Complex-Melon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$102

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.6%

Resolved

483

Trades

1,530

lifetime

Volume

$4.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-17 17:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 48% $-102

Sports

10% — —

Other

6% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 227 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	12	$199	200	200	+0	open	—	04-28 19:13
nba sas ind 2026 01 02	14	$154	200	100	+100	open	—	01-02 22:23
nba mem lal 2026 01 02	6	$71	68	68	+0	open	—	01-02 21:11
nba atl nyk 2026 01 02	6	$48	47	47	+0	open	—	01-02 21:12
btc updown 5m 1775674200	1	$40	51	0	+51	open	—	04-08 18:50
btc updown 5m 1775582700	1	$40	53	0	+53	open	—	04-07 17:27
nba mia det 2026 01 01	2	$37	69	0	+69	open	—	01-01 19:37
btc updown 5m 1774209900	1	$35	70	0	+70	open	—	03-22 20:02
nba phi dal 2026 01 01	2	$33	63	0	+63	open	—	01-01 23:02
nba hou bkn 2026 01 01	2	$31	58	0	+58	open	—	01-01 16:12
btc updown 5m 1775581800	7	$24	46	0	+46	open	—	04-07 17:14
btc updown 5m 1774209300	1	$17	35	0	+35	open	—	03-22 19:53
btc updown 5m 1775416200	3	$17	23	0	+23	open	—	04-05 19:14
eth updown 5m 1775578800	3	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-07 16:23
btc updown 5m 1775580900	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-07 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 21:54
btc updown 5m 1775504100	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-06 19:38
btc updown 5m 1774208700	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	03-22 19:46
btc updown 5m 1775581500	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-07 17:05
btc updown 5m 1775581200	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-07 17:00
eth updown 5m 1775332800	2	$9	5	10	-5	open	—	04-04 20:01
btc updown 5m 1775218200	2	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	04-03 12:13
btc updown 5m 1775426700	3	$8	9	4	+4	open	—	04-05 22:08
sol updown 5m 1775397000	6	$7	15	5	+10	open	—	04-05 13:51
btc updown 5m 1774806600	3	$6	10	5	+5	open	—	03-29 17:53
nba mem lal 2026 01 04	5	$6	9	4	+5	open	—	01-04 23:43
btc updown 5m 1775399400	3	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-05 14:32
btc updown 5m 1775399700	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-05 14:36
btc updown 5m 1775480100	2	$6	17	0	+17	open	—	04-06 12:59
btc updown 5m 1775480400	2	$6	16	0	+16	open	—	04-06 13:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 17:25:47	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x599d51…
06-17 12:11:32	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xb85ced…
06-17 12:10:58	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x242fa8…
06-17 12:10:41	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x959827…
06-17 12:10:28	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x798a35…
06-17 12:09:44	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x6728c3…
06-17 12:09:10	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x1afb1b…
06-17 12:08:59	Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x59c7f1…
06-17 12:08:47	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x51a868…
06-17 12:08:35	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x81d174…
06-17 12:08:17	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd604de…
06-17 12:08:04	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0xf81cab…
06-17 12:07:41	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xe8b2a2…
06-04 00:29:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	252	0¢	$1	0x98bc9e…
06-03 16:48:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	423	0¢	$1	0x94df58…
06-02 22:49:14	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdabf89…
06-02 22:48:25	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3aecbb…
06-02 22:48:14	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x17e48e…
06-02 22:48:04	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xebc6c4…
06-02 22:47:53	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2a8daa…
06-02 22:47:43	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x975121…
06-02 22:47:29	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x81396e…
06-02 22:47:20	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcb7967…
06-02 22:47:02	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1f664b…
06-02 22:46:40	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x359e2e…
06-02 22:46:31	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xaf58f2…
06-02 22:46:19	Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xbfd83f…
06-02 22:46:06	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x33ce9e…
05-15 12:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf716d4…
05-15 12:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe05c18…
05-14 11:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x171cc5…
05-14 11:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc11d13…
05-13 23:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa8cd74…
05-13 18:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd384e7…
05-13 13:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9087c1…
05-13 13:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfa31e3…
05-13 13:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1765e7…
05-12 15:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4e5582…
05-12 15:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3fd1a3…
05-12 15:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x50f1cd…
05-12 15:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x21bf94…
05-12 15:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9a0232…
05-12 15:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x491f09…
05-12 15:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfa81a7…
05-12 15:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x2bdc83…
05-12 15:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0f7349…
05-12 15:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xff056e…
05-12 15:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x662436…
05-12 15:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa043e5…
05-12 15:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x25c6fd…
05-12 15:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x4db8cc…
05-12 14:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdbe8b7…
05-12 14:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7f0ff0…
05-12 14:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa9a1b8…
05-12 14:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1bea65…
05-12 14:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcf85fc…
05-12 14:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4cb599…
05-12 14:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf3c34e…
05-12 14:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf39649…
05-12 14:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x663351…
05-12 14:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd771e7…
05-12 14:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x9645ed…
05-12 14:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6953d7…
05-12 14:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2eb4d5…
05-12 14:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbb70d3…
05-12 14:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x430b30…
05-12 13:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x163537…
05-12 13:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x909e60…
05-12 13:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x750358…
05-12 13:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x27fc54…
05-12 13:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6d6d4a…
05-12 13:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb597e7…
05-12 13:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0292e2…
05-12 13:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcf8cc7…
05-12 13:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x5cdd37…
05-12 13:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x30d5f0…
05-12 13:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc11897…
05-12 13:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa6d644…
05-12 13:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x35f7e0…
05-12 12:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdb58fb…
05-12 12:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x535dfd…
05-12 12:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2619df…
05-12 12:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xedaf52…
05-12 12:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x647285…
05-12 12:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb34640…
05-12 12:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcd1485…
05-12 12:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9f7ba9…
05-12 12:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe762dc…
05-12 12:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb26df3…
05-12 11:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x06bd24…
05-12 11:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3d2d50…
05-12 11:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x73c4c6…
05-12 11:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd60a24…
05-12 11:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2f2344…
05-12 11:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdf5a57…
05-12 11:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x12105a…
05-12 00:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3b0318…
05-12 00:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xd0e477…
05-12 00:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x7a6bc0…
05-12 00:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x34b75d…