Tricky-Working — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$743

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved

120

Trades

1,017

lifetime

Volume

$9.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-24 05:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

43% 38% -$751

Sports

43% 36% +$18

Politics

10% 44% -$31

Crypto

4% 100% +$21

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-24).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+7	$3	92¢	$6	+$3	05-14 03:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+47	$17	11¢	$5	-$12	05-19 11:14
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	Yes	+6	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	05-13 03:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	29	$570	606	568	+38	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$9	05-16 14:54
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	4	$568	1,977	0	+1,977	Liquid	-$546	05-13 03:29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	34	$565	757	720	+38	Elina Svitolina	-$3	05-16 18:44
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5	5	$418	268	268	+0	Over	+$117	05-13 02:42
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	33	$395	430	425	+5	Toronto Blue Jays	-$18	05-16 19:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	44	$392	516	469	+47	open	—	05-24 05:51
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	28	$391	474	424	+50	Miami Marlins	-$33	05-16 23:00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	49	$325	366	366	+0	No	-$6	05-21 18:45
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	47	$255	298	293	+4	Colorado Rockies	-$7	05-16 21:46
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?	6	$253	588	588	+0	No	-$43	05-22 20:29
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	4	$231	145	140	+5	Over	+$46	05-13 02:42
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	5	$227	229	229	+0	New York Mets	+$7	05-21 22:22
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$211	200	200	+0	Yes	+$11	05-24 05:50
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)	3	$211	221	110	+110	Spurs	+$10	05-13 02:41
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	12	$208	284	186	+98	Team Spirit	+$47	05-13 22:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$184	186	186	+0	No	+$10	05-21 18:46
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$182	170	170	+0	Thunder	-$2	05-21 18:53
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	15	$174	610	68	+542	Under	-$39	05-13 20:59
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	32	$161	128	128	+0	No	+$16	05-21 18:45
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	27	$157	156	153	+3	St. Louis Cardinals	+$8	05-16 20:46
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	2	$153	98	98	+0	Spurs	+$42	05-13 02:42
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	23	$138	522	186	+336	Manchester City FC	-$5	05-13 21:20
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	7	$130	141	130	+11	No	-$28	05-14 23:31
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	63	$125	157	145	+12	Boston Red Sox	$0	05-17 00:55
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5	3	$118	197	0	+197	Under	-$118	05-13 01:50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$118	87	87	+0	No	-$2	05-14 22:35
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	3	$114	168	168	-0	Pittsburgh Pirates	-$6	05-21 18:33
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Zhizhen Zhang	6	$101	101	101	+0	Aleksandar Kovacevic	+$1	05-16 16:04
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	5	$100	134	115	+18	Washington Nationals	+$45	05-14 03:06
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	14	$87	1,688	283	+1,404	Under	-$69	05-13 21:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 05:51:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xb10dbf…
05-24 05:51:30	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x63375b…
05-24 05:51:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x25ca7b…
05-24 05:51:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x48cf4b…
05-24 05:50:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xee8268…
05-24 05:50:39	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$18	0x3e4380…
05-24 05:50:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	56¢	$111	0x57f3bc…
05-22 21:33:54	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x67716e…
05-22 20:35:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x516dce…
05-22 20:29:02	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	SELL	205	12¢	$25	0xba09fe…
05-22 20:26:37	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	205	17¢	$35	0x32092e…
05-22 20:26:33	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	SELL	191	15¢	$29	0x4ca59a…
05-22 20:25:21	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	191	26¢	$50	0xee3312…
05-22 20:22:07	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?	No	SELL	191	27¢	$52	0xff7faa…
05-22 20:20:03	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?	No	BUY	191	33¢	$63	0xd3ecab…
05-22 19:24:24	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	191	21¢	$40	0x4acd0e…
05-22 00:05:03	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	35	53¢	$19	0xf2b014…
05-21 22:26:30	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	SELL	35	55¢	$19	0x4c0ab7…
05-21 22:26:21	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0xfb0048…
05-21 22:22:23	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	SELL	115	92¢	$106	0x48d3fc…
05-21 22:21:03	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	Yes	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0x3c7b4f…
05-21 22:20:45	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	SELL	115	10¢	$12	0x382591…
05-21 20:36:53	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	81	53¢	$43	0x7e0cb5…
05-21 20:36:48	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0x971150…
