Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.06K

Unrealized P&L

-$42

Hit rate

7.7%

Resolved

145

Trades

623

lifetime

Volume

$3.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$51

12 positions

First seen

2026-09-15

last 11-12 10:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

58% 8% -$983

Politics

36% 4% -$65

Sports

4% 0% -$6

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$1

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bully (Ye) be nominated for Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	+100	$44	34¢	$34	-$10	11-12 10:00
where will it rain on november 11 2026 houston tx	No	+10	$3	50¢	$5	+$2	11-11 05:00
will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love olivia rodrigo be nominated for best pop vocal album at the 69th grammys	No	+20	$6	15¢	$3	-$3	11-10 02:49
will rein me in with olivia dean sam fender olivia dean be nominated for best pop duo group performance at the 69th grammys	No	+20	$6	12¢	$2	-$4	11-10 02:49
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 5%-10%?	No	+20	$6	8¢	$2	-$4	11-04 07:34
will the art of loving olivia dean be nominated for best pop vocal album at the 69th grammys	No	+20	$6	8¢	$2	-$4	11-10 02:50
will don t be dumb asap rocky be nominated for best rap album at the 69th grammys	No	+20	$6	6¢	$1	-$5	11-10 02:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+12	$2	8¢	$1	-$1	09-19 06:29
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+22	$1	3¢	$1	$0	09-18 07:39
will octane don toliver be nominated for best rap album at the 69th grammys	No	+6	$2	8¢	$1	-$1	11-10 02:48
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 20%-25%?	No	+20	$6	1¢	$0	-$6	11-04 13:05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?	No	+27	$4	1¢	$0	-$4	11-04 12:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Riley Newman / Layne Sleeth advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	6	$246	1,547	27	+1,520	Yes	-$232	11-04 22:25
Will Sheila Chepkirui win the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	2	$246	963	0	+963	Yes	-$246	11-01 15:59
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	8	$130	440	440	+0	Yes	-$8	10-12 20:41
Will PP win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election?	7	$126	440	440	+0	open	—	10-22 04:55
Will PP win the most seats in Valladolid in the 2026 Spanish general election?	13	$107	440	440	+0	open	—	10-22 23:12
Will PP win the most seats in Málaga in the 2026 Spanish general election?	4	$93	440	440	+0	open	—	10-22 23:14
Will PP win the most seats in Zaragoza in the 2026 Spanish general election?	8	$87	440	440	+0	open	—	10-22 01:09
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 20%-25%?	2	$67	80	80	+0	open	—	11-04 12:00
Will Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	3	$58	240	240	+0	Yes	-$20	10-30 00:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	6	$56	770	770	+0	open	—	09-21 07:40
Will Bully (Ye) be nominated for Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	1	$44	100	0	+100	open	—	11-12 10:00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?	5	$42	119	92	+27	open	—	11-04 12:22
Will Ben Johns / Anna Leigh Waters advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	3	$39	240	0	+240	Yes	-$39	10-31 10:06
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 21?	5	$36	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-21 01:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	5	$34	730	730	+0	open	—	11-04 08:18
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	8	$33	140	140	+0	open	—	11-04 06:37
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$33	2,300	2,300	+0	No	-$2	09-27 07:06
Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2900 and $4.2999 on October 18?	4	$30	80	41	+39	Yes	-$18	10-18 07:44
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$30	370	370	+0	open	—	09-27 07:09
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.275T by November 30?	2	$30	50	50	+0	open	—	11-11 20:17
Will Garth Frizzell win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?	2	$29	80	16	+64	Yes	-$14	10-18 04:03
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	6	$29	125	125	+0	open	—	09-27 09:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	8	$27	130	130	+0	No	-$1	09-21 08:44
Will Anna Bright / Anna Leigh Waters advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	4	$27	110	110	+0	Yes	-$12	10-30 00:51
Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	3	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	10-02 08:23
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	4	$25	460	460	+0	open	—	09-25 07:07
Will Tyra Hurricane Black / Gabriel Tardio advance to the Semifinals in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	2	$25	20	20	+0	No	+$0	11-06 21:35
Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?	9	$24	100	100	+0	Yes	-$12	10-15 04:42
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$24	290	290	+0	open	—	09-27 09:15
Will Tama Shimabukuro advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	4	$23	40	40	+0	No	-$1	11-04 19:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 10:00:06	Will Bully (Ye) be nominated for Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x4e0146…
11-11 23:31:37	Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on November 12?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xa25d04…
11-11 21:31:21	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 11?	No	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x3c421e…
11-11 21:31:16	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 11?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x878ebc…
11-11 20:17:36	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.275T by November 30?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x04736c…
11-11 20:17:01	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.275T by November 30?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x1f2990…
11-11 17:02:43	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Cup MVP?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xae687d…
11-11 17:02:37	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Cup MVP?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x86ee66…
11-11 16:09:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x5cca62…
11-11 16:08:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x97a3d7…
11-11 14:43:00	Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the best AI model on November 23, 2026?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x8a9319…
11-11 12:13:10	where will it rain on november 12 2026 philadelphia pa	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x594600…
11-11 10:54:13	Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the best AI model on November 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x674b7b…
11-11 05:00:13	where will it rain on november 11 2026 houston tx	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x40fa8e…
11-10 14:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on November 12?	No	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x3234fe…
11-10 14:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on November 12?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x7e70c6…
11-10 14:11:48	highest temperature in panama city on november 12 2026 33c	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x24460e…
11-10 02:50:00	will the art of loving olivia dean be nominated for best pop vocal album at the 69th grammys	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7d437e…
11-10 02:49:54	will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love olivia rodrigo be nominated for best pop vocal album at the 69th grammys	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xf7af91…
