Sophisticated-Poster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

142

lifetime

Volume

$26.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$184

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 07-21 07:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 100% +$1

Other

25% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 58k on june 13 2026	2	$3.8K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	06-13 01:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	4	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	05-27 11:56
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	11	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	05-12 10:51
bitcoin above 56k on july 7 2026	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	07-06 05:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	8	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-28 15:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	4	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-24 02:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	5	$1.2K	581	581	+0	open	—	05-29 12:38
bitcoin above 68k on june 29 2026	2	$1.0K	509	509	+0	open	—	06-27 16:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$791	0	800	-800	open	—	05-22 11:13
epl ast sun 2026 04 19 ast	1	$765	854	0	+854	open	—	04-19 14:44
bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	2	$756	400	400	+0	open	—	07-12 11:48
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	2	$599	300	300	+0	open	—	04-30 14:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	2	$599	300	300	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 10:23
bitcoin above 54k on june 28 2026	2	$598	300	300	+0	open	—	06-27 07:18
bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	3	$578	300	282	+18	open	—	06-26 17:52
bitcoin above 60k on july 22 2026	2	$545	276	276	+0	open	—	07-21 07:42
bitcoin above 58k on july 10 2026	3	$484	243	243	+0	open	—	07-09 16:38
bitcoin above 58k on july 16 2026	2	$473	238	238	+0	open	—	07-15 01:02
bitcoin above 68k on july 14 2026	2	$419	210	210	+0	open	—	07-13 15:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16?	2	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	05-15 10:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	2	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	05-15 10:46
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	2	$393	200	200	+0	open	—	05-04 19:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	5	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	05-15 09:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$346	200	200	+0	No	+$2	05-05 13:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	05-12 09:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-07 12:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$299	300	0	+300	open	—	05-14 08:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$215	108	108	+0	open	—	05-28 17:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 11?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-09 08:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	05-15 11:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 07:42:39	bitcoin above 60k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	276	100¢	$276	0xefe7c6…
07-20 06:49:06	bitcoin above 60k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	276	97¢	$269	0xe8b82e…
07-15 01:02:44	bitcoin above 58k on july 16 2026	Yes	SELL	238	100¢	$238	0x661c56…
07-14 04:36:46	bitcoin above 58k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	238	99¢	$236	0x24421d…
07-13 15:45:16	bitcoin above 68k on july 14 2026	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0x358434…
07-13 04:45:56	bitcoin above 68k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0x1edc30…
07-12 11:48:46	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	400	95¢	$380	0x6be55a…
07-12 04:30:38	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x9b9cba…
07-09 16:38:25	bitcoin above 58k on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0x71f54d…
07-09 16:34:41	bitcoin above 58k on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x0e658b…
07-09 06:12:05	bitcoin above 58k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	243	100¢	$242	0x3f67c8…
07-06 05:14:20	bitcoin above 56k on july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	391	100¢	$391	0xb21865…
07-06 05:14:05	bitcoin above 56k on july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	309	100¢	$308	0xa0291f…
07-05 15:23:16	bitcoin above 56k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	700	100¢	$698	0x2931e7…
06-27 16:30:26	bitcoin above 68k on june 29 2026	No	SELL	509	100¢	$508	0xa23426…
06-27 07:18:23	bitcoin above 54k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x0092f9…
06-27 03:08:05	bitcoin above 68k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	509	100¢	$507	0x8559a4…
06-27 03:03:32	bitcoin above 54k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0x517668…
06-26 17:52:52	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	282	100¢	$281	0x59b05c…
06-26 14:49:16	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x6399fa…
06-26 14:36:01	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	282	99¢	$279	0x7ba1a2…
06-24 23:18:49	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xf7e5cb…
06-13 01:09:16	bitcoin above 58k on june 13 2026	Yes	SELL	1,900	100¢	$1,898	0xc0a3c5…
06-12 13:29:48	bitcoin above 58k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,900	100¢	$1,896	0x56bf3d…
06-10 05:49:39	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x30db75…
06-10 05:48:52	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x1dbeeb…
06-09 23:23:51	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x3e055d…
06-09 14:17:54	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xa4aef4…
