Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
48.6%
Resolved
3
Trades
121
lifetime
Volume
$7.45K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$130
4 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 06-17 00:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
47% 100% +$4
Other
41% 0% $-1
Sports
9% 0% $-0
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -113 $-106 94¢ $-106 +$0 06-13 20:24
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +176 $14 $16 +$2 06-17 16:04
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +87 $5 $5 +$0 06-15 09:57
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes -118 $-5 $-3 +$2 05-28 01:24