Realized P&L
-$126
Unrealized P&L
+$449
Hit rate
76.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
2,622
lifetime
Volume
$331.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$126
Open exposure
$10.9K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-13 01:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
51% 50% $-122
Other
49%
Crypto
0% 0% $-4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No -12,258 $-9,112 58¢ $-7153 +$1,960 06-12 10:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2,270 $1,453 46¢ $1.1K $-397 06-13 09:53
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -8,465 $-640 $-720 $-79 06-12 10:31
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -7,112 $-788 10¢ $-711 +$76 06-13 09:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +649 $500 78¢ $510 +$10 06-11 20:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +508 $406 79¢ $402 $-4 06-12 21:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -1,398 $638 18¢ $-259 $-897 06-12 08:58
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +252 $105 16¢ $42 $-63 05-27 23:38
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Yes +3,283 $99 $34 $-64 06-11 22:20
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? Yes +177 $16 $1 $-15 06-11 09:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes -5 $78 $-0 $-78 06-11 20:48
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -1 $-0 10¢ $-0 +$0 06-04 05:14
Trump out as President by June 30? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-29 03:06