Horrible-Cohort — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$158

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

Trades

280

lifetime

Volume

$41.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$148

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 06-05 13:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 100% +$14

Other

35% 86% +$144

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	3	$2.2K	1,455	730	+725	open	—	05-25 11:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 1?	2	$1.8K	926	926	+0	open	—	06-02 02:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	2	$1.3K	650	650	+0	open	—	05-16 07:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	2	$1.2K	601	601	+0	No	+$8	05-13 01:33
will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 3	4	$1.2K	646	646	+0	open	—	06-04 00:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	3	$1.1K	590	590	+0	Down	+$24	05-12 10:38
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	2	$1.1K	554	554	+0	Up	+$16	05-08 14:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	1	$995	1,009	0	+1,009	open	—	05-31 07:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	5	$988	511	500	+12	open	—	05-29 06:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 29?	1	$981	996	0	+996	open	—	05-29 17:19
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 27?	2	$957	966	0	+966	open	—	05-27 19:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	9	$924	490	490	+0	open	—	05-04 16:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 20?	3	$921	464	464	+0	open	—	05-20 23:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 2?	2	$918	930	0	+930	open	—	06-02 17:23
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	3	$898	635	317	+317	open	—	05-14 16:45
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?	7	$806	718	100	+617	open	—	05-18 01:33
spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	7	$764	563	254	+309	open	—	04-22 12:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 24?	3	$728	728	6	+722	open	—	05-24 16:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 26?	2	$711	360	360	+0	open	—	04-26 15:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	1	$696	704	0	+704	open	—	05-23 05:47
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	1	$694	925	0	+925	open	—	05-26 17:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	2	$687	345	345	+0	open	—	04-25 17:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 21?	2	$679	685	0	+685	open	—	05-22 02:18
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	2	$670	337	337	+0	open	—	04-24 22:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 16?	1	$662	666	0	+666	open	—	05-16 22:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	1	$658	665	0	+665	open	—	05-16 11:04
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	2	$641	335	334	+1	open	—	04-24 17:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 19?	1	$579	583	0	+583	open	—	05-20 02:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 11?	1	$567	568	0	+568	No	+$1	05-11 18:35
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 28?	1	$495	500	0	+500	open	—	05-28 14:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 13:21:39	will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x937d74…
06-05 13:10:54	will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x1e88d1…
06-05 11:30:51	wti up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	206	48¢	$99	0x08bd8b…
06-05 11:22:40	wti up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	38	49¢	$19	0xc10707…
06-05 11:21:40	wti up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	244	48¢	$117	0x1bc1f8…
06-04 16:28:04	spy closes above 755 on june 4 2026	No	SELL	300	22¢	$66	0xd5d76c…
06-04 16:24:40	spy closes above 755 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x2bda6c…
06-04 16:24:39	spy closes above 755 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xd1bf93…
06-04 16:24:37	spy closes above 755 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xba6782…
06-04 05:50:16	xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xeb6e01…
06-04 05:31:13	xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x7242f4…
06-04 03:41:48	will spy dip to 745 by june 1 2026	No	SELL	155	62¢	$96	0x0905a2…
06-04 03:34:54	will spy dip to 745 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	155	63¢	$98	0xd3703c…
06-04 00:30:34	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 3	No	SELL	300	26¢	$78	0x83b857…
06-04 00:30:16	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 3	No	SELL	124	70¢	$87	0x059bf9…
06-04 00:29:57	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 3	No	SELL	522	82¢	$430	0x203598…
06-03 17:40:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	340	99¢	$336	0x23f6dd…
06-03 17:40:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0xc83e26…
06-03 17:37:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$301	0xe65c22…
06-02 17:23:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	291	99¢	$288	0x57961d…
06-02 17:22:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	639	99¢	$631	0xe4eae4…
06-02 02:11:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	926	99¢	$919	0x5933ae…
06-01 16:54:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	926	98¢	$908	0xf2b597…
06-01 13:31:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xcc481c…
06-01 13:29:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xcd5bb7…
06-01 12:13:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	94	95¢	$89	0x0c85dd…
06-01 11:36:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	94	96¢	$91	0xe2a331…
06-01 07:52:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	28	79¢	$22	0xf3f8d7…
06-01 07:51:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x355e8f…
06-01 07:43:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x029f25…
06-01 06:20:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x27a71a…
