Fragrant-Product — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

911

Trades

1,321

lifetime

Volume

$1.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 10-24 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 78% +$16

Other

21% 50% -$13

Politics

2% 55% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-41	-$9	12¢	$-5	+$4	06-14 09:06
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		-28	-$1	3¢	$-1	+$0	08-17 14:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	21	$13	25	54	-28	open	—	08-17 14:33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	04-13 21:34
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on May 25?	4	$11	7	7	+0	No	-$1	05-25 12:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	17	$11	3	44	-41	open	—	06-14 09:06
highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 64 65f	5	$7	10	9	+0	No	-$1	04-18 14:39
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?	5	$7	104	104	+0	Yes	+$1	05-24 20:44
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 1?	4	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	07-01 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	4	$6	3	3	+0	Up	$0	05-07 14:57
highest temperature in moscow on april 24 2026 5c	6	$6	8	7	+0	Yes	-$2	04-24 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	5	$6	4	3	+1	Up	+$1	05-07 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	5	$6	6	5	+1	Up	+$1	05-10 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 28?	5	$6	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-28 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	-$1	05-07 15:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?	4	$5	10	10	+0	No	-$1	04-30 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$5	3	2	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 14:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 01:40 UTC	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	04-06 01:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 01:20 UTC	2	$5	7	0	+7	Up	-$2	04-06 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	4	$5	3	2	+1	Up	$0	05-06 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	6	$5	5	5	+0	Down	-$1	05-04 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	5	$4	4	3	+1	Up	-$1	05-03 16:28
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 4?	4	$4	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	06-04 20:59
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 28?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	5	$4	4	3	+1	Down	$0	05-14 02:14
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24?	3	$4	16	16	+0	No	-$2	05-24 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 00:57
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	05-30 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-03 02:11
highest temperature in moscow on april 24 2026 6c	5	$4	7	7	+0	No	-$2	04-24 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	4	$4	3	2	+1	Up	-$1	05-07 22:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 23:15 UTC	3	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	04-16 23:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 19:24:39	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3b5a96…
10-24 19:24:14	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xadd88b…
10-15 09:17:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x000d49…
08-22 09:33:42	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0x879162…
08-22 09:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xb3180a…
08-21 12:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x544c42…
08-21 12:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xff98e8…
08-20 21:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9a8d54…
08-20 21:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0x87fc0d…
08-20 16:27:01	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x140b73…
08-19 21:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1669ed…
08-19 21:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x9d4441…
08-18 21:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xc635cf…
08-18 15:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x865987…
08-18 03:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xff7d48…
08-17 15:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdde3e5…
08-17 14:33:27	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0xe849eb…
08-16 14:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xecee6b…
08-12 22:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x47aa47…
08-12 15:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1f6fec…
08-12 07:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x72d80f…
08-11 12:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xad1e3b…
08-10 17:04:13	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x1a32aa…
08-09 22:18:45	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x4dff13…
08-09 22:14:58	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0b726e…
07-10 19:34:43	wti closes above 71 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa986ac…
07-09 00:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xe1af47…
07-08 14:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe12ec7…
07-05 13:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x00dec3…
07-04 12:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x765b66…
07-03 13:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x20b53b…
07-02 14:22:58	wti closes above 66 on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcace51…
07-01 20:01:13	wti closes above 65 on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1e7855…
07-01 19:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe895e1…
07-01 14:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe42058…
07-01 14:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x122d9b…
07-01 13:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe6f742…
06-29 14:58:20	wti closes above 68 on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2a52da…
06-27 18:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x8f25af…
06-27 14:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa77a93…
06-27 11:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b6884…
06-27 11:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9d86c1…
06-22 17:14:53	wti closes above 73 on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2c900b…
06-22 17:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x40bfb4…
06-22 14:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb96fc2…
06-22 14:36:47	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6e8321…
06-22 14:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x2aa27d…
06-22 13:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x03e02b…
06-22 13:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfc0344…
06-21 12:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe997ed…
06-21 02:11:16	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6e99fc…
06-20 13:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3ab4f6…
06-19 22:48:02	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2fe345…
06-17 13:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2eb52d…
06-15 21:05:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xee9221…
06-15 18:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x00417c…
06-15 14:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x806590…
06-14 22:08:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd8aef1…
06-14 09:06:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0xb94442…
06-13 13:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaae9bf…
06-13 11:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2d87f8…
06-12 20:51:01	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x881cc2…
06-12 20:50:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xa35f2d…
06-12 20:49:57	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xb41ffc…
06-12 20:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x651d53…
06-12 15:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x45e738…
06-11 20:28:34	wti closes above 87 on june 11 2026	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x737b83…
06-11 17:41:30	wti closes above 87 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x79ee34…
06-10 13:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8e673b…
06-10 08:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x8e372f…
06-09 15:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb74625…
06-09 15:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd70695…
06-09 12:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9cdbf9…
06-08 12:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc83932…
06-07 21:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x59ca9d…
06-07 14:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3f8723…
06-06 14:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa76de6…
06-05 21:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5aeb3d…
06-05 14:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4e9be8…
06-04 20:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6a6c03…
06-04 14:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x032d21…
06-04 14:03:34	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x679e69…
06-04 14:03:19	wti closes above 97 on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xdf15fc…
06-03 20:29:28	wti closes above 97 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1539a4…
06-03 20:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xe95fe1…
06-03 16:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x096b22…
06-03 16:40:45	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xe614e0…
06-03 16:31:15	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x735516…
06-03 12:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe806cb…
06-02 21:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2caddd…
06-02 12:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xceeae8…
06-01 17:55:16	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xfe49b1…
06-01 17:55:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xb846f8…
06-01 15:51:54	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1687b1…
06-01 14:28:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa18083…
06-01 11:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x129edf…
05-31 22:40:27	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe29746…
05-31 22:40:21	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x400ae7…
05-31 20:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x039caa…
05-31 13:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x420d00…