Legitimate-Worth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$650

Unrealized P&L

-$113

Hit rate

38.7%

Resolved

697

Trades

8,175

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$226

15 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-26 23:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Politics

63% 38% -$372

Other

32% 34% -$282

Sports

3% 33% +$125

Crypto

2% 26% -$118

Tech

0% 67% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-189	-$145	92¢	$-175	-$30	05-08 01:14
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	No	+25	$16	96¢	$24	+$8	05-07 07:47
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+16	$9	98¢	$16	+$7	06-06 18:04
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	96¢	$5	+$2	05-09 05:41
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+536	$62	0¢	$2	-$61	06-22 20:29
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+31	$0	4¢	$1	+$1	07-19 21:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	+45	$13	2¢	$1	-$12	05-06 14:48
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+535	$8	0¢	$1	-$7	06-30 11:43
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+429	$6	0¢	$0	-$6	07-13 21:58
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	+9	$3	4¢	$0	-$3	05-07 01:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	-4	-$3	8¢	$-0	+$2	05-09 18:29
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+36	$10	1¢	$0	-$9	06-07 09:01
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+66	$7	0¢	$0	-$7	07-22 06:01
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+31	-$1	0¢	$0	+$1	07-15 11:43
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+0	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	07-19 16:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	197	$554	568	475	+93	Yes	+$3	04-07 23:28
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	96	$541	770	712	+58	Yes	-$39	04-14 22:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	124	$404	639	639	+0	No	-$34	04-30 21:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	89	$398	455	599	-144	Yes	-$53	04-07 23:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	177	$371	427	415	+12	Yes	-$17	04-08 01:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	203	$322	444	444	+0	No	-$15	05-09 20:47
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	164	$297	366	358	+9	No	-$50	04-22 05:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	59	$296	401	167	+233	Yes	-$18	04-18 23:34
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	72	$286	355	213	+142	Yes	-$9	04-16 15:22
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	57	$274	576	576	+0	Yes	+$178	03-26 14:34
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	116	$266	147	147	+0	No	+$6	03-28 14:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	42	$265	625	596	+30	No	+$0	03-31 02:08
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	136	$252	19,010	18,475	+536	open	—	06-22 20:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	41	$215	302	148	+154	Yes	-$12	05-08 19:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	92	$199	359	463	-104	Yes	$0	04-07 23:16
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	85	$197	217	252	-35	No	+$53	04-21 13:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	95	$194	261	172	+89	Yes	+$3	05-08 19:12
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	122	$186	563	573	-10	No	-$38	04-28 19:44
cs2 nip tl1 2026 03 21 game2	26	$177	180	340	-160	Liquid	-$18	03-21 13:05
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	58	$162	215	128	+87	Yes	+$42	04-17 05:04
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	54	$159	133	75	+58	No	+$8	03-24 07:32
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	40	$157	196	86	+109	No	-$10	04-21 20:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	119	$146	451	487	-35	Yes	-$38	05-08 19:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	44	$145	0	189	-189	open	—	05-08 01:14
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	46	$143	231	236	-5	No	-$1	04-15 21:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	47	$141	516	516	-0	No	+$3	05-09 22:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	33	$139	215	215	+0	No	-$6	04-24 11:22
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	79	$139	284	284	+0	No	+$6	04-21 19:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	100	$131	223	159	+64	No	-$15	04-21 19:03
ere nec her1 2026 03 22 nec	58	$130	145	264	-119	No	-$25	03-22 12:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:24:18	Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	42	8¢	$3	0xdbb6af…
10-26 23:11:21	Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xbccd8b…
10-26 23:11:20	Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x77f47e…
10-26 22:36:44	Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xff915a…
10-26 22:36:44	Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xb9d280…
08-26 18:25:25	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x49816b…
08-26 15:32:04	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9eaff9…
08-26 12:17:39	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe2722e…
08-26 11:26:28	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xaaae1e…
08-26 11:00:25	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9f4b7a…
08-26 10:46:58	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x8f2fcb…
08-26 10:44:39	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xcf5d9f…
08-26 10:42:09	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xa60a4a…
08-26 09:13:00	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x2cf2fe…
08-26 09:10:52	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x120c51…
08-26 08:07:45	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xef0e06…
08-26 08:05:28	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x573cae…
08-26 08:02:31	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe8b8df…
08-26 03:47:57	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x369122…
08-26 03:26:43	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x2050c7…
08-26 03:18:49	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x07cfbc…
