Sophisticated-Poster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$709

Unrealized P&L

-$65

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

383

Trades

1,107

lifetime

Volume

$156.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$142

Open exposure

$33

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 11-08 15:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 131 days

Categories

Other

81% 55% -$249

Crypto

17% 88% +$6

Sports

2% 41% -$461

Politics

0% 71% +$7

Tech

0% 25% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+600	$51	3¢	$15	-$36	10-29 21:46
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+500	$23	2¢	$9	-$14	11-03 22:10
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+300	$45	3¢	$9	-$36	10-07 09:40
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+0	-$1	99¢	$0	+$1	09-29 00:19
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+0	-$20	6¢	$0	+$20	09-14 08:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	10	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$8	06-17 09:06
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	5	$4.1K	2,500	1,600	+900	No	+$4	06-05 13:24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	13	$3.9K	2,018	1,918	+100	No	+$23	06-15 15:46
bitcoin above 58k on june 13 2026	2	$3.8K	1,900	1,900	+0	Yes	+$2	06-13 01:09
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	3	$3.0K	1,578	1,437	+141	No	+$6	06-26 10:06
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	2	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$3	06-20 11:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	4	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$2	05-27 11:56
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	15	$2.8K	1,685	1,234	+451	No	-$85	06-26 10:06
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	4	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$36	06-20 06:32
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	19	$2.7K	1,339	1,339	+0	No	+$3	06-18 11:18
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	9	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$1	06-12 07:00
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	12	$2.1K	1,040	1,040	+0	No	+$3	06-28 07:04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,039	1,039	+0	No	+$18	06-16 13:51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	8	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	06-15 09:52
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	9	$1.9K	1,100	800	+300	No	+$1	05-14 10:02
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$1	05-20 02:35
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	32	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$1	05-19 08:41
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$1	05-22 02:36
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$1	06-10 06:36
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	8	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$4	06-03 15:36
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$2	06-09 15:07
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$2	06-08 07:56
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	14	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$2	06-09 05:42
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	5	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$5	06-07 15:26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	5	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$3	06-14 04:46
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	7	$1.7K	931	931	+0	No	+$28	06-08 14:57
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	4	$1.6K	835	835	+0	No	+$30	07-08 19:02
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	14	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$1	06-05 07:46
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	11	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$1	05-12 10:51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	4	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$2	06-12 08:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 15:51:39	Ipswich Town FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xbc87c9…
11-08 15:43:40	1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x04f988…
11-08 14:46:33	FC Twente vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xb56634…
11-08 14:46:30	FC Twente vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	91	25¢	$23	0xaea1ee…
11-08 14:43:12	Halmstads BK vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	64	25¢	$16	0x595730…
11-08 14:43:00	Halmstads BK vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x654f84…
11-08 14:39:00	Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x5ffd91…
11-08 14:19:43	VfL Bochum vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xe6046d…
11-08 14:03:27	Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x0191b6…
11-08 05:37:06	Júbilo Iwata vs. Shōnan Bellmāre: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x7b75e4…
11-08 05:29:37	Júbilo Iwata vs. Shōnan Bellmāre: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x4c8231…
11-07 07:50:06	Avispa Fukuoka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xd44db4…
11-07 07:41:04	Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	104	16¢	$17	0x86d5d4…
11-07 07:40:30	Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	96	16¢	$15	0x7771b6…
11-07 06:56:24	Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0x93df7b…
11-07 06:56:22	Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	62	20¢	$12	0x56aacc…
11-07 06:54:21	Yokohama FC vs. Fujieda MYFC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	65	10¢	$6	0xd8af2e…
11-07 06:53:31	Yokohama FC vs. Fujieda MYFC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x2d7edd…
11-07 06:53:31	Yokohama FC vs. Fujieda MYFC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x205233…
11-07 06:53:31	Yokohama FC vs. Fujieda MYFC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x15adf3…
11-07 06:53:31	Yokohama FC vs. Fujieda MYFC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0386e7…
11-07 06:53:30	Yokohama FC vs. Fujieda MYFC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb44a1e…
11-07 06:51:39	Yokohama FC vs. Fujieda MYFC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xa55642…
11-07 05:33:13	Auckland FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xe7adaf…
11-07 05:32:15	Yokohama FC vs. Fujieda MYFC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xd1ea71…
11-07 05:32:13	Yokohama FC vs. Fujieda MYFC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	195	18¢	$35	0x12897e…
11-07 02:50:55	CA Tigre vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x8c048d…
11-07 02:48:09	Fortaleza FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	33	25¢	$8	0x9b5619…
11-07 02:47:57	Fortaleza FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	67	25¢	$17	0x9458dd…
11-07 02:45:43	Atlético San Luis vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xedfc0e…
11-06 13:05:52	FK Polissia vs. RNK Veres Rivne: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	104	7¢	$7	0xfbf53e…
