Inferior-Cotton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$104

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

11.0%

Resolved

116

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-26 03:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Sports

63% 4% -$3

Other

24% 43% -$101

Politics

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+10	$2	19¢	$2	+$0	10-26 03:42
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-200	-$2	1¢	$-2	+$0	06-19 18:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$699	350	350	+0	No	$0	05-21 22:47
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$639	320	320	+0	No	$0	05-17 07:12
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$457	230	230	+0	No	$0	05-22 07:03
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$439	220	220	+0	No	$0	05-19 12:24
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$410	210	210	+0	No	-$1	05-21 18:11
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$400	400	400	+0	No	$0	05-20 11:30
Will Brighton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	$0	04-15 04:14
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	$0	03-30 15:03
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$384	210	210	+0	No	$0	05-21 07:44
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$379	190	190	+0	No	$0	05-21 09:55
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$379	190	190	+0	open	—	05-14 18:15
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$367	220	220	+0	Yes	$0	05-19 17:15
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$363	510	510	+0	open	—	07-04 01:19
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$361	830	830	+0	No	-$1	05-21 13:56
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$353	180	180	+0	No	$0	04-13 06:20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$348	190	190	+0	No	$0	05-19 15:34
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$339	170	170	+0	open	—	05-17 10:59
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$339	170	170	+0	No	$0	05-20 10:29
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$339	170	170	+0	No	$0	05-20 05:21
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$335	170	170	+0	No	$0	05-21 21:16
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	03-26 09:53
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$317	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-22 07:28
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$313	160	160	+0	open	—	05-20 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?	5	$205	144	144	+0	No	+$82	05-27 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3?	5	$86	180	0	+180	Yes	-$86	06-03 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 27?	3	$82	60	60	+0	No	+$37	05-27 05:50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 27?	4	$70	49	49	+0	No	+$28	05-27 19:22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?	7	$67	48	47	+1	No	+$28	05-25 17:32
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 25?	5	$65	45	45	+0	No	+$25	05-26 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 2?	2	$56	123	0	+123	Yes	-$56	06-02 03:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 03:42:21	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xb01317…
07-09 15:18:31	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	240	0¢	$1	0x1f9f3f…
07-09 12:11:29	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	240	1¢	$1	0xad0889…
07-09 03:03:22	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	260	0¢	$1	0x43ce36…
07-08 23:44:07	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	260	1¢	$2	0xc98b57…
07-08 16:14:19	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$1	0x922c61…
07-08 10:27:32	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0xe17313…
07-07 23:48:55	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$1	0x43e755…
07-07 19:45:26	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x980597…
07-07 08:10:26	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$1	0xa20890…
07-07 04:57:35	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$2	0x03cef3…
07-07 03:25:31	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0xf172bc…
07-06 22:29:10	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	230	1¢	$1	0x6474c4…
07-06 21:31:17	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0xc04ed0…
07-06 20:46:01	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$2	0xd4265e…
07-06 11:51:02	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$2	0xcd4d13…
07-06 10:24:41	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0xd75a22…
07-04 12:53:58	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$1	0x49ab8d…
07-04 11:23:02	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x918983…
07-04 01:19:01	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$2	0x4dea82…
07-03 23:52:40	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0x337e0e…
07-03 19:56:14	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$1	0x63bdd3…
07-03 17:14:11	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	230	1¢	$1	0xb0de60…
07-03 14:12:49	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x36df00…
07-03 13:23:01	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$2	0x00e201…
06-30 05:36:41	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xc0eba6…
06-30 05:11:29	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$2	0xb011aa…
06-30 01:47:59	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x6b6434…
06-29 19:27:28	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	220	1¢	$1	0x48bd4a…
06-29 18:04:56	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0x15fee9…
06-29 16:43:19	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	220	1¢	$2	0x73163a…
06-29 08:34:26	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$1	0x1300c5…
06-29 04:32:19	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x5b8f5e…
06-28 19:34:37	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x8e0be2…
06-28 17:17:53	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	230	1¢	$1	0xb0743c…
06-28 16:13:14	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x409b75…
06-28 16:05:16	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$2	0xcdd740…
06-27 14:15:11	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xe1e035…
06-27 12:53:55	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xc08658…
06-27 00:49:07	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$2	0xa5e0c3…
06-26 18:48:14	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x4da1da…
06-26 13:15:03	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$1	0x306f0d…
06-26 06:11:52	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xaa98ce…
06-26 04:21:20	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x919407…
06-26 01:51:59	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$1	0x9724d8…
06-24 21:02:31	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$1	0x803411…
06-24 08:46:13	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$2	0x68d3ca…
06-24 05:19:29	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x9f1333…
06-24 03:51:40	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0x4fcb43…
06-23 12:15:14	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$1	0x8002a9…
06-23 07:24:13	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0xdfd53e…
06-23 05:40:55	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$1	0x137426…
06-23 03:56:47	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0xebfbf6…
06-22 22:48:40	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	220	1¢	$2	0xdae3e0…
06-22 19:52:49	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$1	0x8297a1…
06-22 18:24:35	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	220	1¢	$2	0x2ae8e6…
06-22 18:09:14	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0xa638fe…
06-22 14:10:26	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$2	0xbad248…
06-22 13:00:59	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0x44b94e…
06-21 20:07:14	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	230	1¢	$1	0xe2c07c…
06-21 19:14:53	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$1	0x4f740d…
06-21 18:01:43	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$1	0xd34027…
06-21 16:51:13	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$2	0xfc7b49…
06-21 16:17:10	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0xc71f4f…
06-21 15:03:01	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x47114f…
06-19 18:49:56	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$1	0xb8a53c…
06-19 18:44:50	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x70631e…
06-05 04:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x9e44d6…
06-05 04:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?	No	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0xa60d20…
06-05 02:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 5?	No	BUY	58	39¢	$23	0x6b43f7…
06-04 22:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 4?	No	BUY	49	36¢	$17	0x86275e…
06-04 11:09:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4?	No	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x9769b9…
06-04 11:03:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4?	No	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0xf3af36…
06-04 10:55:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4?	No	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x33dd7d…
06-04 09:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 4?	No	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x293aea…
06-04 08:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 4?	No	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x64df42…
06-04 08:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4?	No	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0x7c7811…
06-04 07:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 4?	No	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xdc116c…
06-04 06:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 4?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x10732a…
06-04 05:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 4?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x775194…
06-04 04:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 4?	No	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0xfe1479…
06-04 04:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 4?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xfa9280…
06-04 04:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 4?	No	BUY	36	48¢	$17	0x9e84cf…
06-04 04:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 4?	No	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x580650…
06-04 03:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x136920…
06-04 01:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4?	No	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x266055…
06-04 01:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 4?	No	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x8f0316…
06-04 00:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?	No	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x84ce31…
06-03 20:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 3?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xb3ad12…
06-03 19:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 3?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd92cfb…
06-03 19:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 3?	No	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x138fb1…
06-03 13:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 3?	No	BUY	36	38¢	$14	0xa08cf9…
06-03 13:12:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?	No	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x7e49eb…
06-03 13:08:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?	No	BUY	58	39¢	$23	0xfa4fe3…
06-03 13:02:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?	No	BUY	57	40¢	$23	0x83dd72…
06-03 10:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3?	No	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0x673f80…
06-03 10:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3?	No	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0x72adac…
06-03 09:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 3?	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x8ce273…
06-03 09:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 3?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x0474c2…
06-03 08:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 3?	No	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xe117f2…