Unwieldy-Denim — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

$92

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-18 22:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

61% — —

Politics

36% 60% $-10

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?	No		+96	$92	96¢	$92	+$0	06-22 07:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	12	$453	497	497	+0	open	—	04-12 09:07
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	10	$453	453	453	+0	open	—	03-25 16:42
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	8	$437	225	225	+0	open	—	04-02 11:17
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	5	$403	204	204	+0	open	—	04-26 23:23
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	6	$401	216	216	+0	open	—	04-21 04:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	12	$389	443	442	+1	open	—	05-10 15:23
will brooks koepka win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$383	195	195	+0	open	—	04-10 08:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	5	$333	170	170	+0	No	+$1	05-08 18:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	5	$332	169	169	+0	open	—	04-30 10:40
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$291	149	149	+0	open	—	04-05 12:39
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	6	$244	275	275	+0	open	—	03-31 23:08
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 420 439	2	$243	134	134	+0	open	—	03-20 16:47
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$242	124	124	+0	open	—	03-30 06:48
will solana reach 120 in march 2026	2	$239	121	121	+0	open	—	03-26 15:37
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	2	$239	121	121	+0	open	—	03-19 09:39
will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$235	120	120	+0	open	—	04-05 06:49
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$233	122	122	+0	open	—	04-06 14:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	5	$229	278	278	+0	No	$-11	05-07 09:58
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$229	115	115	+0	open	—	04-13 23:58
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$225	118	118	+0	open	—	04-22 23:40
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	2	$225	115	115	+0	open	—	04-25 04:36
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$224	115	115	+0	open	—	04-15 12:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$221	113	113	+0	open	—	04-26 15:34
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	2	$221	112	112	+0	open	—	04-27 16:45
will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$219	320	320	+0	open	—	04-10 19:32
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 380 399	3	$218	114	114	+0	open	—	03-24 12:34
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	4	$217	240	240	+0	open	—	04-13 11:24
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	4	$214	113	113	+0	open	—	03-30 20:44
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	2	$212	110	110	+0	open	—	04-06 18:58
will si woo kim win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$210	107	107	+0	open	—	04-09 06:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 07:00:50	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xb16592…
06-22 07:00:50	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x1ff6e6…
05-18 22:25:15	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0xe3aba3…
05-18 22:25:15	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0xe23585…
05-18 22:25:15	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xd4b15f…
05-12 13:35:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe07709…
05-12 13:35:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	93	95¢	$88	0xdcbce0…
05-12 09:28:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	98	95¢	$93	0x642b9f…
05-12 08:43:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	2¢	$2	0xa6ceb0…
05-12 08:43:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	176	2¢	$4	0x8b549e…
05-12 03:35:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	252	3¢	$7	0x46474f…
05-11 23:11:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x4b9286…
05-11 21:46:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x19fb24…
05-10 15:23:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	95	98¢	$94	0x6d9041…
05-10 12:34:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xe1e152…
05-09 20:43:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0xee04e9…
05-09 20:43:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x241758…
05-09 18:02:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	107	96¢	$103	0x021c02…
05-09 03:48:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xd2202f…
05-09 03:48:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x0f1d25…
05-09 01:39:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xdab5c2…
05-09 01:39:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	84	98¢	$82	0x91e829…
05-08 21:44:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	116	2¢	$3	0xfb3609…
05-08 21:43:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0xbdb799…
05-08 18:30:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	79	2¢	$2	0xe46fe2…
05-08 18:30:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$2	0x22251c…
05-08 18:25:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0xe8eec1…
05-08 10:17:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x00a18f…
05-08 10:17:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xfe1cd1…
05-08 05:52:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	103	3¢	$4	0x7ff154…
05-08 02:52:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x6c0d5a…
05-08 02:14:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	75	97¢	$73	0xd96e8c…
05-08 00:19:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0x2370e5…
05-07 09:58:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	118	86¢	$102	0x684da6…
05-07 06:59:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	118	95¢	$113	0x13b1a2…
05-07 03:55:19	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xaa68c2…
05-06 21:09:05	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x5e20ae…
05-06 21:09:03	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x465e0f…
05-05 13:57:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	4¢	$2	0xe6c234…
05-05 11:42:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x992d25…
05-03 19:51:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x35919f…
05-03 16:44:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0xb71867…
05-03 15:10:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x962715…
05-03 15:10:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	4¢	$5	0x244374…
05-03 11:16:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	4¢	$7	0x24af65…
05-01 18:49:02	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	3¢	$3	0xeec327…
05-01 18:49:02	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0xa33b2d…
05-01 14:21:40	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	1¢	$2	0xb64807…
05-01 06:54:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x173dfb…
05-01 05:35:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x7f43a4…
05-01 05:35:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0712a8…
04-30 19:38:10	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x8321aa…
04-30 15:15:42	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x2fc9aa…
04-30 10:40:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xdafaab…
04-30 07:44:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0eed2f…
04-29 19:12:38	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xf435e8…
04-29 19:12:36	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0x89a796…
04-29 15:54:58	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xee912f…
04-29 15:54:20	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x1242c7…
04-29 11:57:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	68	98¢	$66	0xc0039d…
04-29 10:08:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x218cab…
04-29 10:08:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0xe335f5…
04-27 20:37:46	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	96	95¢	$92	0xba774c…
04-27 18:44:58	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	77	96¢	$74	0x34dbad…
04-27 18:44:56	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xaea53a…
04-27 16:45:18	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x6cce90…
04-27 15:30:32	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	112	99¢	$110	0xfb8fcd…
04-27 05:57:44	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xd52cc7…
04-27 03:06:56	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe173a6…
04-26 23:23:26	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x718a4c…
04-26 19:22:00	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x31c6b5…
04-26 15:34:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	113	98¢	$111	0x40e2be…
04-26 14:07:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	113	98¢	$111	0x5ef057…
04-26 02:01:44	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0xfa4250…
04-25 20:57:08	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$101	0xc23c46…
04-25 19:01:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	82	3¢	$2	0x03d80a…
04-25 15:01:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	82	5¢	$4	0xc28ed6…
04-25 10:58:16	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	195	1¢	$2	0xa81ac4…
04-25 08:04:50	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	195	1¢	$2	0xb9fef7…
04-25 04:36:30	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	115	98¢	$113	0xa8c54e…
04-25 03:05:38	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	115	98¢	$112	0x92943a…
04-23 18:18:36	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0x0470f4…
04-23 17:05:30	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	134	1¢	$2	0xf52800…
04-23 17:05:30	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	66	1¢	$1	0xa38ce5…
04-23 02:52:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x7eb41a…
04-23 00:59:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x52c8b8…
04-22 23:40:24	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	118	95¢	$113	0x2368f5…
04-22 21:21:30	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	118	95¢	$113	0x890efd…
04-22 14:38:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	75	99¢	$75	0xcd97aa…
04-22 14:38:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x2d36dd…
04-22 09:47:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x8cea4e…
04-22 09:47:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd5b235…
04-22 03:56:46	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	165	4¢	$7	0x7f65b6…
04-22 03:56:46	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x1e3b10…
04-22 01:37:56	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0xfbba27…
04-22 01:37:56	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x9dc939…
04-22 01:37:56	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x5a6091…
04-21 16:20:16	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	2¢	$3	0x4b85a2…
04-21 15:15:26	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x7b9188…
04-21 15:15:26	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x64052c…