Realized P&L
-$38
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
38.3%
Resolved
151
Trades
255
lifetime
Volume
$835
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$116
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-23 03:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
49% 25% -$9
Politics
37% 29% -$34
Tech
9% 50% +$2
Sports
4% 10% +$4
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +101 $31 36¢ $36 +$5 06-02 00:13
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -82 -$7 33¢ $-27 -$21 06-02 00:14
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +270 $10 4¢ $10 +$0 09-08 11:06
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +9 $4 68¢ $6 +$2 06-01 23:49
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes — -5 $1 99¢ $-5 -$6 10-02 19:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +16 $5 32¢ $5 +$0 06-01 23:49
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -28 -$6 18¢ $-5 +$1 04-30 00:53
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +5 -$9 82¢ $4 +$12 09-08 11:07
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +143 $2 2¢ $4 +$2 07-08 02:54
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -30 -$3 11¢ $-3 $0 07-08 02:52
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +27 $2 9¢ $3 +$1 07-08 02:55
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +40 $2 5¢ $2 +$0 07-08 02:54
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +556 $5 0¢ $2 -$3 04-30 00:57
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +45 $1 4¢ $2 +$1 07-08 02:54
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -58 -$9 2¢ $-1 +$8 06-02 00:15
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -2 -$2 34¢ $-1 +$1 05-31 15:55
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -53 -$4 0¢ $-0 +$3 07-08 02:53
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +30 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 06-05 00:01
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -101 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 00:14
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -61 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 00:08
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +37 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 06-03 08:16