $380 88¢ $390 +$10 10-21 03:37
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +402 $270 70¢ $283 +$13 10-23 11:04
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +348 $244 81¢ $282 +$38 09-24 10:23
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +297 $168 80¢ $239 +$71 09-12 13:06
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +263 $219 89¢ $234 +$15 09-23 03:57
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +302 $251 72¢ $219 -$32 10-20 01:25
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +248 $199 87¢ $216 +$17 09-19 14:47
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +200 $65 98¢ $197 +$132 10-22 14:05
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +245 $179 72¢ $176 -$4 10-22 12:37
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +238 $134 72¢ $171 +$37 10-21 13:29
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +176 $128 82¢ $143 +$15 09-04 10:27
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October? No +140 $136 100¢ $140 +$4 10-24 14:16
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +775 $140 18¢ $139 $0 10-22 11:03
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +145 $114 84¢ $123 +$9 10-23 06:56
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +102 $88 96¢ $98 +$10 10-23 04:47
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +97 $62 100¢ $97 +$35 10-20 14:41
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +98 $57 84¢ $82 +$24 10-19 07:08
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +86 $77 92¢ $79 +$2 09-01 06:08
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +110 $7 69¢ $76 +$69 09-04 03:22
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No +87 $63 84¢ $74 +$11 09-21 15:21
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +65 $59 95¢ $62 +$3 09-04 09:17
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +70 $66 88¢ $61 -$5 10-30 01:04
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +55 $38 98¢ $54 +$16 10-18 23:01
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes +2,287 $83 2¢ $54 -$29 10-27 11:00