05-31 07:28:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	1,009	99¢	$995	0x71350f…
05-30 19:46:15	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$245	0x825094…
05-29 17:19:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	996	98¢	$981	0x53e4b7…
05-29 06:17:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	190	99¢	$188	0x168a22…
05-29 06:16:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0xaab36f…
05-29 06:10:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0x71286a…
05-28 23:13:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	211	97¢	$204	0x379929…
05-28 23:07:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$290	0x3b35d6…
05-28 17:11:41	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	469	100¢	$467	0x3a6a50…
05-28 14:20:02	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0xa78b07…
05-28 13:05:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x636ea3…
05-27 19:47:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 27?	No	BUY	236	99¢	$234	0x3f336b…
05-27 19:45:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 27?	No	BUY	730	99¢	$723	0xc3d0c7…
05-26 17:07:56	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	925	75¢	$694	0x609ee3…
05-26 12:29:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xc68c7e…
05-26 10:35:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xf8269e…
05-26 09:57:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0xf0e674…
05-25 11:12:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	725	99¢	$721	0x6f34d6…
05-25 09:53:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	730	99¢	$722	0x967a68…
05-25 08:33:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	730	99¢	$724	0xd111c5…
05-24 16:19:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	239	99¢	$238	0xdea059…
05-24 16:13:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x038f19…
05-24 16:11:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	489	99¢	$484	0x1c3c25…
05-23 19:08:57	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	223	98¢	$219	0x66b1b2…
05-23 19:05:26	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	495	99¢	$491	0x383204…
05-23 05:47:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	704	99¢	$696	0xfd3ab1…
05-22 21:22:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	388	99¢	$384	0x83dc48…
05-22 21:22:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x554e68…
05-22 20:58:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xef289b…
05-22 17:17:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x43f36a…
05-22 02:18:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	365	99¢	$362	0x253967…
05-22 02:02:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	320	99¢	$317	0x8e8734…
05-20 23:27:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	367	100¢	$367	0x474522…
05-20 23:24:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x688262…
05-20 15:35:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	464	99¢	$458	0xd94e42…
05-20 10:32:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xefb575…
05-20 02:23:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	583	99¢	$579	0xda4251…
05-19 17:44:04	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	440	100¢	$440	0xc05f30…
05-19 12:18:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	110	92¢	$102	0x2489be…
05-19 09:37:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0x926e7b…
05-19 09:36:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x30bd13…
05-18 17:15:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	175	99¢	$173	0xa8ddfd…
05-18 16:53:13	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	464	98¢	$453	0xae49fd…
05-18 11:43:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x0f415f…
05-18 11:16:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	76	93¢	$71	0x504205…
05-18 11:13:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	124	93¢	$115	0xbc99c0…
05-18 01:33:32	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	617	100¢	$616	0x41aa35…
05-17 22:02:10	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0x5b13cd…
05-17 21:48:01	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x017287…
05-17 20:34:10	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0xf6e736…
05-17 20:30:10	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2be240…
05-17 20:24:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x8fda06…
05-17 16:07:21	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x5e0687…
05-16 22:39:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	666	99¢	$662	0x4a82d0…
05-16 11:04:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	665	99¢	$658	0x649f6b…
05-16 07:30:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	650	100¢	$649	0xae1a06…
05-15 19:35:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	650	98¢	$640	0x1248fd…
05-14 16:45:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	317	97¢	$308	0x847e4d…
05-14 14:48:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	334	93¢	$310	0x66e6b8…
05-14 14:47:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	301	93¢	$280	0x8feace…
05-13 22:59:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	297	99¢	$295	0xd047b6…
05-13 17:22:25	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	319	100¢	$318	0xbfa959…
05-13 08:49:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x481c35…
05-13 01:33:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	601	99¢	$597	0xa45cb9…
05-12 20:59:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	601	98¢	$589	0x992e5c…
05-12 10:38:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	539	96¢	$517	0x643cad…
05-12 10:06:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x0c84b1…
05-12 09:28:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	590	92¢	$543	0xce60ad…
05-11 18:35:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	568	100¢	$567	0x5fdfb4…