Realized P&L
-$109
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
64.4%
Resolved
679
Trades
1,078
lifetime
Volume
$2.95K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$28
26 positions
First seen
2026-06-19
last 10-27 10:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Crypto
59% 73% -$75
Other
33% 58% -$46
Politics
4% 50% +$11
Tech
2% 25% -$1
Sports
2% 70% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +4 $2 98¢ $4 +$2 10-11 13:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +4 $2 80¢ $3 +$1 10-26 03:27
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 78¢ $2 $0 10-10 23:30
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +4 $2 48¢ $2 $0 10-27 10:23
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 60¢ $2 $0 10-15 02:41
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +4 $2 46¢ $2 +$0 10-11 21:00
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 74¢ $2 +$0 10-12 01:17
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +3 $2 60¢ $2 +$0 10-27 10:57
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5 $2 34¢ $2 $0 10-12 01:06
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 48¢ $2 $0 10-26 08:42
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 10-12 13:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 10-26 19:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +3 $2 38¢ $1 $0 10-26 11:40
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 09-24 15:23
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt4 before 2027 No +0 $0 77¢ $0 +$0 10-01 08:14
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +0 $0 52¢ $0 +$0 07-31 05:14
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +0 $1 14¢ $0 -$1 09-30 19:47
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 32¢ $0 $0 10-03 13:45
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 17¢ $0 $0 10-07 11:31
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $3 15¢ $0 -$3 09-30 19:47
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +0 $0 34¢ $0 $0 08-05 17:47
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 23¢ $0 -$1 10-24 15:41
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +0 $1 16¢ $0 -$1 09-30 19:47
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 22¢ $0 $0 09-11 15:03
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027 Yes — +0 $2 7¢ $0 -$2 09-30 19:47
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +0 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 07-31 19:55