Conventional-Combination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

147

Trades

433

lifetime

Volume

$486

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-23 22:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

33% 69% -$15

Other

24% 30% +$5

Sports

22% 38% +$1

Politics

20% 29% -$2

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	31	$23	18	18	+0	Knicks	+$1	05-24 02:30
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	9	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	04-26 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$15	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	04-27 13:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	8	$15	36	36	+0	No	-$1	04-26 18:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$14	10	10	+0	No	$0	05-22 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$12	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	04-27 19:43
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	8	$12	42	42	+0	Yes	$0	04-26 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	04-27 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-03 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	04-27 21:34
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	4	$8	10	9	+0	No	+$0	04-26 08:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	04-26 18:00
Thunder vs. Spurs	15	$7	8	7	+1	Thunder	$0	05-23 01:22
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	8	$7	11	8	+3	Knicks	-$1	05-22 00:46
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Katarina Zavatska vs Lucia Bronzetti	3	$7	5	5	+0	Lucia Bronzetti	+$3	05-22 14:32
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	04-27 09:11
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	04-27 19:54
Counter-Strike: Omega vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B	2	$6	13	0	+13	Omega	-$6	05-23 12:01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-22 00:28
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-22 00:28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	04-27 09:27
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	04-27 22:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$6	5	5	-0	Yes	$0	05-22 00:28
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	3	$6	6	6	+0	No	$0	04-27 09:28
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	8	$6	26	16	+10	No	$0	06-18 16:52
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	3	$5	11	11	+0	No	+$3	06-15 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	-$5	04-27 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	04-27 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	04-27 19:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$4	8	8	+0	No	+$0	06-18 00:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 22:05:40	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	No	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x023d7c…
06-23 22:05:35	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xfa5358…
06-22 22:39:01	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8c639c…
06-22 22:16:50	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xe60777…
06-22 22:16:41	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x776498…
06-22 08:42:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x33fc30…
06-22 06:57:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xc744eb…
06-22 06:40:10	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x782d68…
06-22 06:39:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd000ec…
06-22 06:36:55	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	No	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0xb2ad48…
06-22 06:19:56	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2d2ec5…
06-22 06:00:26	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x652539…
06-22 05:59:22	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6606c9…
06-22 05:59:10	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x438359…
06-22 04:13:20	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x788043…
06-22 02:35:47	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbc8588…
06-22 01:35:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xeb5335…
06-22 00:36:20	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xac8997…
06-21 23:16:02	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbe99b4…
06-21 23:13:14	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	No	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xc74491…
06-21 22:58:01	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf457be…
06-21 22:16:46	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xfd6f42…
06-21 21:22:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x73a286…
06-18 22:13:58	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x32dbd3…
06-18 22:13:50	Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x158bad…
06-18 16:52:56	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x8ed775…
06-18 12:38:31	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb1068d…
06-18 11:31:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xd1bfa6…
06-18 07:14:26	Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x523eb9…
06-18 06:13:05	Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa82519…
06-18 06:09:53	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x4c591e…
06-18 05:08:50	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3308e5…
06-18 00:36:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x61c98a…
06-18 00:36:34	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xf6e8e9…
06-17 00:24:41	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x279fe0…
06-17 00:19:50	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x33ddf6…
06-17 00:19:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xed178e…
06-16 23:13:05	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x01c2a5…
06-16 05:56:43	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xf5c2b4…
06-16 05:07:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8da8f4…
06-16 04:26:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdf03ef…
06-16 04:17:49	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x62b3fc…
06-16 04:08:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9e1ff4…
06-16 03:28:36	Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa06e6a…
06-16 01:15:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x869240…
06-16 00:59:13	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x89101a…
06-15 13:57:18	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x8de5a1…
06-15 13:57:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x6ce872…
06-15 13:56:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x8e283f…
06-15 13:56:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xb8fc1b…
06-15 05:50:54	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x96b308…
06-15 04:53:54	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2be251…
06-15 03:11:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1c2ee5…
06-15 02:13:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcb0df9…
06-15 00:48:55	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xe63f29…
06-15 00:43:01	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x28653e…
06-14 02:50:57	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x88ca6d…
06-14 02:50:13	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xc963ab…
06-14 02:50:06	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xf2c050…
06-14 02:49:57	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x0a359e…
06-14 02:49:49	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xffbb27…
06-13 22:06:15	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xa5d3b3…
06-13 14:22:07	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x41e4ad…
06-13 10:21:46	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xcfd322…
06-13 02:32:06	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0864da…
06-13 02:14:21	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa7b699…
06-12 23:58:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x501ca0…
06-12 23:47:42	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x190cb2…
06-12 23:42:13	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x92821a…
06-12 23:15:58	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbc1abc…
06-12 22:26:24	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xd5115d…
06-12 22:20:55	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x34e31a…
06-12 21:52:37	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x51814d…
06-12 21:52:28	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7d13fd…
06-12 21:52:16	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf25cb4…
06-12 21:52:10	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3694bb…
06-12 21:51:58	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb4fca5…
06-12 21:47:46	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x17603c…
06-12 21:47:34	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd1f068…
06-12 21:47:28	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x577f4e…
06-12 21:47:18	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x309284…
06-12 21:47:06	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4c5a47…
06-12 20:54:19	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x253e53…
06-12 20:53:45	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x3af052…
06-12 20:53:31	Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0xffcc14…
06-12 20:47:03	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x66aab2…
06-12 20:47:00	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x46da39…
06-12 20:46:55	Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xb2d95b…
06-01 22:58:19	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xc80e62…
06-01 22:58:13	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x2b3aad…
06-01 22:47:45	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x24b0f2…
06-01 22:47:43	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xf577ae…
06-01 22:47:40	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x350ea5…
06-01 21:09:47	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x8e4673…
06-01 19:39:55	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe1fa4f…
06-01 19:39:52	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xd04d6b…
06-01 15:50:35	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x528049…
06-01 14:33:00	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd00d1a…
06-01 14:27:33	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcb781a…
06-01 14:11:11	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x75b813…