08-26 01:15:00	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe9c818…
08-26 00:57:19	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb54964…
08-26 00:17:27	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x0283d9…
08-18 12:56:00	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x69f545…
08-18 12:56:00	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x455dab…
08-18 12:09:12	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xb34f16…
08-18 12:09:12	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x23e15e…
08-18 11:36:43	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xf18f12…
08-18 11:03:55	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x26b6a4…
08-18 10:59:22	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x17d36d…
08-18 10:07:31	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xbeb41b…
08-18 09:40:57	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x6560b3…
08-18 08:00:09	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xedcb41…
08-18 03:22:21	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0xd24d06…
08-18 03:22:21	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0x67e7bf…
08-18 03:14:36	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9ed7b1…
08-18 00:12:42	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xbb80ff…
08-17 22:23:04	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xedbb83…
08-17 21:51:00	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x95cee6…
08-17 20:46:33	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xcd758d…
08-17 19:57:06	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe57fd3…
08-17 19:56:21	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x835952…
08-17 14:32:52	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x3aaa4f…
08-17 11:00:43	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5188a1…
08-17 04:16:25	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x44d622…
08-17 01:53:00	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x525498…
08-17 00:51:36	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xa1f2a6…
08-16 20:49:15	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x3571f6…
08-16 19:46:21	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf7b3bd…
08-16 19:03:51	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x916121…
08-16 19:02:01	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb253ed…
08-16 18:17:54	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x86b524…
08-16 16:35:39	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb65153…
08-16 14:50:37	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x65965b…
08-16 13:34:52	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xcdff43…
08-16 00:57:12	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x6b1d1c…
08-16 00:12:13	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x794d5e…
08-15 21:22:22	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x0ac74d…
08-15 20:47:45	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x92696e…
08-15 20:47:39	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x03eb23…
08-15 20:33:31	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x6cf959…
08-15 18:40:42	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xdfa587…
08-15 17:53:36	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x704c0b…
08-15 13:41:09	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x829d00…
08-15 08:38:27	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5322c1…
08-15 08:37:13	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x05eefd…
08-15 04:35:45	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x23ffe5…
08-14 23:21:40	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x2a1f39…
08-14 23:10:25	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe6d664…
08-14 21:25:06	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5f03fc…
08-14 21:05:31	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x316909…
08-14 17:28:39	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x743df6…
08-14 17:26:57	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x7cb4df…
08-14 17:24:00	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x29ad3f…
08-14 15:10:39	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xbf5d4a…
08-14 13:46:33	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x50637e…
08-14 13:44:21	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x7dd251…
08-14 09:54:52	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x0993e5…
08-14 09:46:57	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x084f77…
08-14 04:09:22	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x92eff1…
08-14 03:35:39	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe8bb8e…
08-14 03:17:06	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5c8093…
08-13 23:23:37	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x458bce…
08-13 18:45:57	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x81d70d…
08-13 13:58:55	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x7b1dfc…
08-13 12:23:12	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xdce45f…
08-13 06:52:57	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xfc6dfd…
08-13 04:57:37	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x2edab6…
08-12 23:22:31	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x0ef844…
08-12 23:12:33	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x0564c2…
08-12 23:11:33	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc99bdf…
08-12 22:29:31	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9ccf79…
08-12 21:58:54	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x1825cb…
08-12 20:35:07	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x952753…
08-12 20:02:16	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x07d304…
08-12 19:58:15	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x0a6b2e…
08-12 19:37:42	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x34c9d3…
08-12 18:46:10	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x2641b3…
08-12 14:34:27	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x85df18…