06-09 13:05:01	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x0afedb…
06-09 12:03:58	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xde0a9f…
06-09 11:51:57	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x95ee55…
06-09 11:51:34	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	39	41¢	$16	0x971a83…
06-09 11:47:39	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xb4e162…
06-09 11:40:39	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x683183…
06-09 11:25:00	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x59cbee…
06-09 11:22:06	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0xec3a82…
06-09 11:22:06	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x664a9b…
06-09 08:02:54	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2aabdb…
06-09 06:33:16	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x5dbebd…
06-09 06:33:16	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x4579cc…
06-09 06:33:16	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x145f3f…
06-05 23:36:40	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x87be01…
06-05 23:36:13	Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x047a8b…
06-05 21:25:46	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xf9710b…
06-05 17:51:57	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xce009b…
06-05 17:51:37	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xeb1851…
06-05 17:51:21	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdc408b…
06-05 14:44:51	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xe9c1f7…
06-05 11:20:22	Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x430975…
06-05 10:11:28	Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0xd56fd3…
06-05 10:09:19	Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x8c030b…
06-05 09:57:45	will reppo launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xfb8532…
06-05 09:52:12	will reppo launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xa2d7e4…
06-05 09:51:30	will antoine semenyo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xe4634a…
06-05 09:49:10	will reppo launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xb6237f…
06-05 09:36:42	Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc14c42…
06-05 09:35:34	will reppo launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x7cb7a2…
06-05 09:34:16	Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0xcdfbfd…
06-05 09:15:30	will antoine semenyo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x65dc37…
05-29 12:38:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	295	99¢	$292	0xbb0830…
05-29 12:37:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x67f86c…
05-29 11:24:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	190	99¢	$188	0x1cd627…
05-29 11:07:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x3128d1…
05-29 06:45:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	581	99¢	$576	0x3a031d…
05-28 17:11:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x01c991…
05-28 15:24:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	297	100¢	$295	0x356b93…
05-28 14:26:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x503ec0…
05-28 14:25:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x018e1e…
05-28 14:08:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x787c11…
05-28 14:07:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0xfe6b4e…
05-28 08:23:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	384	99¢	$381	0xff8f3b…
05-28 07:44:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x85dba5…
05-28 07:31:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0xda566f…
05-28 07:27:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0xabedd3…
05-27 11:56:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	700	100¢	$697	0x8e1492…
05-27 05:15:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	700	99¢	$696	0xd7eea3…
05-26 12:47:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	700	99¢	$696	0x492fda…
05-26 09:11:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	700	99¢	$695	0x000fa6…
05-22 11:13:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	800	99¢	$791	0xd29b04…
05-15 11:06:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x54b37f…
05-15 10:46:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x360e67…
05-15 10:22:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x9a99ed…
05-15 09:01:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x0920a3…
05-15 08:56:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	34	93¢	$31	0x3ad404…
05-15 08:40:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	51	93¢	$48	0xed4e44…
05-15 08:39:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	83	93¢	$77	0x44284c…
05-15 07:19:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x42082d…
05-15 06:02:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x3e0194…
05-14 08:29:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x9ef2ae…
05-12 10:51:36	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xcaa051…
05-12 10:48:50	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xccb66c…
05-12 10:23:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0xc1af39…
05-12 09:55:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x5230b6…
05-12 09:54:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x3cd2e6…
05-12 08:16:19	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x983fc0…
05-11 21:36:26	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x2b3e31…
05-11 18:53:48	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0x64286b…
05-11 16:53:57	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x72a049…
05-11 14:17:37	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe5e31f…
05-11 14:16:20	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x10a3cb…