Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
70.8%
Resolved
90
Trades
173
lifetime
Volume
$3.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$21
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 09-04 09:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Other
83% 58% -$74
Politics
6% 100% +$20
Sports
6% 33% +$29
Crypto
5% 60% +$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +20 $10 45¢ $9 -$1 07-20 17:26
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +323 $7 2¢ $7 $0 09-02 06:41
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +6 $2 40¢ $2 +$0 08-25 19:14
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +74 $2 2¢ $2 $0 08-25 19:13
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +8 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 08-25 19:14
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +51 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 08-25 19:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +9 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-31 21:11