Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$61

1 position

First seen

2026-03-11

last 11-04 00:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$8

Politics

18% 100% +$0

Sports

10% 100% +$1

Tech

7% 100% +$1

Crypto

4% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No		+63	$60	97¢	$61	+$1	10-05 17:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republican Party win the NY-09 House seat?	2	$107	55	55	+0	No	+$2	09-07 00:38
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$106	54	54	+0	open	—	11-04 00:14
Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	4	$105	54	54	+0	No	+$0	09-01 13:31
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$105	55	55	+0	open	—	07-14 18:24
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	2	$105	53	53	+0	open	—	09-18 08:02
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	7	$104	55	55	+0	open	—	08-15 09:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	11	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	07-12 00:23
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	8	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	10-22 10:36
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?	2	$103	54	54	+0	Yes	+$0	05-30 03:02
Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$103	52	52	+0	No	+$0	05-27 22:00
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	06-10 13:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	06-10 06:25
Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat?	2	$99	51	51	+0	No	+$0	07-16 11:36
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	3	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-29 09:57
Anthropic CEO arrested?	3	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-25 20:48
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	3	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-22 10:08
Named storm forms before hurricane season?	5	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-22 12:31
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?	1	$61	65	0	+65	Yes	+$4	10-01 16:03
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	2	$60	63	0	+63	open	—	10-05 17:40
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	06-23 16:23
will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	06-25 13:46
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	03-15 18:42
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	7	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-14 11:19
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$27	29	0	+29	Yes	+$2	06-19 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 00:14:42	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x89f954…
10-22 10:36:21	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x3195e7…
10-19 18:59:42	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x5ef7ac…
10-05 17:40:04	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0xf0025b…
10-01 16:03:53	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?	Yes	BUY	65	94¢	$61	0x771228…
09-23 05:55:16	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xaf0793…
09-18 08:02:25	Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0x13ed97…
09-16 04:01:48	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x48d796…
09-15 18:08:45	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xeb74f1…
09-15 15:32:34	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2f7428…
09-13 09:43:24	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc052f2…
09-12 21:31:16	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x342aef…
09-07 00:38:30	Will the Republican Party win the NY-09 House seat?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x055eb1…
09-01 13:31:43	Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x14613d…
09-01 11:01:48	Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0xc039c6…
09-01 10:57:45	Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x7a9842…
08-30 14:16:42	Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x2d01b5…
08-28 23:43:40	Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xabb473…
08-26 13:03:58	Will the Republican Party win the NY-09 House seat?	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x7418a4…
08-21 11:29:03	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x0f10d2…
08-19 22:03:01	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x0e5a93…
08-15 09:37:39	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x5bcfbb…
08-14 11:31:43	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7e6c3d…
08-14 07:13:42	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd382d0…
08-14 07:10:34	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xc50ee3…
08-14 07:09:09	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xfd4c36…
08-04 21:10:23	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0x6ff387…
08-04 20:47:45	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0xd55a69…
07-16 11:36:29	Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0x9c4a5b…
07-14 18:24:17	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0xc92de1…
07-12 00:23:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x80cb7a…
07-09 06:59:34	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0x429732…
07-02 12:41:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x620565…
07-02 12:41:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x78c97b…
07-02 12:40:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x34e942…
07-02 12:39:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6936d4…
07-02 12:38:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2c3989…
07-02 12:37:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xc4ed93…
07-02 12:37:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x589b79…
07-02 12:37:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa83ce9…
07-02 12:36:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xefe3df…
07-02 12:36:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdb8473…
06-25 13:46:55	will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa576da…
06-23 16:23:43	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x4dd911…
06-19 20:43:17	Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0xb49d35…
06-10 13:17:34	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x617cf7…
06-10 06:25:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x370784…
06-04 12:34:39	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x573d12…
06-04 11:34:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xc00602…
06-04 01:19:39	Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xa95204…
05-30 03:02:55	Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x79142e…
05-29 09:57:21	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x571944…
05-27 22:00:57	Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x3a0923…
05-27 22:00:57	Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x19e825…
05-27 20:27:40	Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf98535…
05-26 07:15:39	Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x4e3ba7…
05-25 20:48:34	Anthropic CEO arrested?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xc28993…
05-25 13:21:56	Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x44ca5e…
05-23 08:57:23	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xec07b8…
05-22 13:55:57	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xdbe8b1…
05-22 12:31:55	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x3ea391…
05-22 10:08:34	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x15f421…
05-22 07:45:37	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x4b9b3b…
05-22 07:43:00	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xbd9936…
05-18 13:41:41	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x652e05…
05-16 06:59:16	Anthropic CEO arrested?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x956849…
05-16 05:34:55	Anthropic CEO arrested?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0xdf118e…
05-15 00:41:06	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xc7df77…
05-14 12:23:13	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x785b7a…
05-14 11:19:55	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xfbc5f8…
05-14 11:18:44	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc57da4…
05-14 11:18:44	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x925698…
05-14 11:18:42	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1d2300…
05-14 10:55:11	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xd48775…
05-14 08:37:02	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x80ee7d…
05-10 20:47:47	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xa0616d…
04-30 17:40:58	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xed74cf…
03-15 18:42:37	Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x422567…
03-11 12:29:39	Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x9183c7…