05-21 20:31:16	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	BUY	115	43¢	$49	0x07b1d1…
05-21 18:53:37	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	170	53¢	$90	0xa0d84b…
05-21 18:53:16	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	170	54¢	$92	0xff1f9f…
05-21 18:46:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	83¢	$31	0x8aed5a…
05-21 18:45:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x9be9af…
05-21 18:45:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	96	0¢	$0	0xc2cc1c…
05-21 18:45:25	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x860251…
05-21 18:45:07	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	61	94¢	$57	0xb8b5b5…
05-21 18:44:52	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x7444bb…
05-21 18:33:15	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	168	32¢	$54	0x37a149…
05-21 18:33:13	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	SELL	168	17¢	$29	0x98fdba…
05-21 18:31:48	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf501d4…
05-21 18:31:46	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	155	36¢	$55	0x8d748e…
05-21 18:31:44	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	168	18¢	$30	0x5a5880…
05-21 17:57:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x163289…
05-21 17:51:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xf11e0c…
05-20 14:47:45	Trump kiss by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x0a88cf…
05-20 14:37:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xdc7cc0…
05-20 14:37:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0f43b7…
05-20 14:37:41	Trump kiss by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9a4e45…
05-20 14:37:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x405030…
05-20 14:17:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x67557e…
05-19 11:14:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x432479…
05-19 06:06:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xcf6f4c…
05-19 01:06:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x185973…
05-19 00:18:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb5a479…
05-19 00:14:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7dce8a…
05-19 00:02:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc282fa…
05-18 21:34:51	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbca491…
05-18 21:20:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x107e5e…
05-18 18:55:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd58436…
05-18 18:17:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8baa85…
05-18 17:33:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xdda138…
05-18 17:33:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x598166…
05-18 17:28:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xa037fc…
05-18 17:28:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x36fcbf…
05-18 17:27:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x4a2c80…
05-18 17:27:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x94465d…
05-18 17:25:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4592b5…
05-18 17:25:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb75179…
05-17 15:46:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa628c6…
05-17 13:40:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3e4d36…
05-17 01:06:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x007356…
05-17 00:55:38	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xcfcc70…
05-17 00:43:32	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x3ba259…
05-17 00:43:26	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x9b6ae6…
05-17 00:40:19	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb3b487…
05-17 00:40:19	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x8f65b3…
05-17 00:39:51	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x5f82b3…
05-17 00:39:51	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x3ac2cb…
05-17 00:38:41	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x0af618…
05-17 00:38:22	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x59a6ca…
05-17 00:38:22	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3862ea…
05-17 00:38:20	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x62c65c…
05-17 00:38:18	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6d7d9a…
05-17 00:37:52	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x35fbf2…
05-17 00:37:50	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x34b341…
05-17 00:37:50	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x0eb028…
05-17 00:36:47	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x582e64…
05-17 00:36:21	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf48ba7…
05-17 00:36:19	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd90551…
05-17 00:36:19	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x51aebc…
05-17 00:35:53	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xa651cc…
05-17 00:35:51	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x87860b…
05-17 00:35:51	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x5caadc…
05-17 00:34:24	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7db95b…
05-17 00:34:22	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2ed8b9…
05-17 00:34:20	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x68f924…
05-17 00:34:13	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x19f616…
05-17 00:33:52	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xb34915…
05-17 00:33:52	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x242e0c…
05-17 00:33:51	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xeaa275…
05-17 00:32:21	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3e4454…
05-17 00:32:20	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xac7e41…
05-17 00:32:18	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb0062b…
05-17 00:31:55	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xd2a35c…