Realized P&L (90d)
-$72
Unrealized P&L
-$810
Hit rate
64.2%
Resolved (90d)
73
Trades (90d)
459
2,394 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$16.4K
$102.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$2.79K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 20:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 174 days
Categories
Other
38% 75% +$145
Sports
37% 55% -$3,344
Politics
25% 80% +$537
Tech
0% 100% +$3
Crypto
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No -833 -$383 97¢ $-808 -$425 07-27 17:57
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +600 $519 82¢ $492 -$27 11-09 00:20
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +310 $204 68¢ $210 +$6 11-05 14:19
Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds dip to 12% by December 31? No +200 $170 94¢ $187 +$17 11-05 12:11
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $174 86¢ $173 -$1 11-06 09:43
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,000 $140 14¢ $135 -$5 11-07 08:20
DeSantis's Republican nomination odds dip to 3% by December 31? No +140 $120 92¢ $129 +$9 11-07 16:17
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +527 $91 17¢ $87 -$3 11-08 17:25
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +2,000 $86 4¢ $73 -$13 11-05 12:29
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +67 $61 90¢ $61 +$0 11-12 02:30
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026? No +63 $48 88¢ $55 +$7 11-01 22:42
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +10,000 $50 1¢ $55 +$5 08-31 17:55
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +50 $44 93¢ $47 +$3 11-12 10:46
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +50 $36 89¢ $44 +$8 10-07 01:05
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +3,000 $39 1¢ $31 -$8 10-24 13:38
Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +27,921 $38 0¢ $28 -$10 11-12 21:44
Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +10,000 $30 0¢ $25 -$5 11-09 19:51
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,550 $15 2¢ $24 +$9 09-10 19:20
Will Elon Musk win the South Carolina Republican primary? No +23 $17 91¢ $21 +$4 11-13 15:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -91 -$32 21¢ $-19 +$13 06-22 16:25
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No -530 $371 4¢ $-19 -$390 10-25 16:01
Święczkowski charged by December 31? No +30 $22 46¢ $14 -$8 11-02 09:18
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +50 $17 26¢ $13 -$4 09-04 22:36
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027? Yes +50 $18 26¢ $13 -$5 11-05 22:30
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $10 98¢ $10 $0 11-13 10:00
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +102 $12 7¢ $7 -$5 09-14 19:13
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -189 -$28 3¢ $-6 +$23 06-22 16:28
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +10 $6 35¢ $4 -$2 10-28 13:04
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +200 $6 2¢ $3 -$3 09-16 18:29
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes -3 -$2 66¢ $-2 $0 09-02 22:08