Realized P&L (7d)
+$696
Unrealized P&L
-$875
Hit rate
85.9%
Resolved (7d)
27
Trades (7d)
95
2,337 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.06K
$100.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$2.46K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 14:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 172 days
Categories
Other
38% 76% +$542
Sports
37% 55% -$3,344
Politics
24% 80% +$537
Tech
0% 100% +$3
Crypto
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No -833 -$383 90¢ $-753 -$370 07-27 17:57
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +300 $258 90¢ $269 +$10 11-05 16:37
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +310 $204 63¢ $197 -$8 11-05 14:19
Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds dip to 12% by December 31? No +200 $170 88¢ $175 +$5 11-05 12:11
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $174 86¢ $173 -$1 11-06 09:43
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,000 $140 15¢ $145 +$5 11-07 08:20
Will Elon Musk win the South Carolina Republican primary? No +85 $76 94¢ $80 +$3 11-05 22:34
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +2,000 $86 4¢ $71 -$15 11-05 12:29
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +400 $64 15¢ $59 -$5 11-05 17:30
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026? No +63 $48 88¢ $55 +$7 11-01 22:42
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No -530 $371 10¢ $-50 -$422 10-25 16:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $47 98¢ $49 +$2 11-05 08:13
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +10,000 $50 0¢ $45 -$5 08-31 17:55
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +50 $36 86¢ $43 +$7 10-07 01:05
DeSantis's Republican nomination odds dip to 3% by December 31? No +40 $35 87¢ $35 +$0 11-05 20:56
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +3,000 $39 1¢ $34 -$4 10-24 13:38
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,550 $15 2¢ $32 +$16 09-10 19:20
Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +6,811 $20 0¢ $24 +$3 11-07 15:33
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +127 $26 17¢ $21 -$4 10-19 23:31
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026? No +180 $131 12¢ $21 -$111 10-22 13:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -91 -$32 21¢ $-19 +$13 06-22 16:25
Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +10,828 $21 0¢ $16 -$5 11-05 08:03
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -189 -$28 8¢ $-16 +$12 06-22 16:28
Święczkowski charged by December 31? No +30 $22 46¢ $14 -$8 11-02 09:18
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027? Yes +50 $18 26¢ $13 -$5 11-05 22:30
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +50 $17 26¢ $13 -$4 09-04 22:36
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $11 6¢ $11 +$0 11-05 09:13
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +102 $12 10¢ $11 -$1 09-14 19:13
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +200 $6 4¢ $8 +$3 09-16 18:29
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes -3,597 -$11 0¢ $-5 +$6 09-12 09:21