Lopsided-Seizure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

Trades

183

lifetime

Volume

$5.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-22 19:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Politics

27% 40% $-9

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes		+26	$2	3¢	$1	$-1	06-22 11:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	11	$433	226	226	+0	open	—	04-12 18:02
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	7	$404	211	211	+0	open	—	04-04 13:55
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	4	$252	227	227	+0	open	—	03-20 09:49
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$238	124	124	+0	open	—	04-07 03:43
will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	6	$238	126	126	+0	open	—	03-24 06:39
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 380 399	3	$175	89	89	+0	open	—	03-19 15:00
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	2	$157	81	81	+0	open	—	03-18 19:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	4	$154	85	85	+0	No	$-7	05-07 11:02
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	8	$141	381	381	+0	open	—	04-06 20:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	5	$132	68	68	+0	No	+$1	05-10 23:48
military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	2	$122	62	62	+0	open	—	03-24 08:29
will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$121	62	62	+0	open	—	03-27 15:58
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 180 199	2	$121	62	62	+0	open	—	03-26 00:51
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 90 114	2	$119	68	68	+0	open	—	03-28 10:59
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$119	62	62	+0	open	—	04-04 23:48
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$119	64	64	+0	open	—	03-27 22:24
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$113	137	137	+0	open	—	03-24 18:29
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 380 399	2	$111	58	58	+0	open	—	03-24 12:34
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$109	56	56	+0	open	—	04-08 08:22
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	3	$109	56	56	+0	open	—	03-25 17:17
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$109	55	55	+0	open	—	03-28 02:40
will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$108	55	55	+0	open	—	04-09 08:22
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	3	$108	59	59	+0	open	—	03-31 21:26
will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$107	55	55	+0	open	—	04-04 06:18
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	3	$107	56	56	+0	open	—	04-09 17:53
Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	3	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	04-20 21:41
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$1	04-16 06:40
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$91	46	46	+0	open	—	04-27 02:11
Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	3	$91	46	46	+0	open	—	04-20 13:48
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$90	47	47	+0	open	—	04-22 06:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 19:26:59	will kanye west have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	78	95¢	$74	0x7d0f7b…
06-22 11:30:53	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0xd84791…
06-08 08:26:06	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0xe376ef…
06-08 08:26:06	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x01fd76…
05-19 12:17:35	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	59	5¢	$3	0x66a559…
05-18 22:25:17	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xd1d21f…
05-12 15:40:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0xf9f9df…
05-12 13:41:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x6bde4d…
05-12 01:35:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	3¢	$3	0x318ab8…
05-12 01:27:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x1c1e56…
05-12 01:27:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	3¢	$3	0x0dd087…
05-11 23:27:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x9fce75…
05-11 23:27:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x1faa51…
05-11 21:10:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x072579…
05-10 23:48:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xb6f27b…
05-10 23:48:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x46ebe5…
05-10 19:37:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xa8a2d9…
05-10 07:04:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0xfa6aff…
05-10 05:18:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0xbdcd1f…
05-08 20:03:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x945324…
05-08 20:03:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xb43ac5…
05-08 18:28:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x63c071…
05-07 11:02:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	43	87¢	$37	0xf614a9…
05-07 08:47:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x28f1ee…
05-06 20:09:39	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xa1f546…
05-06 17:28:47	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xfe851c…
05-06 11:52:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	42	86¢	$36	0x4f3324…
05-06 04:58:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x4068d7…
05-02 00:01:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	6¢	$3	0x826cfc…
05-02 00:01:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	6¢	$6	0x61f6aa…
05-01 18:53:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	8¢	$12	0x0f37c6…
04-30 17:42:44	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	1¢	$2	0xe6d8c6…
04-30 15:13:54	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x44f254…
04-30 15:13:52	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$1	0xfe46d1…
04-30 15:13:52	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x7c5a4b…
04-29 14:26:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x7f9b6d…
04-29 12:46:14	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xc0707c…
04-28 02:04:24	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x3dd54e…
04-27 02:11:36	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0xe4478c…
04-27 02:11:36	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xb11fb8…
04-26 23:40:50	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x9971cc…
04-25 23:50:12	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xd320a5…
04-25 23:50:12	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xa79097…
04-25 20:56:32	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x59dcbe…
04-25 03:07:14	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x18d924…
04-24 22:21:48	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xdf5393…
04-24 17:35:44	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x84a5ee…
04-23 10:09:54	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	86	4¢	$3	0xd8797a…
04-23 10:09:54	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	56	4¢	$2	0x22ef34…
04-23 08:37:04	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	142	4¢	$6	0xef9c95…
04-22 12:35:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x2eb1a3…
04-22 12:35:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0x12efd2…
04-22 09:47:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0xa3286d…
04-22 06:45:24	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0x529d7f…
04-22 01:37:56	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x9dc939…
04-21 17:06:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x8aa401…
04-21 15:17:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xd37c3f…
04-21 09:55:10	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0x96ae42…
04-21 07:22:12	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x2688a6…
04-20 21:41:56	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0xa3d00e…
04-20 21:41:56	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3dc03b…
04-20 20:35:10	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x17ca2a…
04-20 13:48:46	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x40087a…
04-20 13:48:46	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x241df6…
04-20 09:47:20	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x664a92…
04-20 03:27:30	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	7¢	$10	0x7b1bf3…
04-20 03:27:30	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	7¢	$7	0x224803…
04-20 01:52:42	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0xb7667a…
04-20 01:52:42	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	7¢	$15	0x5bdcf9…
04-16 12:46:18	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0xf8734f…
04-16 10:39:32	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x8cb699…
04-16 06:40:14	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x68054c…
04-16 04:36:18	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x89746b…
04-15 11:54:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0x594f75…
04-15 07:17:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0xb5d7e6…
04-14 04:10:55	will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	172	1¢	$2	0x67952f…
04-14 01:36:07	will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x7c091e…
04-14 01:36:07	will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	109	6¢	$6	0x580550…
04-13 11:42:59	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	171	5¢	$8	0xc0a787…
04-13 09:28:07	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	171	4¢	$7	0x777051…
04-12 18:02:59	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0xda128d…
04-12 16:12:13	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xd8953b…
04-12 07:55:05	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	43	94¢	$41	0x68ecb6…
04-12 07:55:05	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x4b8038…
04-12 04:38:05	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0xd914eb…
04-11 22:17:27	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0x5f5a95…
04-11 20:26:39	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x09bd53…
04-11 06:34:37	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	Yes	SELL	188	7¢	$12	0xf27f34…
04-11 04:39:49	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	Yes	BUY	44	7¢	$3	0xe8acf7…
04-11 04:39:49	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	Yes	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0x500d19…
04-11 04:39:49	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	Yes	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0x47d186…
04-10 19:30:07	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0xb72482…
04-10 17:59:21	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xaec9a3…
04-09 17:53:05	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x7cc9eb…
04-09 17:53:05	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	No	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0x10fb16…
04-09 11:46:43	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x42947b…
04-09 08:22:39	will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x05614f…
04-09 04:54:25	will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x381abf…
04-08 18:56:27	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xb54489…
04-08 17:47:39	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xba794d…