11-10 02:49:52	will rein me in with olivia dean sam fender olivia dean be nominated for best pop duo group performance at the 69th grammys	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa947d7…
11-10 02:48:54	will octane don toliver be nominated for best rap album at the 69th grammys	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x5aab71…
11-10 02:48:52	will don t be dumb asap rocky be nominated for best rap album at the 69th grammys	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc8e448…
11-09 23:15:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x48b4e6…
11-09 23:15:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xd98035…
11-06 22:19:34	Will Federico Staksrud / Hayden Patriquin advance to the Semifinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x77da01…
11-06 21:35:55	Will Tyra Hurricane Black / Gabriel Tardio advance to the Semifinals in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x361d88…
11-06 16:14:55	will kai cenat finish his gta marathon by november 16	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xb7dc46…
11-06 14:23:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x27965e…
11-06 12:44:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0xf0169a…
11-06 05:53:10	Will Tyra Hurricane Black / Gabriel Tardio advance to the Semifinals in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xd00cc5…
11-05 23:34:57	Will Alix Truong / Jessie Irvine advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x49d18b…
11-05 17:42:24	Will Federico Staksrud advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x1ad686…
11-05 17:24:31	Will Alix Truong / Jessie Irvine advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x8fae01…
11-05 16:21:27	will taken natalee holloway season 1 be the top global netflix show this week 20261110	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x074584…
11-05 09:59:31	Will Riley Newman / Noe Khlif advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd7ee2c…
11-04 22:25:10	Will Riley Newman / Layne Sleeth advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	1,500	15¢	$225	0x2b2356…
11-04 20:19:43	Will Cailyn Campbell advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa4da60…
11-04 19:25:07	Will Tama Shimabukuro advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xff0327…
11-04 17:12:04	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xc1880b…
11-04 16:36:09	Will Hong Kit Wong advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xe9b6e9…
11-04 16:07:57	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x57f287…
11-04 16:07:19	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x5c57dc…
11-04 15:12:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x4197c4…
11-04 14:12:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x92a033…
11-04 13:05:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xe6e0e0…
11-04 12:22:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	73	19¢	$14	0xab4e27…
11-04 12:21:22	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	80	15¢	$12	0x154e2e…
11-04 12:10:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x615fb7…
11-04 12:00:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	80	42¢	$34	0xf05cb5…
11-04 11:00:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x7bbada…
11-04 10:12:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x593ecf…
11-04 09:52:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xb2fe20…
11-04 09:51:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa872fe…
11-04 09:50:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x85cc18…
11-04 09:34:40	Will the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x84546c…
11-04 09:30:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	134	1¢	$1	0x9e6f8b…
11-04 09:27:34	Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	66	1¢	$1	0x246019…
11-04 09:11:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-02 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x8a1f6f…
11-04 09:06:31	Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	93	3¢	$3	0x57e679…
11-04 08:58:39	Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	67	3¢	$2	0xddf730…
11-04 08:55:24	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	690	1¢	$4	0x79a44a…
11-04 08:50:57	Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xe77240…
11-04 08:50:00	Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf76396…
11-04 08:46:58	Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	8¢	$4	0xba6319…
11-04 08:42:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x47483c…
11-04 08:42:01	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x73c22a…
11-04 08:39:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-02 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xbb9291…
11-04 08:37:55	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xf12a21…
11-04 08:36:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	80	42¢	$34	0xfa6d42…
11-04 08:32:57	Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x7e5bc9…
11-04 08:31:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xcabd27…
11-04 08:25:24	Will Connor Garnett / Dylan Frazier advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x8d8fce…
11-04 08:22:43	Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	160	3¢	$5	0xf17407…
11-04 08:18:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	363	2¢	$6	0x4be65f…
11-04 08:12:45	Will Alix Truong / Jessie Irvine advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4f3369…
11-04 08:11:52	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	690	1¢	$5	0x64395d…
11-04 08:11:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	2¢	$3	0xf24f59…
11-04 08:10:51	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	Yes	SELL	28	29¢	$8	0x50233a…
11-04 08:09:21	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0xdd4d15…
11-04 08:06:21	Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x74668d…
11-04 07:56:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0xbbbbba…
11-04 07:54:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	530	2¢	$10	0xabb0f8…
11-04 07:48:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x487a1a…
11-04 07:46:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x490a1e…
11-04 07:40:18	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	30¢	$8	0x2df406…
11-04 07:34:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xe8e874…
11-04 07:32:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	9¢	$4	0x724629…
11-04 07:29:19	Will Federico Staksrud advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x576aa9…
11-04 07:28:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	444	0¢	$2	0xa8edcb…
11-04 07:25:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	216	0¢	$1	0xfb16ce…
11-04 07:18:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x107f01…
11-04 07:07:54	Will Isabella Dunlap advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xf76540…
11-04 07:02:40	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x6e1c9e…
11-04 07:02:28	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	99	2¢	$2	0x493e9d…
11-04 07:00:10	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	620	0¢	$3	0xafb01e…
11-04 06:59:06	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xb8aead…
11-04 06:58:58	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xef1baf…
11-04 06:58:58	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xcf4c2f…
11-04 06:56:34	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	101	2¢	$2	0x1296e7…
11-04 06:50:28	Will Federico Staksrud advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc7d629…