Realized P&L
-$126
Unrealized P&L
-$782
Hit rate
76.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
2,710
lifetime
Volume
$341.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$126
Open exposure
$2.57K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 20:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
52% 50% $-122
Other
48%
Crypto
0% 0% $-4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -17,386 $-1,746 $-1304 +$443 06-16 04:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -10,618 $-810 11¢ $-1115 $-305 06-29 20:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -1,398 $638 $-126 $-764 06-12 08:58
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +252 $105 11¢ $26 $-78 05-27 23:38
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-04 05:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes -5 $78 $-0 $-78 06-11 20:48