Magnificent-Discipline 0x1e6af7…c9d38a Create alert
bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.53K
Unrealized P&L
-$98
Hit rate
51.4%
Resolved
1,128
Trades
5,366
lifetime
Volume
$26.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$206
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 11-06 04:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
51% 49% -$1,942
Politics
32% 53% -$244
Sports
16% 46% -$296
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$19
Crypto
0% 33% -$29
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +186 $110 56¢ $103 -$7 05-01 14:07
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +21 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 10-27 10:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +15 $10 92¢ $14 +$4 06-04 22:37
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -12 -$8 92¢ $-11 -$3 06-08 02:59
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 11-02 00:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$5 94¢ $-10 -$5 05-18 12:47
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +14 $10 71¢ $10 $0 11-05 14:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +9 $9 97¢ $9 +$0 10-31 08:01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +380 $30 2¢ $6 -$24 05-10 11:54
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +79 $30 8¢ $6 -$24 05-12 14:20
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +27 $10 9¢ $3 -$7 05-01 02:35
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? Yes +95 $20 2¢ $2 -$18 05-31 08:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +59 $10 2¢ $1 -$9 05-12 06:18
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -44 -$5 2¢ $-1 +$4 05-20 14:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -0 $2 88¢ $-0 -$2 11-05 18:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -1 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-18 21:51
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026? No +16 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 11-05 20:54