11-06 13:05:45	FK Polissia vs. RNK Veres Rivne: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0f65c9…
11-06 12:54:21	FK Polissia vs. RNK Veres Rivne: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xa0743c…
11-06 12:50:19	FK Polissia vs. RNK Veres Rivne: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0xfd22ed…
11-06 11:49:16	FK Polissia vs. RNK Veres Rivne: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	98	14¢	$14	0xc3be94…
11-06 11:42:07	FK Polissia vs. RNK Veres Rivne: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x9e9d85…
11-06 10:21:45	Psim Yogyakarta vs. Dewa United: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x7bcb0c…
11-06 10:19:28	Psim Yogyakarta vs. Dewa United: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xc62977…
11-06 01:45:42	Union Magdalena vs. Independiente Valle Del Cauca: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	52	30¢	$16	0xf88eff…
11-06 01:45:39	Union Magdalena vs. Independiente Valle Del Cauca: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	48	30¢	$14	0x3331a9…
11-06 01:41:46	Union Magdalena vs. Independiente Valle Del Cauca: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xc6d903…
11-06 01:28:34	Union Magdalena vs. Independiente Valle Del Cauca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xeda9e0…
11-06 01:21:25	Union Magdalena vs. Independiente Valle Del Cauca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xcb4feb…
11-06 01:19:10	Union Magdalena vs. Independiente Valle Del Cauca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xc42a21…
11-06 00:58:09	Inter San Carlos vs. CS Cartaginés: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x57e8e0…
11-05 11:46:31	Machida Zelvia vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x5105f6…
11-05 02:37:40	Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x89962d…
11-05 02:37:40	Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	56	15¢	$8	0x418f0b…
11-05 02:37:18	Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xf0f584…
11-05 02:34:45	Tlaxcala FC vs. Club Atletico La Paz: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x15f213…
11-05 02:34:42	Tlaxcala FC vs. Club Atletico La Paz: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	88	25¢	$22	0x744799…
11-05 02:18:55	Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7a5635…
11-05 02:18:49	Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0x625577…
11-05 02:18:42	Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x2cd29c…
11-05 02:08:39	Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x35cd53…
11-05 02:01:16	Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xac27b7…
11-05 01:45:37	Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x66ded4…
11-04 10:47:07	FC Seoul vs. The Cong - Viettel FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xb97a44…
11-04 10:37:43	FC Seoul vs. The Cong - Viettel FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x2a6dd6…
11-04 10:37:19	FC Seoul vs. The Cong - Viettel FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	72	25¢	$18	0x716569…
11-04 10:29:15	FC Seoul vs. The Cong - Viettel FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xbc8b23…
11-04 02:14:42	Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x548bc9…
11-04 01:47:58	Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x46ef59…
11-03 22:10:04	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xf91285…
11-03 11:14:07	Vissel Kobe vs. Ratchaburi FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x22c207…
11-03 11:14:06	Vissel Kobe vs. Ratchaburi FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	199	17¢	$34	0x565600…
11-03 10:24:46	Vissel Kobe vs. Ratchaburi FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0x2636e2…
11-03 10:24:45	Vissel Kobe vs. Ratchaburi FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	52	25¢	$13	0x789b7d…
11-03 10:24:45	Vissel Kobe vs. Ratchaburi FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x50a6d5…
11-03 10:22:36	Vissel Kobe vs. Ratchaburi FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xf4e5bd…
11-03 09:56:33	Exact Score: Kashiwa Reysol 2 - 0 Daejeon Citizen FC?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x80969d…
11-03 06:49:58	RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x5d3cab…
11-03 06:49:58	RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	150	18¢	$27	0x0670ce…
11-03 06:49:57	RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	47	18¢	$8	0x0c350b…
11-03 06:40:58	Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. Tochigi City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x834a98…
11-03 06:05:49	Exact Score: Yokohama FC 2 - 0 Blaublitz Akita?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xa2bb17…
11-03 06:05:49	Exact Score: Yokohama FC 2 - 0 Blaublitz Akita?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x19786b…
11-03 05:40:51	Kataller Toyama vs. Vegalta Sendai: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x985d40…
10-29 21:46:21	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	237	5¢	$12	0x8f6291…
10-29 11:19:52	Gangwon FC vs. Kuching City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xfdd3a7…
10-29 11:18:26	Gangwon FC vs. Kuching City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	93	30¢	$28	0x5eb968…
10-29 04:48:29	CF América vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf647ce…
10-29 04:48:28	CF América vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	94	30¢	$28	0x4fed43…
10-29 04:48:26	CF América vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbafe07…
10-29 04:01:25	Seattle Sounders FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	126	35¢	$44	0x3a4440…
10-29 04:01:05	Seattle Sounders FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	74	35¢	$26	0xdadd50…
10-29 03:57:49	Seattle Sounders FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xc32756…
10-29 01:59:52	Atletico Tucuman vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	87	25¢	$22	0xa36dfe…
10-29 01:59:50	Atletico Tucuman vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xded4e4…
10-29 01:59:49	Atletico Tucuman vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	106	25¢	$27	0x900a6a…
10-28 22:57:17	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0xa01754…
10-25 15:42:48	Hull City AFC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xd26db8…
10-25 15:38:35	Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xbed668…
10-25 09:14:38	Paju Frontier FC vs. Hwaseong FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x0e2dd8…
10-25 08:50:09	Kawasaki Frontale vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x750979…
10-25 07:58:35	Iwaki FC vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xf12bb8…
10-25 07:58:35	Iwaki FC vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	23	15¢	$4	0xcae079…
10-25 07:58:35	Iwaki FC vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x962fe4…
10-25 07:58:35	Iwaki FC vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x538d88…
10-25 07:58:35	Iwaki FC vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x483b99…